Website Worth Calculatorsiteprice.org domain valuewebsite worth domain value A 2021 Index to Willis’s Posts – Watts Up With That? - Flowing News

A 2021 Index to Willis’s Posts – Watts Up With That?


Visitor Publish by Willis Eschenbach

It’s February third, 2021. I hadn’t up to date my index since 2018, so I made a decision to take action. Not a straightforward job, however I beat it into form. I obtained uninterested in not having the ability to discover issues that I’ve written. That is me attempting to determine it out.

I try to remember gorilla

So I wrote a program within the pc language “R”. It takes as enter an inventory of URLs of my writings, and it goes and scrapes every put up. As output it offers me the title of the put up, the class if any, and the primary few strains of textual content.

Then I took that output, saved it as a CSV file, imported it into Excel, and used that to automate the technology of the HTML code that creates the index in addition to creating the person entries. The spreadsheet additionally created the hyperlinks from the index to the corresponding sections. Then I copied the HTML code to this web page, and it was finished. Sounds straightforward?

Not.

I discovered within the course of that I’ve written 936 posts on the topics listed beneath.

Clicking on one of many topic headings beneath will take you to that part in the primary listing. Or you are able to do a textual content search on this web page.

Subsequent, after I’m looking out WUWT searching for one thing I’ve written, I do a search on

“visitor put up by willis eschenbach” website:wattsupwiththat.com KEYWORDS

That limits the search to the model of my posts that’s right here on Watts Up With That.

Subsequent, my posts on my thermostat speculation and thunderstorms are within the part known as “Emergence”.

Lastly, my extra political and private writings for the final 12 months or so have been posted on my weblog, “Skating Underneath The Ice“. And you’ll observe me on Twitter, @WEschenbach . C’mon over, everybody’s welcome.

Greatest regards to everybody,

w.


Agriculture
Alarmism
Argo
Ambiance
Autobiography
Dangerous Science
Berkeley Earth
Carbon Cycle
Local weather Datasets
Local weather Indices
Local weather Fashions
Local weather Phenomena
Local weather Politics
Local weather Sensitivity
Climategate
Clouds
CO2
Conferences
Conservation
Constructal Legislation
COVID
Cryosphere
Cycles
Datasets
Earthquakes
Economics
El Nino
Emergence
Vitality
Vitality and Poverty
Vitality Funds
Vitality Issues
Setting
Expeditions
Extinctions
Geoengineering
Greenhouse
Greenhouse Idea
Hurst/Autocorrelation
IPCC
Lack of Impact
Malfeasance
Arithmetic
Mercury
Mitigation
Fashions
Multiproxy Analyses
No Regrets
Ocean
Ocean Neutralization
OHC
Open Letters
Paleo
Peer Overview
Philosophy of Science
Coverage
Poverty and Vitality
Proxy Reconstructions
Publication Stories
Quote of the Week
Radiation
Radiative Forcing
Reconstructions
Renewables
Sea Stage
Sunspots
TAO Buoys
Temperature Datasets
Temperature Datasets and Changes
Tides
Developments
City Warmth Island (UHI)
Volcanoes
Conflict On Carbon
Water Vapor
Watts Up With That
Climate Occasions
Climate Phenomena
Whitewashes


Which Group Is Smarter? 2011-03-14

Anthony has mentioned a paywalled examine within the new reality-based Nature Journal manufacturing, Nature Local weather Change journal. In contrast to Anthony, they authorized my software for a free subscription … go determine. The examine is named “Nonlinear warmth results on African maize (corn) as evidenced by historic yield trials”, Lobell et al.…

Psychological Sloth and Joshua Timber 2011-03-30

“Out of passions develop opinions; psychological sloth lets these rigidify into convictions” Friedrich Nietzsche, 1844-1900 Anthony mentioned the press launch in regards to the paper Previous and ongoing shifts in Joshua tree distribution assist future modeled vary contraction. I didn’t have a duplicate so I wrote to the lead writer, Kenneth Cole,…

Do Rising Temperatures Decrease Crop Yields? 2013-01-31

I preserve studying these claims that we’re all going to starve due to world warming. Folks say it’s going to be the demise of agriculture, that rising temperatures will trigger important drops in crop yields. Right here’s a typical little bit of alarmism (emphasis mine): A examine by the Worldwide Meals Coverage…

I Am So Uninterested in Malthus 2010-09-08

Each day we’re deluged with gloom about how we’re overwhelming the Earth’s means to maintain and assist our rising numbers. Rising inhabitants is once more being hailed because the disaster of the century. As well as, floods and droughts are mentioned to be resulting in widespread crop loss. The erosion of…

The Lengthy View of Feeding the Planet 2011-06-09

Folks have brief reminiscences. One of many issues that I’ve discovered on this recreation is to begin any explicit quest by discovering the longest steady data and take a look at them to grasp the state of affairs. This prevents the unjustified exaggerations that end result from a short-term view of a difficulty. Take…

Of Rice and Males 2010-08-11

Anthony has posted on a current examine (behind a paywall) of rice manufacturing in Rice yields, CO2 and temperature – you write the article. The article claims that rice yields are falling, and can fall additional, resulting from temperature modifications. I mentioned I’d write the article if somebody would ship…

Farmers versus Famine 2011-03-26

Invoice McKibben, the skeptics greatest buddy, can at all times be trusted to supply attention-grabbing claims. By no means one to let disaster go to waste, he opines on the tsunami and our “shrinking margins” over on the Guardian. Quite a few folks have highlighted varied of his concepts, not all…

Counting Your Penguin Chicks Earlier than They Hatch 2014-01-29

Effectively, the BBC, which as I perceive it’s an acronym for “Blindly Broadcasting Cra- ziness”, offers us its now-standard tabloid fashion headline, that Local weather change is ‘killing penguin chicks’ say researchers In fact they’ve included the compulsory “awwwww-inspiring” image, viz: Naturally, the researchers didn’t say what the Beeb claimed. What…

Lakes For Sale, Partially Thawed, N=20 2014-02-05

Anthony identified the promoting of overhyped claims of the “dramatic thinning” of Arctic ice right here. The title of the underlying scientific examine is far more prosaic, Response of ice cowl on shallow lakes of the North Slope of Alaska to up to date local weather situations (1950–2011): radar remote-sensing and numerical modeling…

Pure Variability within the Widths of the Tropics 2012-05-25

In my earlier put up, “Does This Evaluation Make My Tropics Look Huge?“I mentioned a paper known as “Current Northern Hemisphere tropical growth primarily pushed by black carbon and tropospheric ozone”, by Robert Allen et al, hereinafter A2012. They use a number of metrics to measure the width of the tropics—the situation of the…

Forgive Us Our Transgressions 2015-01-15

A brand new paper in Science journal entitled “Planetary boundaries: Guiding human improvement on a altering planet” (paywalled right here) claims that we’re all potential “transgressors” … a curious time period extra applicable to a faith than to science. However given the full lack of science within the paper, maybe it’s applicable.…

There may presumably might be an opportunity of hazard! Thunderstorms! 2012-08-02

Thunderstorms are one in all my most important pursuits, so I learn up on a examine by some Harvard researchers that has been receiving every kind of consideration within the blogosphere. Sadly, it’s one other “may, may, presumably, probability of” examine. The YaleGlobal On-line weblog of the venerable Yale College quotes the Christian…

The Alliance, and the way it Protects the Local weather 2012-11-24

I obtained to studying about Al Gore as we speak, and began questioning about his Local weather Actuality Undertaking (CRP). So I appeared up the background of the corporate on Guidestar. The official title of the CRP is the Alliance for Local weather Safety. The aim of the Alliance is as follows: The Alliance’s single objective is to ignite…

It was the perfect of droughts, it was the worst of droughts 2012-07-17

In fact, the media are advancing every kind of claims in regards to the present drought affecting a lot of the US, as a result of it’s the “worst in fifty years”. They declare that it’s clear proof of worldwide warming, that it reveals how a lot issues have modified, that that is the face of worldwide warming. Does this …

The Imperial President and the Imperious Fool 2014-07-05

From an interview with Lester Brown, founding father of the Earth Coverage Institute, a person of whom Invoice Clinton mentioned “We should always all heed his recommendation”: You’ve talked earlier than in regards to the civilizational problem that local weather change poses, how assured are you that the human race is as much as assembly that problem?…

87 Is The New 97 2015-01-30

There’s a brand new survey out by the Pew Analysis Middle of us that’s getting a number of press. A lot of the protection mentions the next declare that the claimed 97% consensus is actual but it surely’s solely 87%. The survey stories a: • 37-percentage level hole over whether or not local weather change is usually brought on by human…

Breaking Information! Seventh First Local weather Refugees Found! 2013-08-09

Effectively, my coronary heart fell after I noticed the current BBC article which proudly proclaimed that the folks of Kivalina had been slated to develop into “America’s first local weather change refugees” … Determine 1. The Alaskan native village of Kivalina. SOURCE: BBC My coronary heart fell for 3 causes. First, as a result of as soon as once more we…

The Sixth First Local weather Refugees 2013-07-02

For years now, of us have searched desperately for the “fingerprints” of human local weather change. These are issues which might be presupposed to reveal how and the place people are affecting the local weather. One among these fingerprints, which is alleged to be a positive and sure harbinger of the thermal finish occasions, is…

Kilwa Kisiwani Gereza 2011-04-21

I really like African names. I imply, may there be a extra euphonious title than “Dikembe Mutumbo”? That’s simply poetry. In any case, this put up is about a spot charmingly yclept “Kilwa Kisiwani Gereza”. It appears it’s a brand new poster little one for the dire results of “local weather change”. This alleged sufferer of…

Congenital Local weather Abnormalities 2010-02-13

Science is what we use to clarify anomalies, to elucidate mysteries, to make clear unexplained occurrences. For instance, as soon as we perceive how the earth rotates, there isn’t any nice want for a scientific rationalization of the solar rising within the morning.…

Come Rain or Come Shine 2010-04-18

One of many claimed risks of some levels warming of the Earth is rising drought. Drought is a really tough factor to combat, as a result of it’s arduous to fabricate water. So it is a horrifying risk. I’ve lengthy claimed that “a hotter world…

The Grand Prize in Obama’s Conflict on Coal™ 2013-06-30

It’s a foul week for poor folks across the planet. First, and with nice fanfare, our President unleashed his patented local weather plan, affectionately generally known as Obama’s Conflict on Coal™. He hasn’t mentioned but how a lot Obama’s Conflict on Coal™ will price, however we are able to make certain that it won’t…

Scientific City Legends 2015-10-11

I’ve a class that I name “scientific city legends”. These embody issues like the concept rising seas will drown atolls, when Darwin confirmed 150 years in the past that rising seas create atolls. One other scientific city legend is the declare that we’re in the course of the …

Not Alarmist Sufficient 2011-10-23

Usually, I may not cope with a 4 12 months previous paper by James Hansen, the NASA doyenne of serial doomcasters. Nevertheless, I notice that this paper has been cited ten occasions this 12 months alone, so I believed I’d remark. In some unspecified time in the future when he was not giving a Press…

Huge Numbers, Small Numbers 2014-12-10

I learn a paper as we speak that mentioned that there are a minimum of 270,000,000 kilograms of plastic within the ocean, which is about half a billion kilos plus of plastic. So … is that this an enormous quantity or a small quantity? The story is on the Guardian, and so they’ve illustrated…

The Handsomest Fox In The Henhouse 2013-07-20

Effectively, we had the Senate listening to on the local weather. Dr. Roy Spencer and Dr. Roger Pielke gave wonderful talks. There’s a dialogue of it right here on WUWT and Dr. Judith Curry has a put up on it at her weblog. I needed to debate the silver fox within the science home,…

Nitrogen Dioxide Sense and Nonsense 2018-10-29

“Nitrogen dioxide (NO2). A extremely toxic fuel. Publicity produces irritation of lungs which will solely trigger slight ache or move unnoticed, however ensuing edema a number of days later might trigger demise. (From Merck, 11th ed) Nitrogen dioxide is a serious atmospheric pollutant that is ready to soak up UV gentle …

Governor Moonbeam Loses The Plot 2018-04-30

Right here in California, we have now one of many extra deluded Governors in historical past, Jerry Brown. He has gotten his sobriquet “Governor Moonbeam” the quaint means —he earned it truthfully by issues like maniacally supporting his multibillion-dollar “Bullet Practice To Nowhere”, and many extra craziness-…

Been There, Exceeded That 2018-01-08

A lot angst has been expended on a really imprecise local weather threshold, the so-called “2 levels Celsius restrict”, typically known as the “2° world warming tipping level”. I discover all of it fairly hilarious, for a purpose that may develop into clear shortly. First a little bit of prologue. Right here’…

The So-Referred to as Local weather “Well being Emergency” 2021-02-01

I see that a lot of well being organizations are calling on Zhou Bai-den to declare a “local weather well being emergency”. From the American Lung Affiliation: Ever discover how these varieties of parents by no means specify simply what a level or two of warming is meant to do to our well being? It’s identical to the declaration…

Tamino 2017-12-04

I used to be notified by a buddy that Tamino is slagging Anthony and me over at his weblog, the place I used to be banned from commenting years in the past as a result of I identified some undesirable info to him. In fact, Tamino continues to be free to remark right here, we don’t censor the views we would disagree with‚Äîthat’s science. To begi…

The place, Precisely, Is The Man-made Local weather Drawback? 2018-04-20

Posted with out remark, besides a hat tip to Dave Burton and Willie Quickly … There isn’t a statistically important distinction between the 2 tendencies. Effectively, I assume that qualifies as a remark …

Barack Obama, Local weather Scientist 2017-01-09

I concern that Science journal has beclowned itself as badly because the Nobel Peace Prize Committee. They’ve revealed a “scientific” coverage paper by the famous local weather scientist Barack Hussein Obama. Not a paper with Obama as one of many signatories. No, Science journal claims that the President wrote the…

The Local weather of Gavin 2018-05-24

Gavin Schmidt, who I’m given to grasp is an effective pc programmer, is among the principals on the incongruously named web site “RealClimate”. The title is incongruous as a result of they censor anybody who dares to disagree with their revealed knowledge. I convey this up b…

The Thirty Yr Conflict 2018-06-20

That is the 30th anniversary of James Hansen’s testimony to Congress concerning “world warming”. It was his testimony that set off the disastrous 30 Yr Conflict on Carbon. There have been articles within the press celebrating the anniversary of his testimony and lauding Hansen’s position, however I see nothing to …

Malthus Redux 2017-12-10

I see that there’s one other neo-Malthusian attempting to persuade us that world hunger and meals riots are simply across the nook. This time it’s David Archibald proper right here on WUWT. Anthony had posted a graph displaying beneficial properties in varied human indicators, viz: However David disagrees, displaying varied seems a…

Gore Affords To Work With Trump On Local weather 2016-11-11

Man, there’s simply no finish to Gore’s hubris. From his web site, which I’ll move on linking to for apparent causes —Final evening President-elect Trump mentioned he needed to be a president for all People. In that spirit, I hope that he’ll work with the overwhelming majori…

The Froth of the Fourth 2018-11-23

I see that the Fourth US Nationwide Local weather Evaluation has simply been revealed. It’s right here, and it must be required studying for these masochists who like overblown claims, flimsy justifications, and ridiculous pretensions. The enjoyable factor about every of the Local weather Assess…

Cooling The Hothouse 2020-09-15

I see {that a} new examine has been hyped with the headline: I’ll spare you a hyperlink to the miscreants in query, it’s the standard alarmism. Right here’s a pattern. “Dire” —right here’s their alarmist graphic, displaying the temperature since dinosaurs 67 million years in the past (or “67 mya” as they are saying, which really means …

The Ninth First Local weather Refugees 2016-11-30

Effectively, the claims of the “first local weather refugees” are arising once more. I feel we’re as much as the ninth first local weather refugees, it’s arduous to maintain observe. In any case, I got here throughout this: Worldwide leaders gathering in Paris to handle world warming face rising stress to sort out the difficulty of “cl…

Post-mortem Of An Excuse 2017-07-22

Effectively, Dr. James Hansen, the person who invented the worldwide warming rip-off and our favourite failed serial doomcaster, lately addressed the cratering of a 30-year prediction he made in 1988. Again then, he mentioned the globe would heat up by one full diploma …

The Eleventh Tenth First Local weather Change Refugees 2020-03-05

I preserve studying time and again in regards to the world’s “First Local weather Change Refugees”. As close to as I can preserve depend, we’re already as much as the Ninth First Local weather Change Refugees, and we’ve seen —properly —none. Hyperlinks to my earlier posts, every discussing one of many earlier winners of the Annual First Local weather …

The Regional Local weather Safety Authority 2019-09-21

I stay in Sonoma County, one of many extra “woke” counties in that “woker than you might ever hope to be” state, California. So in fact, having solved all different issues, the Sonoma County Board of Supervisors has declared a “local weather emergency”. Right here’s their justification for saying it’s an EMERGE…

Obama Might Lastly Succeed! 2015-08-03

For this put up I’ve taken as my departure level a few very attention-grabbing graphs from over at Not A Lot Of Folks Know That. I’ll repeat them right here: (NOTE: I’ve been knowledgeable in probably the most genteel and beautiful means that I’ve not given full credit score for the supply of those graphs. Because the decrease graph notes,…

Alarums And Excursions 2017-07-20

On June 17, we and our co-authors acquired a response to our letter to MIT President, Professor Reif, elevating considerations about his letter to the MIT group in assist of the Paris Local weather Accord. Professor Reif’s response said that he was assured in his place on the difficulty as a result of it’s consi…

Local weather Beer Goggles 2018-10-15

There’s a brand new entry within the competitors for the highest spot within the “Local weather Change Ruins All the things” competitors. That is the declare that “Extreme local weather occasions may trigger shortages within the world beer provide”, as mentioned right here on WUWT. YIKES! If true, that’s extra critical than sea stage rise —they exp…

No Lye 2017-07-25

So —why is the lifeless man “eaten by tooth of flame” in his grave within the Studying jail (gaol)? It’s as a result of again within the day, when convicts had been executed in Merrie Olde England they had been typically thrown right into a pit of lye, which completly dissolved their our bodies like a “…

A Inexperienced And Nice Land 2019-08-14

In England there was a current partial collapse of the Whaley Bridge Dam. In fact, this couldn’t have been from, oh, I don’t know, unhealthy development or unhealthy reservoir water-level administration —So naturally, the UK media is filled with scary headlines. Yeah, proper —this completely ignores the info that nobo…

Stefan Rahmstorf, Local weather Ex-Communicator 2017-08-27

Stefan Rahmstorf lately obtained the AGU Local weather Communications Prize, regardless of appearing like a vicious jerkwagon when his claims get questioned by mere mortals, viz: Journalist Markus Lehmkuhland works for the German Science Journalists Affiliation. He wrote an article about Stefan Rahmstorf known as Ideol…

Argo Notes the Third 2012-02-29

I obtained into this investigation of Argo as a result of I disbelieved their claimed error of 0.002°C for the annual common temperature of the highest mile of the ocean. I mentioned this in “Decimals of Precision“, the place I confirmed that the error estimates had been overly optimistic. I needed to know extra about what the construction of the…

Krige the Argo Probe Information, Mr. Spock! 2011-12-31

A number of weeks in the past I wrote a bit highlighting a remark made within the Hansen et al. paper, “Earth’s Vitality Imbalance and Implications“, by James Hansen et al. (hereinafter H2011). Some of us mentioned I ought to take an actual take a look at Hansen’s paper, so I’ve finished so twice, first a fast take a look at “Shedding Your…

Argo, Latitude, Day, and Reynolds Interpolation 2012-03-05

That is one other of my occasional stories from my peripatetic travels by the Argo information (see the Appendix for my different dispatches from the entrance strains). Within the feedback to my earlier put up, I had put up a graphic displaying how the January/February/March information for one gridcell diverse by latitude…

Argo Notes Half 2 2012-02-10

Following on my earlier put up, “Jason and the Argo Notes”, simply a few graphs in passing: Determine 1. Argo floor temperatures, northern hemisphere. Colours present the latitude of the floats, from purple on the Equator to blue within the north. Click on on picture for full measurement model. UPDATE: a number of…

The place within the World is Argo? 2012-02-06

The Argo floats are technical marvels. They float round beneath the floor of the ocean, a couple of kilometre down, for 9 days. On the tenth day, they rise slowly to the floor, sampling the stress, temperature, and salinity as they go. Once they attain the floor, they radio house like…

Argo, Temperature, and OHC 2014-03-02

I’ve been fascinated with the Argo floats and the info they’ve collected. There are about 4,000 Argo floats within the ocean. More often than not they’re asleep, a thousand metres beneath the floor. Each 10 days they get up and slowly rise to the floor, taking temperature measurements as…

By Land and By Sea 2013-05-05

Bob Tisdale has mentioned a wide range of points with the hemispheric and basis-by-basin Levitus abstract of the ARGO information in his wonderful put up right here on WUWT. I needed to take a bigger take a look at on the world ocean information, to supply it with some context. After following a wide range of…

Argo and the Ocean Temperature Most 2012-02-12

It has been identified for a while that the “Pacific Heat Pool”, the realm simply northeast of Australia, has a most temperature. It by no means will get a lot hotter than round 30 – 31°C. This has been borne out by the Argo floats. I mentioned this in passing in “Jason and the…

Jason and the Argo Notes 2012-02-09

Like Jason, I proceed into the unknown with my take a look at the Argo information, and can put up random notes as I voyage. Come, my buddies, ‘Tis not too late to hunt a more recent world. Push off, and sitting properly so as smite The sounding furrows; for my objective holds To…

Squeezing The Sponge 2020-07-09

Over within the Tweetosphere, the place I’m @WEschenbach, I learn that we’re in for wet occasions: The ambiance cools and shrinks when the Solar will get sleepy. Rain is wrung out of it like a sponge. We have now been coming into a photo voltaic grand minimal since 2008. The underside of will probably be round 2035. There are two elements …

High and Backside of the Ambiance 2020-01-20

Some days I study loads. Right this moment was one in all them. Let me begin firstly. Again in 1987 in a paper entitled ‚ÄòThe Function of Earth Radiation Funds Research in Local weather and Basic Circulation Analysis”, a prescient local weather scientist yclept Veerabhadran Ramanathan identified that the poorly-named “greenh…

The Playa – Willis’ Glorious Journey 2012-09-09

This isn’t the traditional fare for WUWT, and I had some reservations initially about publishing a bit by Willis about “Burning Man”, fearing it could have tales of depraved debauchery, and irrational subjects like crystal therapeutic, bead remedy, and hashish cures. As most items by Willis often are, I discovered it entertaining in a “Mad…

Dancing Classes 2013-08-31

Effectively, as Bokonon mentioned, “Peculiar journey strategies are dancing classes from God”. So on account of the standard mixture of misconceptions and coincidences, we’ve obtained the house-sitter to remain in the home after we’re gone, and the women and I are going to England. The women, on this case, are my beautiful ex-fiancée and…

It’s Not About Me 2011-02-28

One response to Christopher Booker graciously mentioning my work within the Telegraph is the predictable enhance within the typical private assaults on me, versus attacking my concepts and claims. Individuals are rehashing Tim Lambert calling me a liar as a result of he disagreed with my strategies, as if that meant…

My Pal Billy 2014-04-18

(Be aware – I saved this for the weekend, when individuals who may learn this is able to doubtless be extra relaxed. This isn’t the standard fare for WUWT, however it’s one thing that’s revealing, enlightening, entertaining, and academic, whereas on the identical time unhappy and sunny suddenly. If you’d like science, skip this…

Get Your Kicks In Stepney 2013-09-03

Visitor Publish by Willis Eschenbach. WARNING: This put up comprises no scientific content material of any variety, only a story of our travels. So we made it to London, a spot that up ’til now I’ve solely identified by household tales, and books and music lyrics, viz: Your previous man took her diamonds and tiaras by the…

Esperanza Inutil 2014-07-12

Effectively, as soon as once more the house-sitter is in place, and Clan Eschenbach is on the freeway. Simply me and the beautiful ex-fiancee this time, our daughter is working as a development supervisor south of San Francisco. Our plan is to roll out by Nevada, then typically up by Yellowstone from south…

The Native Solar 2013-03-03

After I left Clayton’s place in 1971, following my motto of “Retire Early … And Typically”, I retired for some time. It was good enjoyable, however as typical, impending starvation finally known as me out of retirement, and I went searching for work. I walked the docks searching for a fishing job. I searched in Bodega…

How Can You Inform? 2014-07-15

All day lengthy we’ve been driving in Montana, which is cowboy nation and mining nation. To help of us in distinguishing these from say the Midwest sort of nation which additionally might have horses and cows, listed here are some distinguishing marks and options of cowboy nation. You recognize you’re in cowboy…

Scots, Scottish, and Scotch 2013-09-17

Edinburgh just isn’t solely sufficient to confuse your common humanoid. It drives the GPS loopy. Why? As a result of town exists on two ranges, one in all which is about fifty ft (fifteen metres) above the opposite. It’s weird. We’d be driving alongside the road, following the instructions from Google Earth on…

Residence Invasion 2013-02-15

Since our gracious host Anthony Watts has kindly turned a portion of the humanities and leisure part of WUWT over to me for the four-day weekend whereas he takes some well-earned time together with his household, whereas I’ve the microphone I needed to begin by acknowledging him for what he has…

Chook Language 2013-02-10

One advantageous day, after exhausting my meager means and concluding that my hopes of being struck by monetary lightning had been as ungrounded as Ben Frankin’s kite, I discovered myself yielding to exigency. “Exigency”, so far as I can inform, is from a Latin phrase which means “out of cash once more”. So…

The Captain’s Daughter 2013-02-18

I come by my storytelling habits truthfully, largely I credit score my grandmother for my love of a well-turned story. I grew up means out within the woods, on a cattle ranch surrounded by forest. With no TV and little radio, in my earliest reminiscences there have been at all times tales—tales of derring-do,…

One Step Ahead, Two Steps Again 2013-09-15

David Rose has posted this , from the unreleased IPCC Fifth Evaluation Report (AR5): ‘ECS is probably going within the vary 1.5C to 4.5C… The decrease restrict of the assessed doubtless vary is thus lower than the 2C within the [2007 report], reflecting the proof from new research.’ SOURCE I cracked up…

How You Get There 2013-09-07

Right this moment appeared to be about modes of transportation—vehicles and boats and trains. We rolled out early to go to Bathtub, and met up with a quintessential charming publican, Nick Luke, in a village close to Bathtub with the stunning British title of Limpley Stoke. He instructed a slight detour to see…

The Artwork of Artwork 2014-11-26

With Thanksgiving arising, I believed I’d write about one thing aside from science. A number of weekends in the past, I glided by kayak throughout Tomales Bay from Marshall to Lairds Touchdown, the place I lived for 9 months or so after I was about twenty-five with a beautiful buddy and his woman and…

The Lacking Cashbox and the Nguru Patrol 2013-02-16

The South Pacific is a wonderful place for characters, it attracts them and magnifies them the identical means it magnifies all of the tales and rumors. After whereas I developed Willis’s Rule of Rumors, which is that that you must divide all of the numbers in a narrative about another island…

Fishing Bootstrap Fashion 2013-11-11

Effectively, my current adventures with the stent have put me in a reflective mode, and for some purpose, I obtained to fascinated with evening fishing. Within the late eighties, the beautiful ex-fiancee and I lived for 3 years proper on the seashore in Honiara, the capital of the Solomon Islands…

Da Practice, Boss, Da Practice 2014-09-07

(Closing a part of the voyage, see additionally Half 1, Half 2 , Half 3, Half 4, and Half 5) The early morning bus dropped me off in Salem, Oregon, the place I discover out that the Friday prepare is $60 cheaper than the Thursday prepare. Friday matches my schedule higher, so I resolve to spend the day…

The Name Of The Operating Tide 2013-09-08

I spent the afternoon within the port metropolis of Liverpool, strolling the docks. Right here’s the view from one level, a panorama working from sunshine on the correct and grading into rain on the left, trying throughout the Mersey (click on to enlarge). As a seaman, there’s not a lot I’d quite do…

Anchors Aweigh At Final 2014-09-03

(Half Three of the voyage, see additionally Half 1 and Half 2) … Within the morning, the Captain drove the thirty miles again to Campbell River and purchased a used outboard, a 6 horsepower Sailmaster he’d heard about yesterday. It’s excellent for the dinghy, it’s going to give us freedom within the ports…

Mending Fences 2014-07-16

Just lately there have been a lot of accusations and unhealthy blood involving myself, David Evans, Joanne Nova, Lord Christopher Monckton, and Leif Svalgaard. Now, I can’t communicate for any of them, however on my half, my very own blood ended up mightily angrified, and I concern I waxed wroth.

In Which We Go to The Neo-Lithic 2013-09-10

Individuals are all aflutter demanding that the governments all over the world step in and do one thing, something, in regards to the eventual finish of oil and fossil fuels. It jogs my memory of the previous saying, The Stone Age didn’t finish as a result of we ran out of stones! Nevertheless, now that I’m within the…

Slip Slidin Away 2015-09-06

So, my beautiful ex-fiancee says to me “Did you overlook something”? I sez, “If I did I don’t keep in mind it!”, and we’re on the highway once more. Home-sitters are sitting, and we’re again on the freeway for a few weeks. We’re heading for the Grand Canyon, by means of Lake Tahoe…

Stalking the Wild Hiatus 2012-08-25

I’ll be out of contact for the following couple of weeks. I’m going to research the weather conditions on the Black Rock dry lake mattress in Nevada… … if anybody goes to be there, yow will discover me on the Skinny Kitty Teahouse. (proven beneath in 2011) C’mon by for a cup of tea.…

In Which We Kidnap Reagan, And He Wins Anyway! 2013-03-10

After I obtained out of the Military, I turned concerned within the anti-war motion in addition to the opposite most important causes of the time, girls’s rights and racial equality. We’d exit and do avenue theater, we’d march, we printed broadsides that I cringe to recollect and fortunately haven’t any…

Fashionable Piracy 2012-12-29

Effectively, of us have been asking me about my autobiography. It’s not finished. Dunno what to say besides that writing about my life is a protracted and sluggish job, partly due to the variability in my life, partly as a result of there’s no surprises ’trigger I’ve heard the entire thing so it will get…

Freighted With Reminiscences 2013-02-16

In my thoughts, freight trains have at all times held some sort of particular mojo. As a child, I’d examine them, and sung about them. I beloved the story, “The Boxcar Youngsters”. I’d seen freight trains, and I’d at all times needed to journey them, however on the exalted age of twenty-two years,…

Going Round In Nice Circles 2013-09-05

I’m positive many individuals know this, however a “nice circle” is a circle that goes clear across the total globe, and whose middle is on the middle of the globe. A “meridian”, alternatively, is a good circle that passes by the poles. Strains of longitude are meridians,…

Fishing the Mighty Kenai 2013-02-22

After I was 62, I had the good pleasure of working as soon as once more in Alaska. I really like Alaska, I’ve starved and frozen there, labored there many occasions. I’ve additionally made good cash there, and it’s at all times been piles of enjoyable. I used to be ending up because the Building Supervisor of about…

Between The Heat And The Wild 2013-02-09

Folks have been encouraging me to jot down a e-book of my experiences, and so I’ve chosen to take action in bits and items. We’ve been discussing the vagaries of these astonishing emergent phenomena generally known as wild animals, so let me proceed the theme. After I was a child on the…

Catching My Breath 2013-09-23

I believed I’d write about one thing a bit totally different, nonetheless about science, however of one other variety. After I was sixty-three, I had the curious expertise of getting my coronary heart and lungs and all examined to the max by the docs. They shot my veins full of medicine and made means…

Grey 2014-09-06

(Half 5 of the voyage, see additionally Half 1, Half 2 , Half 3, and Half 4) … After going to sleep at sea simply outdoors Cape Flattery, with a transparent evening, stars, and miles of visibility, I woke as much as this … Overcast and fog. And calm. The Straits of Juan de Fuca had been a…

Get Your Kicks On Route Sixty Six 2015-09-10

(Half Four of an ongoing collection … Half 1, Half 2, Half 3) After it obtained to 110°F (43°C) yesterday afternoon”at Willow Seashore, and after a really heat evening’s lack of relaxation within the tent, after we obtained up early this morning the temperature had fallen all the best way again down …

Previous Invoice Rises From The Useless 2013-03-01

I’ve written a couple of South Pacific reprobate I known as “Previous Invoice” earlier than in my story known as Fashionable Piracy. He was a con man of the very best order. As a buddy remarked, most con males inform a narrative so good you consider it with out query. Invoice’s drawback was that he advised…

Ranger Rick 2012-02-26

I’ve had the privilege of residing in all kinds of nations and societies. And having not at all times been completely sane myself, a technique that I choose societies is by how they deal with their loopy of us. “Again within the day”, as they are saying, I lived in a city known as Olema,…

Onwards, Ever Onwards 2014-07-24

I’ve been remiss in my duties as journey correspondent. When final heard from, the beautiful ex-fiancee and I had been rolling out of Butte, Montana in a rented automotive. On the finish of the day, we arrived in Missoula, Montana, one of many two targets of the journey. It’s the house…

Tropical Crime and Punishment 2013-02-11

Folks typically ask how I discovered a lot about coral atolls and islands. It’s as a result of for 3 years within the late ’80s I lived in one of the crucial lovely locations on the planet, a coral island within the South Pacific. I used to be the Supervisor of the island, the corporate…

Even Scientists Want Love 2013-02-14

It being Valentines Day and all, I believed I’d write a Valentine message in regards to the girl I typically describe as my “beautiful ex-fiancee”, my spouse of 35 years this November. I believed I’d say a couple of phrases about her and the way we obtained married … as a result of as is common in…

The Strait of Juan de Fuca 2014-09-04

(Half Four of the voyage, see additionally Half 1, Half 2 , and Half 3) …Up early and we’re off for Galiano Island, the place the Captain has buddy he needs to go to. Effectively, really, like me he needs to make the most of the nice climate to run south … however we’re going…

The Wheel Of Fortune 2013-09-14

Because of luck and the WUWT readership, we obtained the prospect to not solely see the Falkirk Wheel, however to take a journey on it … what a wonderful piece of Scottish engineering. No surprise the engineer on the Starship Enterprise was “Scotty” … right here’s the wheel, on a…

Fog Might Be Icy 2014-07-13

That was what the signal on the freeway outdoors of Reno mentioned, at any charge. I stored ready for the corresponding signal saying Ice Might Be Foggy However I haven’t seen it but. We escaped from the Nugget Lodge, which was factor. They’ve a “Gilleys” bar there,…

Boat Supply 2014-08-01

Final evening I turned to the beautiful ex-fiancee and mentioned “Man, I can’t consider I’m transport out to sea once more! I believed I might have discovered my lesson by now”. She simply laughed. So, up at 4:15 AM and rolling at 5 by the foggy vineyards of Sonoma to the…

Fetching the Tow Boat 2014-09-03

Per week or two in the past I began the story of my most up-to-date voyage, as first mate on a fishing boat supply from northern Vancouver Island to Oregon … problem issue: we wanted to make use of the fishing boat to tow a 30′ (9 metre) trimaran. (A “trimaran” is a ship…

Blackmailing the Japanese Ambassador 2013-02-17

I obtained to speaking and laughing with my beautiful woman as we speak about previous Billy Bennett. Billy was a rascal and a rogue and an erstwhile killer of males and a gentleman, one other of these odd folks one finds within the Solomon Islands. Billy was born the identical 12 months as my…

It Isn’t A Good Britain, It’s A Nice Britain 2013-09-20

After heavy rain throughout the evening, we rolled south from Edinburgh in sporadic showers by the land of the enormous chicken shredders … I ended to take a look at them. I’d not been up shut to at least one in a decade or so, and like my daughter, oh, my how they’ve grown…

The Romans Be Stylin’ 2013-09-11

As we had been driving north as we speak from the Lake District, we handed by the city of Troutbeck, and I used to be reminded how a lot of my information of the UK derives from songs and poetry. On this case the music was: D’ye ken John Peel, wi’ his coat so grey? He…

Questing Into The New Yr 2015-01-01

It’s a chilly clear evening right here alongside the north Pacific coast the place I stay, with a waxing moon surveying the scene. As befits New Years Day, I’ve been fascinated with the previous and the long run … and I at all times do my greatest considering down by the ocean. I stay close to…

Who Is Your Favourite Heart specialist? 2013-11-10

Effectively, it’s been a most uncommon week on my planet. On Tuesday, I went to my physician about some recurring chest ache I’d been having. He gave me an EKG and a whole bodily. He advised me that there had been some modifications since my final EKG (in 1985), and…

Behind Bars Once more 2013-02-24

I’ve written about my time within the US Military, and about spending time behind bars getting out of the Military, in my story known as It’s Not About Me. In that story, I mentioned a little bit of my view on the Vietnam conflict, the view echoed by many who’ve studied…

Would You Give This Man a Experience? 2011-10-17

As I discussed in my final put up, I’d deliberate to hitchhike for a pair days. My plan was to hitch as much as Grant’s Cross, Oregon to go to the bachelor get together for buddy. That is the man who was instrumental in my getting a job a pair years…

I Have It Made In Alaska 2013-03-05

Within the fall of 1964 I began faculty on the College of California at Berkeley, however I hated it. I lasted one 12 months, and as quickly as college set free in June of 1965 I went to Alaska to hunt my fortune. My cousin and I had heard that fishermen…

Gold Fever 2013-02-20

I first met my buddy Mel within the Military nuthouse. I wrote about him earlier than, and the nuthouse, in a bit known as “It’s Not About Me“. I hadn’t seen him for a pair months. Someday he blew into Santa Cruz. He mentioned he’d met an previous man up in…

Rolling With The Sarsen Stones 2013-09-06

I awoke this morning in London to a delicate rain, and was reminded of a remark by Mark Twain. When Twain was residing within the UK, a few his buddies from the US had been out to his home to tea. Per week later, he writes to another person:…

The Grand Canyon Of The Thoughts 2015-09-16

(Half 5″of an ongoing collection …”Half 1,”Half 2,”Half 3, Half 4) Ever since I used to be a child I needed to stay to be 103 years previous, as a result of I’ve at all times needed to see what might be happening in 2050. In consequence, I had to determine a approach to …

Wanderlust 2017-11-29

A fast notice for these all for my ongoing adventures all over the world. I’m presently in Gizo, within the Solomon Islands —why? Effectively, the reply is in my newest put up on my weblog, a put up entitled “Feasting”. In case you’d like lighter fare than the continuing dialogue of my newest Watts Up With That put up…

Rolling Residence 2016-05-14

Up early this morning, consuming espresso within the Aussie sunshine with a kookaburra cackling within the background and listening to Dwight Yoakum and Buck Owens sing a duet model of Buck’s previous traditional music “The Streets of Bakersfield” —Hey, you don’t know me, however you don’t like me You say you care much less h…

Fiji Waters 2016-05-09

As I’ve talked about in my earlier posts, I’ve been utilizing a home-made thermometer setup to measure the air and water temperatures of the waters round Fiji. To begin with, I’ve been fascinated with simply why I did it. The reply, as with many issues in my life, is “I’m undecided.” (As an apart, I common…

Tunes Performed On A Tropical Piano 2017-05-04

After I wrote my final piece about my journey to Fiji, issues have simply been shifting too quick to jot down. I’ll simply take up the place I left off, at Janice’s Skinny Bean Cafe in Pacific Harbour. It’s in a big complicated of retailers and flats known as “Arts Village”. I used to stay in one of many flats, so w…

Transferring Out 2016-05-04

The final crew member arrived as we speak, and we moved onto the boat. It’s nice apart from the mosquitoes —and sadly, Zika virus is alleged to be right here in Fiji. In consequence, I’ve been rising the quarterly earnings of the insect repellant firm —Largely, as we speak was gathering bits and items, a…

Gang Aft Agley 2016-05-08

Not less than issues began properly on the voyage to New Caledonia. We obtained the ship all ready, we cleared Customs and Immigration, and the nice Fijian of us on the Vuda Level Marina got here out to sing the stunning Fijian music of farewell, “Isa Lei”. Nevertheless, there have been nonetheless temperatures to take, a visit bac…

Ta Moko 2016-05-11

Yesterday afternoon we took off at 3:45 from Fiji en path to Brisbane. I at all times get pleasure from that flight, it’s usually a cross-section of the sorts of clouds seen at totally different temperatures. Apparently, we flew proper over the course that we had simply sailed. So having simply seen the climate from the floor…

Pushing the Journey Button 2016-09-01

My luck this week was to drive with my beautiful ex-fiancee as much as go fishing on the Columbia River. My mad buddy John Whitlatch and his beautiful spouse Allie have their Buoy 10 fish camp there on the mouth of the Columbia yearly. So we jumped within the wheels, pushed the journey button, and h…

Darcy Farrow 2015-09-07

Touring usually jogs my memory what number of locations I do know solely by songs. I’ve made a (poor) residing as a musician at varied occasions up to now, and that’s a couple of strains from a music by Ian and Sylvia that I’ve sung many occasions. But it surely wasn’t till as we speak that I’d ever seen both the Walker River or the Vehicles…

I Lastly Beat My Weblog Into Submission 2016-12-12

Effectively, I lastly bit the bullet and efficiently obtained my very own weblog up and working. It’s known as “Skating on the underside of the ice”. The “About This Weblog” web page says: My title is Willis Eschenbach. I’m a generalist. My CV is right here. It is a weblog of my ideas about this curious and mysterious universe…

sWINDle 2014-07-15

On our means out of Idaho as we speak I noticed an excellent billboard about wind energy. It gave me hope for the long run. Right here’s what the billboard mentioned: We rolled out towards Yellowstone Park. My due to whoever instructed that we take the Mesa Waterfall loop highway, it was completely beautiful. It’s a winding nation ro…

Chopping The Grass 2017-05-22

Sufi tales of the knowledge of the silly Mulla Nasrudin have been round for a thousand years or extra. One among them tells how the Mulla was strolling down the road in the future. Three tales above him, a person was engaged on a roof. The workman slipped and fell. He landed o…

Motomania 2016-05-13

Right this moment was all about motor sports activities. Mike and I began by taking the bikes for a spin. Sadly, in my haste to go driving I didn’t examine the tires on the BMW, and the entrance tire was fairly low. In consequence, the sucker didn’t steer in any respect accurately. It needed to wander throughout the lane, and it p…

AltUSNatParkService 2017-01-25

Let me begin by saying that I’m an enormous fan and frequent person of our Nationwide Park System. I’m additionally a devoted and lifelong conservationist, involved with our pure setting that’s the foundation of all life. So please don’t take the next as being against true environmentalism. I’m not. I’…

The Canine of Winter 2016-04-30

After a really lengthy evening, with a ten-hour flight someplace within the center, I blew into Fiji at about 5 within the morning. I used to be reminded throughout my journey of the previous story in regards to the man who determined to depart the ocean behind. He mentioned he was going to place an anchor on his shoulder and stroll inland till some…

An election evaluation you received’t see within the MSM 2016-11-09

First, I heard three of the perfect, most shifting, heartfelt, and actual speeches of the election yesterday and as we speak, from Trump, Clinton, and Obama. My congratulations to all three of them for a statesman-like response to the end result. Subsequent, after I was a child, the Democrats had been the get together of the poor and …

Sea of Desires 2016-04-27

So I obtained an e mail from my mad South Pacific amigo Mike. I wrote about him in The Lacking Cashbox and the Nguru Patrol, and he’s nonetheless going robust. His e mail, despatched to a couple of his saltier buddies, mentioned he was fascinated with shopping for a sailboat that was up “on the arduous”, which means hauled out of the water…

Northern Journeys 2017-08-27

I simply obtained again from going up north to see my buddies, to research core drills for gold ore sampling —oh, and to see the eclipse. We rolled out of house in our camper van, heading up the California coast. Me, I used to be nonetheless recuperating from working my thumb by m…

Las Vegas, AKA Los Voraces 2015-09-09

(That is Half Three of an ongoing digression —see Half 1 and Half 2. We rolled out of Tonopah within the morning, and straight on by Nevada. Largely what Nevada has are lengthy valleys separated by a single ridge of mountains, and really straight roads. We rolled south within the Armagosa valley, house of exactl…

Sea Trials 2016-05-03

Earlier than you’re taking a brand new boat to sea, you do a “sea trial” to verify every part is working. Right this moment was the day for the ocean trials. It was early afternoon after we went out, so the clear morning had been changed by stupendous thunderstorm clouds. By about 1PM they had been already arduous at work cooling the…

Urbane Legends 2016-09-02

So we had been sitting across the fireplace on the fish camp on the Colombia a couple of days in the past, and a person mentioned “Did you hear in regards to the scientific examine into meat preservatives?” We admitted our ignorance, and he began in. The story was like this: “A number of years in the past there was a st…

Lies, Damned Lies, Statistics … and Graphs 2011-02-20

Just lately, Nature Journal revealed a paywalled paper known as “Human contribution to more-intense precipitation extremes” by Seung-Ki Min, Xuebin Zhang, Francis W. Zwiers & Gabriele C. Hegerl (hereinafter MZZH11) was revealed in Nature Journal. The Supplementary Info is accessible right here. The examine makes a really robust declare to have proven that CO2…

Not Evil, Simply Romm 2011-03-17

UPDATE: Romm at CP makes some important concessions to error with additions, however can’t convey himself to say WUWT, credit score Willis, or enable any commenters to take action both. He has been “disappearing” important feedback as evidenced by our personal commenters reposting their disappeared feedback right here. It’s comical to observe. – Anthony UPDATE: That’s…

Local weather and Early Asian Immigrants 2011-08-08

The Nationwide Wildlife Federation (NWF) has issued a brand new report (PDF) asserting that the Early Asian Immigrants (incorrectly known as “Native” People) are hit the toughest by “climate-induced climate extremes”. I’ll go away apart the apparent issues with that fanciful declare, and the oddity of the thought of “climate-induced climate” no matter…

Waxman-Malarkey: Influence Zone US Northeast 2010-06-29

Within the US Home of Representatives, there’s something curiously yclept the “Choose Committee on Vitality Independence and International Warming” regardless of the dearth of connection between the power independence and warming. They’ve a really professionally finished web site, full of a few of the most outrageous misrepresentations conceivable. It’s designed…

Racing To The Mountaintop at 0.Four Metres Per Yr 2012-04-25

Anthony highlighted a examine known as “Current Plant Range Modifications on Europe’s Mountain Peaks” (paywalled right here , hereinafter Pauli2012). The Supplementary On-line Info (SOI) is right here. The examine concluded that the vegetation had moved vertically up the mountain by 2.7 metres, and Anthony was justifiably amused by the accuracy of the…

Border Transgressions 2010-07-28

There’s a new paper out within the Proceedings of the Nationwide Academy of Sciences known as Linkages amongst local weather change, crop yields and Mexico–US cross-border migration (hereinafter L2010). It has Supplementary On-line Info (SOI) right here. The editor of the paper is (the late) Dr. Stephen Schneider. The paper mainly advances…

Preserve doing that and also you’ll go blind 2012-12-19

Statistical failure of A Inhabitants-Primarily based Case–Management Research of Excessive Summer time Temperature and Start The story of how world warming causes congenital cataracts in newborns infants has been getting large media consideration. So I believed I’d check out the examine itself. It’s known as A Inhabitants-Primarily based Case–Management Research of Excessive…

The Thriller of Equation 8 2012-01-23

I’ve been trying on the Nikolov and Zeller paper once more. Amongst different issues, they declare to have the ability to calculate the floor temperature Ts of eight totally different planets and moons from understanding nothing greater than the photo voltaic irradiation So and the floor stress Ps for every heavenly physique. Dr. Zeller refers to this as their MIRACLE…

Seven Constructing Blocks To Equity and Fairness 2012-03-16

There’s an article within the newest subject of Science journal, known as “Strengthening the UN Companies In Order To Shield The Authors’ Paychecks” … simply kidding, that may be the title in the event that they enforced the “Fact in Promoting” legal guidelines for pseudoscientific papers. The truth is it’s known as “Navigating the Anthropocene: Bettering Earth…

Mistaking Numerology for Math 2011-06-28

I at all times love seeing what Science journal thinks is necessary. Of their June 10th version, of their “BY THE NUMBERS” part, they quote Nature Local weather Change journal, viz: 1,211,287 Sq. kilometers of ice road-accessible Arctic lands that might be unreachable by 2050, a 14% lower, in keeping with a report on-line 29 Might…

Knobs 2010-12-09

Andrew Lacis and the nice of us at GISS have a brand new paper, Atmospheric CO2: Principal Management Knob Governing Earth’s Temperature, Andrew A. Lacis, Gavin A. Schmidt, David Rind, Reto A. Ruedy 15 OCTOBER 2010 VOL 330 SCIENCE [hereinafter “Lacis10”]. Though most commenters have dismissed their work as being spinoff and…

Hansen’s Arrested Growth 2011-12-20

James Hansen has taken day without work between being arrested to supply one other within the listing of his publications. It’s known as “Earth’s Vitality Imbalance and Implications“. This one is listed as “submitted” … Usually today I want to solely cope with scientific papers, which in fact leaves activist pleadings like Hansen’s…

Dr. Curry Warms the Southern Ocean 2010-08-17

UPDATE: 8/18 10:30AM I spoke with Dr. Judith Curry by phone as we speak, and she or he graciously supplied the hyperlink to the complete paper right here, and has added this graphic to assist make clear the dialogue. I’ve reformatted it to suit this presentation format (aspect by aspect quite than top-bottom) Whereas it is a controversial subject, I…

Gotta Admire The Chutzpah 2011-06-11

The summary of a brand new examine from Science Journal entitled “The Uncommon Nature of Current Snowpack Declines within the North American Cordillera”, Gregory Pederson et al., 9 June 2011 (paywalled, all information accessible right here, figures right here, overview right here) opens by saying: In western North America snowpack has declined in current…

Waxman Malarkey 2: Influence Zone Australia 2010-06-29

Having spent an inexpensive period of time there, I’ve the very best regard for Australia and Australians. Generally they’re good, level-headed of us. Sadly, the identical can’t be mentioned for the individuals who wrote the Waxman-Markey web site web page on Australia. I mentioned the primary of their “Influence Zones” right here, please…

The Start of CGR Science 2012-01-20

I used to be studying a examine revealed in November 2011 in Science magazine, paywalled in fact. It’s known as “The Tempo of Shifting Local weather in Marine and Terrestrial Ecosystems”, by Burrows et al. (summary right here, hereinafter B2011). Nevertheless, I consider that the Supplementary On-line Info (SOI) might not be paywalled, and it…

Unsure about Uncertainty 2011-11-06

I used to be studying a examine simply revealed in Science magazine, pay-walled in fact. It’s known as “The Tempo of Shifting Local weather in Marine and Terrestrial Ecosystems”, by Burrows et al. (hereinafter B2011). Nevertheless, I consider that the Supplementary On-line Info (SOI) might not be paywalled, and it’s right here. The paper itself…

Underneath the radar – the NAS Report 2012-03-07

Underneath the radar, and un-noticed by many local weather scientists, there was a current examine by the Nationwide Academy of Sciences (NAS), commissioned by the US Authorities, concerning local weather change. Right here is the remit underneath which they had been presupposed to function: Particularly, our cost was 1. To establish the principal premises…

Local weather, Warning, and Precaution 2009-12-31

One of many arguments ceaselessly utilized to the local weather debate is that the “Precautionary Precept” requires that we take motion to scale back CO2. Nevertheless, it is a misunderstanding of the Precautionary Precept, which suggests one thing very totally different from the sort of warning that makes us carry an umbrella when rain…

Improve of maximum foolishness in a warming world 2011-10-28

Stefan Rahmstorf and Dim Coumou have revealed a paper (paywalled, in fact) in one of many best-known vainness presses of science, PNAS (Proceedings of the Nationwide Alarmists of Science). I feel that is one other PNAS examine that seems to be peer-reviewed, however is definitely solely “edited”, no matter meaning. It has…

Does This Evaluation Make My Tropics Look Huge? 2012-05-22

There’s a new paper in Nature journal that claims that the tropics are increasing. This might be worrisome as a result of it may push the dry zones additional north and south, shifting the Saharan aridity into Southern Europe. The paper is named “Current Northern Hemisphere tropical growth primarily pushed by black…

Ecological Footprints – a good suggestion gone unhealthy 2010-08-26

In “One other day, overshot to hell” Anthony Watts commented on the “Overshoot Day” promoted by Mathis Wackernagel and the International Footprint Community (GFN). That is primarily based on the thought of the “ecological footprint”. Your “ecological footprint” (EF) is what number of acres (hectares) of land it takes to assist you, to…

Decreasing The Bar 2011-07-12

Anthony has identified a brand new paper by McKinley et al. concerning the carbon sinks of the oceans (preprint accessible right here , supplementary on-line data right here). The oceans soak up and sequester carbon from the ambiance. As typical on this world of “science by press launch”, the paper has already been…

Willis on Hegerl 2006-10-25

Willis writes: A few issues. First, I’ve digitized the entire Hegerl proxy information, and positioned it right here. I sampled it at ~three 12 months intervals, and interpolated the precise years. Second, I took a take a look at their reconstruction technique. They are saying: Step one of the reconstruction approach is to sc…

Information Smoothing and Spurious Correlation 2008-02-12

Allan Macrae has posted an attention-grabbing examine at ICECAP. Within the examine he argues that the modifications in temperature (tropospheric and floor) precede the modifications in atmospheric CO2 by 9 months. Thus, he says, CO2 can’t be the supply of the modifications in temperature, as a result of it follows these modifications. Be…

Tropical Tropospheric Amplification – an invite to overview this new paper 2009-06-30

Some time in the past I began finding out the query of the amplification of the tropical tropospheric temperature with respect to the floor. After months of analysis bore fruit, I began writing a paper. My intention was to have it revealed in a peer-reviewed journal. I completed the writing a couple of …

When Outcomes Go Dangerous … 2009-11-29

One of many claims on this hacked CRU e mail saga goes one thing like “Effectively, the scientists acted like jerks, however that doesn’t have an effect on the outcomes, it’s nonetheless warming.” I obtained intrigued by one of many hacked CRU emails, from the Phil Jones and Kevin Trenberth to Professor Wibjorn Karlen. In it, Professor…

The Impact of Local weather Change On The Arizona Quadrat 2013-08-15

Anthony lately identified a brand new paper known as “Dramatic Response of Montane Crops to Local weather Change within the Southwest” by Brusca et al., accessible right here. In that paper, the authors have finished an attention-grabbing repeat of an earlier examine. Within the Brusca2013 examine the authors report having finished a brand new plant…

Vegans will not be from Vegas 2010-10-20

In response to my current put up about whether or not we may feed extra folks if everybody had been vegetarians (I say no), a poster named Marissa wrote a heartfelt paean to Veganism. Determine 1. Maybe the world’s best-known adherent of a strict Vegan weight loss program. Vegans are a sort of fundamentalist sect of born-again…

EPA Guidelines … and the way they don’t observe their very own 2011-09-28

Most folk wouldn’t be stunned if I had been to make the declare that the US Environmental Safety Company (EPA) didn’t correctly think about the science when it issued its “Endangerment Discovering” saying that CO2 was a pollutant and a hazard to humanity. It’s that scientifically unsupported discovering that…

Shedding Your Imbalance 2011-12-30

Folks have upbraided me for not doing an in-depth evaluation of the paper “Earth’s Vitality Imbalance and Implications“, by James Hansen et al. (hereinafter H2011). In that paper they declare that the earth has a critical power imbalance, primarily based on the change in oceanic warmth content material (OHC). Right here’s my fast…

Local weather Truly Modifications! Movie at 11:00! 2010-05-08

Final month (April 2010), the US Environmental Safety Company (EPA) put out a examine known as “Local weather Change Indicators in the US” (13 Mb PDF). I learn by it … depressingly unhealthy science. To begin with, they parrot the findings of the IPCC as their “proof” that every part we see…

Allergy symptoms and Dr. Broecker 2011-09-26

In yet one more futile try to clarify away what I see because the affordable and justified skeptical American response to the endless stream of nonsense being peddled as local weather science today, we have now an article by a Particular Correspondent to the Related Press. I don’t know what makes the…

You cursed brat! Look what you’ve finished! I’m melting! Melting! 2010-05-30

Yesterday, I mentioned the Shepherd et al. paper, “Current lack of floating ice and the ensuing sea stage contribution” (which I’ll name S2010). I additionally posted up a spreadsheet of their Desk 1, displaying the arithmetic errors of their Desk. Right this moment, I’d like to debate the issues with their…

Perpetuum Cellular 2012-01-19

Since not less than the times of Da Vinci, folks have been fascinated by perpetual movement machines. One such “perpetuum cellular” designed across the time of the civil conflict is proven beneath. It wasn’t till the event of the science of thermodynamics that it might be confirmed that each one such mechanisms…

James Hansen Says Coal Is Greening The Planet!?! 2013-03-29

There’s an attention-grabbing measure of atmospheric CO2, known as the “airborne fraction”. The airborne fraction is the fraction of the CO2 emitted annually which stays within the ambiance. When people emit say 9 gigatonnes of carbon, solely about half of that is still within the air. The opposite half of the…

What We Don’t Know 2013-05-13

Again in August 2010, WUWT ran an article whereby it was claimed that variations within the solar modified the speed of radioactive decay. This, in fact, flew within the face of years and years of experimental proof, beginning with the Curies, that the speed of radioactive decay is fixed, unaffected…

Act Now! Make Cash From International Warming! 2011-10-09

Over on the Nationwide Institutes of Well being, they’ve introduced that there are funds accessible for analysis into the results of local weather on human well being (NIH pronounces local weather change and well being funding). I assume it’s like they mentioned within the film “Area of Desires”, their well-known line that “In case you…

Solely a Century? Ya Wimps! 2011-10-20

You’ve heard of “Publish Regular Science”? I examine “Para Regular Science”. That’s the sort of science that’s primarily based on the prepared suspension of perception within the bodily legal guidelines of nature. Persevering with my investigation of para regular science, I discover a group that takes the lengthy view of sea stage…

Eight tenths of a level? Consider the Grandchildren! 2010-10-22

James Hansen and others say that we owe it to our Grandchildren to get this local weather query proper. Hansen says “Grandchildren” with a capital G when he speaks of them so I’ll proceed the follow. I imply, for PR functions, Grandchildren with a capital letter outrank even Puppies with…

The place’s the ice for my drink? 2010-05-28

I don’t know what to make of this one. I used to be wandering the online after I got here throughout a Reuters article a couple of scientific examine known as “International Floating Ice In “Fixed Retreat”: Research“. The Reuters article opens with this arresting textual content (emphasis mine): LONDON Wed Apr 28, 2010 1:38pm EDT…

The Unbelievable Shrinking Frog 2011-10-19

Within the New York Instances, there’s an article on some analysis that recommend a slight shrinkage of vegetation and animals with warming. Within the “you may’t make this up” division, right here’s the illustration: Determine 1. A giant frog collected some time in the past and a small frog collected extra lately, which…

Lastly Some Good Information! 2011-11-11

As reported within the Guardian (so it should be true), we’re handled to some nice information: World headed for irreversible local weather change in 5 years, IEA warns If fossil gas infrastructure just isn’t quickly modified, the world will ‘lose for ever’ the prospect to keep away from harmful local weather change …

The USGS Investigates Elk 2012-01-12

Elk are one of many largest of the “Cervidae”, the deer household, and are one in all North America’s largest mammals. Cows weight about 225 kg. (500 kilos) whereas bulls weigh about 320 kg (700 kilos). They’re magnificent animals within the wild, and as well as they’ve one other crucial…

Pre-Prints and Pre-Information 2011-11-01

Of us have mentioned that I’m far too arduous on Dr. Richard Muller of the Berkeley Earth Floor Temperature (BEST Undertaking). So let me follow the info. I concern I misplaced all respect for the person when he broke a confidentiality settlement with Anthony Watts, not simply in informal dialog,…

Anthropogenic Decline in Pure Gasoline 2010-05-27

Effectively, Nature Geoscience is on a roll. Their newest “scientific examine” makes an previous declare in a brand new means. After ascribing the temperature modifications in Lake Tanganyika to human actions, in a brand new paper they’re now ascribing the modifications within the local weather 12,000 years in the past to the actions of…

Hansen’s Sea Shell Sport 2012-01-29

There’s an previous con recreation that has been performed on the suckers for lots of and lots of of years. It’s finished in varied varieties, with varied objects, underneath varied names—three card monty, the shell recreation, Thimblerig, bottle caps, cups and ball, the sport is similar in each one. The…

Hell and Excessive Histogramming – Mastering an Fascinating Warmth Wave Puzzle 2012-07-10

Anthony Watts, Lucia Liljegren , and Michael Tobis have all finished job running a blog about Jeff Masters’ egregious math error. His error was that he claimed {that a} run of excessive US temperatures had solely an opportunity of 1 in 1.6 million of being a pure incidence. Right here’s his declare:…

Waxman Malarkey 3: Influence Zone Alaska 2010-06-30

As soon as once more, I return to that countless font of misinformation, the Waxman Markey web site. On this case, I take a look at their claims about Alaska. This one might be brief and candy. Their declare is that Alaska is roasting, as within the image beneath: Determine 1. The dessert generally known as “flaming…

Waxman Malarkey 4: Influence Zone Eire 2010-07-01

Partially Four of this collection, I check out the Waxman Markey claims in regards to the Emerald Isle, Influence Zone Eire. My earlier analyses of the identical website had been Waxman Malarkey: Influence Zone US Northeast, Australia, and Alaska. Having run wanting different scares, the W/M of us need to…

Using a Pseudocycle 2011-07-30

Loehle and Scafetta lately posted a bit on decomposing the HadCRUT3 temperature file into a few part cycles plus a pattern. I disagreed with their evaluation on a wide range of grounds. Within the course of, I used to be reminded of labor I had finished a couple of years in the past utilizing what’s…

Wrecked In A Hurricane 2016-03-08

Bemused by claims about connections between photo voltaic radiation, shipwrecks, and hurricanes within the pre-publication press launch of a paywalled examine highlighted by Anthony right here on WUWT, I believed I’d have a look. I obtained a duplicate of the examine due to my undersea connection, m…

The Hood Robin Syndrome 2015-08-29

There’s a brand new examine out, underneath the imprimatur of the Vitality Institute of the Haas College of Enterprise in Berkeley, California,”entitled The Distributional Results of U.S. Clear Vitality Tax Credit. “Because the title implies, it seems at who really profited from the assorted “…

Nature Journal’s Folie à Deux, Half Deux 2011-02-24

Effectively, in my final put up I believed that I had seen nature at its worst … Nature Journal, that’s. However now I’ve had an opportunity to take a look at the opposite paywalled Nature paper in the identical subject, entitled Anthropogenic greenhouse fuel contribution to flood threat in England and Wales…

Cites and Indicators of the occasions 2012-02-01

I’ve been concerned in local weather science for some time now, this isn’t my first rodeo. And I’ve learn so many pseudo-scientific research that I’m beginning to develop an inventory of indicators that point out when all just isn’t properly with a selected piece of labor. One signal is whether or not, how,…

Of The Ears Of Whales 2016-03-06

Whales are awe-inspiring creatures. After I was a child, they used to herald the whale carcasses to the rendering plant not removed from my dad’s home, and a pair occasions I obtained to observe”them winch the massive sperm whales from the catcher boats. A small child subsequent to an …

To Sahel And Again 2011-12-13

The Sahel, that stretch of harsh territory south of the Sahara desert, is a bleak area. I did some work there, in a pair three nations. I got here away with the conviction that if day-after-day, each particular person within the Sahel planted one fruit tree and killed one goat, in…

The Peak Of Temperature Folly 2015-11-10

In her at all times attention-grabbing weblog, Dr. Judith Curry [and Anthony at WUWT]”factors to a really well-researched article by Bjorn Lomborg, peer-reviewed, entitled “Influence of Present Local weather Proposals” (full textual content). He has repeated the work that Tom Wigley did for the pre…

The Penguin Strikes Again 2016-02-16

Effectively, as soon as once more we’ve confirmed that Mark Twain was proper when he noticed that “A lie can journey half means all over the world whereas the reality is placing on its sneakers.” … however the response time of the reality is getting higher. Three days in the past visitor writer Eric Worral…

Animal, Vegetable, or E. O. Wilson 2010-09-11

Buoyed by the equal elements of derision and assist I acquired for writing in “I’m So Drained Of Malthus” about how people are higher fed than at any time in historical past, I’m foolishly however bravely venturing as soon as once more into the query of how we feed ourselves. In a…

Ponderous Pachyderms Forestall Permafrost 2010-07-02

Anthony Watts has pointed to a curious new paper in his article “Local weather Craziness of the Week: The AGU peddles a mammoth local weather change principle” I believed I’d use it for instance of how I take a primary minimize at whether or not a principle is affordable or not. The brand new…

Plankton Redux 2015-11-08

Again in 2010 I wrote a put up known as “Strolling the Plank-ton”. In that put up I baldly said”that claims of a 40% loss in plankton since 1950 had been completely bogus. Nevertheless, I additionally admitted that I didn’t know why or the place they’d made a mistake, and I actually …

Vitality and Financial Crises SOLVED! 2012-05-14

This story is from the “you may’t make these things up” file. A few of our British cousins have discovered a approach to remedy all of it. They’ve arrange the One Million Jobs Caravan, as a part of a “Marketing campaign Towards Local weather Change” … I’m undecided how they plan…

The Eighth First Local weather Refugees 2015-12-26

I’ve written earlier than in regards to the loopy claims of “local weather refugees”, there’s an inventory of posts within the notes beneath. After I got down to write about bogus local weather claims, I discover myself in what I name a “target-rich setting”. Loopy concepts on the topic…

Save the Sunburnt Whales 2010-11-12

We must be cautious to get out of an expertise solely the knowledge that’s in it ‚Äî and cease there; lest we be just like the cat that sits down on a scorching stove-lid. She’s going to by no means sit down on a scorching stove-lid once more ‚Äî and that’s properly; but additionally she’s going to by no means sit down on a chilly one any extra. ‚ÄîPudd’nhead Wilson…

Quick Splice, Lengthy Splice 2011-11-11

After I was a child I had the good fortune to be taught to splice rope by a grandson of Richard Henry Dana. He taught me learn how to do a protracted splice and a brief splice —however I by no means discovered learn how to do both the lengthy or brief information splice. For that, I needed to await local weather science. Anthony lately highli…

PDI: Elsner 2006-10-10

Effectively, these research is giving me a headache. My newest one is Excessive frequency variability in hurricane energy dissipation and its relationship to world temperature, James B. Elsner et al.I went to search for a few of Elsner’s work due to Steve Bloom’s remark, viz:

Failed Serial Doomcasting 2019-12-27

Folks typically ask me why I don’t consider the countless local weather/power use predictions of impending doom and gloom for the 12 months 2050 or 2100. The reason being, neither the local weather fashions nor the power use fashions are price a bucket of heat spit for such predictions. Of us focus loads on the obvio…

Unscientific People 2016-12-04

Our betters on the so-called “Scientific” American journal have determined to lecture us unscientific People on what’s actual science. The event was a retweet by Consultant Lamar Smith of the Science, Area, and Expertise Committee of a hyperlink to an article enti…

NOAA Jumps The Local weather Shark 2015-07-07

The Guardian, that countless supply of local weather activism, expoundeth as follows: An enormous coral bleaching occasion presently ravaging coral reefs throughout the globe may destroy 1000’s of sq. kilometres of coral cowl without end, US authorities scientists have mentioned. In figures solely launched to th…

The Pages2K Goat-Rope 2015-09-11

Over at Local weather Audit, Steve McIntyre is doing his typical excellent job deconstructing unhealthy science. On this case he’s discussing the current publication of the long-delayed “Pages2K” two-thousand-year multi-proxy examine of ocean temperatures. The paper is named, “Sturdy world ocean cooling pattern for th…

Hansen’s 1988 Predictions Redux 2019-01-06

Over within the Tweeterverse, somebody despatched me the hyperlink to the revered local weather scientist James Hansen’s 1988 Senate testimony and advised me “Right here’s what we had been advised 30 years in the past by NASA scientist James Hansen. It has confirmed correct.” I believed —huh? Can that be proper? Her…

Gavin’s Falsifiable Science 2020-01-18

Gavin Schmidt is a pc programmer with the Goddard Institute of Area Sciences (GISS) and a famous local weather alarmist. He has a Ph.D. in utilized arithmetic. He’s put collectively a twitter thread containing what he sees as some necessary factors of the “testable, falsifiable science that helps a hu…

Australia Fires … And Misfires 2020-01-04

I stored listening to a lot in regards to the Australian bushfires being the results of or pushed by “local weather change” or “world warming” that I believed I’d check out simply what’s occurred to the rainfall there. Listed below are 100 and nineteen years of Australian rainfall. Right here’s the curious half. The earth h…

The Inexperienced Local weather Deal 2018-12-08

I see that Ms. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and Mr. Bernie Sanders are pushing one thing known as a “Inexperienced New Deal”, so I believed I’d have a look. The Hill has a bit entitled “Progressives say dire local weather stories level to wish for ‚ÄòGreen New Deal’”, and the Atlantic journal has an article on it head…

Dr. Hansen’s Statistics 2018-06-30

SOURCE OK, this put up has ended up having two elements, as a result of as typical, I obtained side-tractored whereas trying on the first half. It’s the issue with science, too many attention-grabbing trails main off the primary freeway —I needed to level out an ignored a part of Dr. James Hansen’s 1988 oral testimony to …

Invoice Nye Loses The Plot 2017-02-27

Invoice Nye the not-really-Science Man was on Tucker Carlson tonight. Tucker tried time after time to get Nye to say how a lot of the change was resulting from people —and time after time, Nye refused to say what his opinion was. So Tucker obtained him to agree that the local weather has at all times been altering. Then, in re…

Forest Fires within the Golden State 2018-11-12

Our charmingly incompetent California Governor, Jerry “Moonbeam” Brown, has introduced that each one climate-change deniers are “undoubtedly contributing” to the wildfires within the northern and southern elements of the state o…

Best Gases 2018-02-06

Over on the Notrickszone, there’s a lot buzz over a brand new paper entitled Molar Mass Model of the Best Gasoline Legislation Factors to a Very Low Local weather Sensitivity, by Robert Holmes. The Notrickszone article is headlined with the next citation from the paper: “Particularly,…

Inside The Sausage Manufacturing facility 2019-08-18

There’s an previous saying that “Legal guidelines are like sausages. It’s higher to not see both one being made” —and I concern the identical is true for a lot an excessive amount of of what passes for local weather “science” today. Nevertheless, ignoring such sensible recommendation, I’ve taken one other look underneath the hood on the information from the abysmal Na…

Placing It On The Line 2016-08-20

Due to an alert commenter, half of my final put up was proven to be in error. Like most people, I actually, actually hate to be publicly flawed, and naturally I do my utmost to keep away from it. However typically I overlook one thing, or my logical staircase is lacking some steps, and there I’m. Unsuitable. In public. Aga…

NOAA Jumps The Shark In Tampa Bay 2017-01-14

I believed I’d write about how I analysis a topic. Over at Dr. Judith’s wonderful web site, she periodically places out an inventory of attention-grabbing papers that she has come throughout. This time it was “Week In Overview: Water Version”. She gave a hyperlink to an article from a Tampa Bay information station headlined Stu…

Hockeystick Redux Chapter Fortyleven 2018-05-25

Since publishing my final two posts right here and right here on the Church and White (“C&W”) 2011 sea stage dataset, some of us have queried why I didn’t use the Church and White 2013 dataset as a substitute. The reply is easy. It’s due to the hockeystick. …

The Nationwide Wildlife Federation Jumps The Shark 2012-04-04

SOURCE It doesn’t occur usually —some would say not usually sufficient —however I’m speechless. Really, I don’t know what to say about this. I can solely shake my head and level and chuckle. They’re actually getting determined. w. Avatar blue ‚Äì adore it. Presumably must be extra precisely titled: Psychological effec…

Second BEST 2011-04-13

Professor Muller of the Berkeley Earth Floor Temperature (BEST) venture is at all times attention-grabbing, however he simply retains digging his private gap deeper. He lately gave an interview titled “Scientists Typically Pigeonholed By Political Debates” and answered questions on NPR. To his credit score, he’s standing up straight and tall for science, for…

Anticipate the BEST, plan for the worst 2011-03-31

RELATED ARTICLES, extremely instructed: Clarification on BEST submitted to the Home Pielke Sr. on the Muller testimony Impartial firm station siting evaluation demonstrates the issue Quote of the Week – different scientists weigh in Effectively, I had hoped for the perfect from BEST, the brand new Berkeley Earth Floor Temperature venture …

Not Whether or not, however Tips on how to Do The Math 2011-03-23

The Berkeley Earth Floor Temperature (BEST) group is making a brand new world local weather temperature file. Hopefully it will give us a greater deal with on what’s happening with the temperature. BEST has put out an inventory of the 4 targets for his or her mathematical strategies (algorithms). I like three of these targets…

Diving into the Deeps of Decarbonization 2014-07-09

[UPDATE: Comment from Anthony: There has been a tremendous amount of discussion and dissent on this topic, far more than I ever would have imagined. On one hand some people have said in comments that Willis has completely botched this essay, and the Kaya identity holds true, others are in agreement saying that the way…

No Increase of Atmospheric Carbon Dioxide Fraction in Past 160 Years 2010-01-01

I’ve been getting a lot of requests to cover this story, probably 20 or so now with wonderings about “why haven’t you covered this yet?” How quickly you all forget. WUWT was the very first to cover this story back on November 10th, 2009. Everybody else in the media today is playing catch-up. So if y…

Ramanathan and Almost-Black Carbon 2012-03-27

My thanks to Nick Stokes and Joel Shore. In the comments to my post on the effects of atmospheric black carbon, Extremely Black Carbon, they brought up and we discussed the results of Ramanathan et al. (PDF, hereinafter R2008). Black carbon, aka fine soot, is an atmospheric pollutant that has…

Extremely Black Carbon 2012-02-07

Of late there has been a lot written about the effect of “black carbon”, a.k.a. “soot”, and also “brown carbon”, a.k.a. wood and dung smoke, on the climate. Me, I think it’s worthwhile controlling black and brown carbon solely because of the health effects. Inhaled soot and wood smoke kill…

CO2 in the air, CO2 in the seawater 2013-11-27

Inspired by some comments on another thread, I decided to see what I could find in the way of actual measurements of the amount of CO2 in the surface layer of the ocean. I found the following data on the Scripps Institute web site. What they did…

The CERES Calculated Surface Datasets 2015-02-21

The CERES dataset is satellite data that is based on radiation measurements made from low earth orbit. The CERES data has two parts. The first part is observational data, measurements of downwelling and upwelling solar radiation and of upwelling longwave radiation. It is usually referred as the CERES “top-of-atmosphere” data.…

More on the National Geographic Decline 2010-03-18

Anthony has covered the National Geographic Northern Hemisphere temperature graph here. This is the graph under discussion. Figure 1. Graph from November 1976 National Geographic article Since I’m a suspicious guy who never takes anything on faith, I went and got the original data that was used by National Geographic.…

Three Clocks 2014-03-08

I got to wandering through the three main datasets that make up the overall CERES data, and I noticed an odd thing. The three main datasets are the all-sky downwelling solar, upwelling reflected solar, and upwelling longwave radiation, measured in watts per square metre (W/m2). Here are those three datasets:…

The Smoking Gun At Darwin Zero 2009-12-08

People keep saying “Yes, the Climategate scientists behaved badly. But that doesn’t mean the data is bad. That doesn’t mean the earth is not warming.” Let me start with the second objection first. The earth has generally been warming since the Little Ice Age, around 1650. There is general agreement …

Darwin Zero Before and After 2009-12-20

Recapping the story begun at WUWT here and continued at WUWT here, data from the temperature station Darwin Zero in northern Australia was found to be radically adjusted and showing huge warming (red line, adjusted temperature) compared to the unadjusted data (blue line). The unadjusted data sho…

Himalayan Hijinks 2010-03-09

According to an article in the Hindustan Times by someone for whom English is a second language, I find: Senior scientists at the Wadia Institute of Himalayan Geology (WITG) has rejected the Global Warming Theory and told that the Himalayas are quite safer zone on earth, where Global Warming has…

Problems With The Scalpel Method 2014-06-28

In an insightful post at WUWT by Bob Dedekind, he talked about a problem with temperature adjustments. He pointed out that the stations are maintained, by doing things like periodically cutting back the trees that are encroaching, or by painting the Stevenson Screen. He noted that that if we try…

Is NOAA Wrong? 2014-10-24

On another post here on Watts Up With That, a commenter pointed out that NOAA says that September 2014 was the warmest September ever on record. The commenter asked, “Is NOAA wrong?” Sadly, as near as I can tell the answer is “Quite possibly”. Here is the NOAA graphic in question, showing their…

A First Look At SURFRAD 2014-11-25

Since the late Nineties the US has had seven industrial-strength stations that measure a variety of climate variables every minute, 24/7. These are called “SURFRAD” stations. As a data junkie I’ve been wanting to look at their results for a while … but the data is in an ugly format. They have…

A preliminary assessment of BEST’s decline 2011-10-22

With altogether far too much fanfare for my taste, the Berkeley Earth Surface Temperature (BEST) project has not released its preliminary results. Or at least I can’t find them. I just wanted the month-by-month data that their hotrod new computer program spits out at the end of its run. The…

What the BEST data actually says 2011-10-24

My theory is that the BEST folks must have eaten at a Hollywood Chinese restaurant. You can tell because when you eat there, an hour later you find you’re hungry for stardom. Now that the BEST folks have demanded and received their fifteen minutes of fame before their results have…

The Temperature Field 2015-05-14

I’ve been mulling over a comment made by Steven Mosher. I don’t have the exact quote, so he’s welcome to correct any errors. As I understood it, he said that much of the variation in temperatures around the planet can be explained by a combination of elevation and latitude. He…

Whats Hot Whats Not 2016-01-19

I got to thinking about the idea of a temperature field. By that I mean nothing more than an estimation of theoretical temperatures given some variables like say latitude and elevation. We all know that as we go poleward it gets colder, and the same is true when we go …

GISScapades 2010-03-25

Inspired by this thread on the lack of data in the Arctic Ocean, I looked into how GISS creates data when there is no data. GISS is the Goddard Institute for Space Studies, a part of NASA. The Director of GISS is Dr. James Hansen. Dr. Hansen is an impartial scientist…

Mauna Loa Daily Meteorology 2016-02-20

As a confirmed data junkie, I’m fond of hourly data. The interesting processes in the climate system unfold on the scale of minutes and hours, not years. So I picked up a project I’d started a while ago, but as is too often the case I’d gotten sidetractored by …

Fudged Fevers in the Frozen North 2010-02-21

I got to thinking about the (non) adjustment of the GISS temperature data for the Urban Heat Island effect, and it reminded me that I had once looked briefly at Anchorage, Alaska in that regard. So I thought I’d take a fresh…

AMO, NAO, and Correlation 2014-04-02

There’s a new paper over at IOP called “Forcing of the wintertime atmospheric circulation by the multidecadal fluctuations of the North Atlantic ocean”, by Y Peings and G Magnusdottir, hereinafter Peings2014. I was particularly interested in a couple of things they discuss in their abstract, which says (emphasis mine): Abstract The…

Chylek Imitates Ouroboros 2014-03-16

Bob Tisdale has a detailed post on the new 2014 paper entitled “The Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation as a dominant factor of oceanic influence on climate” by Chylek et al. Nic Lewis also did a good analysis of the paper, see the Notes below for the links. I have a different…

NAO And Then 2015-09-18

Anthony recently highlighted a new study which purports to find that the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) is synchronized to the fluctuations in solar activity. The study is entitled “Solar forcing synchronizes decadal North Atlantic climate variability”. The “North Atlantic Oscillation” (NAO) refer…

Why Reanalysis “Data” Isn’t 2011-11-07

There is a new paper out by Xu and Powell, “Uncertainty of the stratospheric/tropospheric temperature trends in 1979–2008: multiple satellite MSU, radiosonde, and reanalysis datasets” (PDF, hereinafter XP2011). It shows the large differences between the satellite, balloon (radiosonde), and reanalysis temperatures for the troposphere and the stratosphere. The paper is well…

News The Media Missed 2011-03-02

Based on a model, unfortunately. Behind a paywall, unfortunately. Posted without comment, emphasis and formatting mine. The abstract says: Recovery mechanisms of Arctic summer sea ice S. Tietsche, D. Notz, J. H. Jungclaus, J. Marotzke, Max Planck Institute for Meteorology, Hamburg, Germany We examine the recovery of Arctic sea ice from prescribed ice-free…

The Best Test of Downscaling 2015-01-05

In a recent issue of Science magazine there was a “Perspective” article entitled “Projecting regional change” (paywalled here) This is the opening: Techniques to downscale global climate model (GCM) output and produce high-resolution climate change projections have emerged over the past two decades. GCM projections of future climate change, with…

Top Secret NOFORN Restricted Access Climate Model Results 2011-05-06

Y’know, some of these climate games are getting kind of boring. I’m tired of people who are paid with my taxes hiding their data, results, and findings. Case in point, the “Community Earth System Model” of the University Center for Atmospheric Research (UCAR). They describe their model as: The Community…

Reality Leaves A Lot To The Imagination 2011-04-30

On an average day you’ll find lots of people, including NASA folks like Gavin Schmidt and James Hansen, evaluating how well the climate models compare to reality. As I showed here, models often don’t do well when matched up with real-world observations. However, they are still held up as being accurate…

CMIP Control Runs 2006-08-26

Willis Eschenbach sent in the following information about the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP) project. I’ve not checked the analysis myself, but it is an interesting topic and well worth a separate thread. There are some other pretty good posts like this. If people want to suggest som…

Willis on Santer et al 2006 2006-09-30

The new Santer et al. paper, Forced and unforced ocean temperature changes in Atlantic and Pacific tropical cyclogenesis regions, purports to show that sea surface temperature (SST) changes in the Pacific Cyclogenesis Region (PCR) and the Atlantic Cyclogenesis Region are caused by anthopogenic globa…

Zero Point Three times the Forcing 2011-01-17

Now that my blood pressure has returned to normal after responding to Dr. Trenberth, I returned to thinking about my earlier somewhat unsatisfying attempt to make a very simple emulation of the GISS Model E (herinafter GISSE) climate model. I described that attempt here, please see that post for the…

The Bern Model Puzzle 2012-05-06

Although it sounds like the title of an adventure movie like the “Bourne Identity”, the Bern Model is actually a model of the sequestration (removal from the atmosphere) of carbon by natural processes. It allegedly measures how fast CO2 is removed from the atmosphere. The Bern Model is used by…

First Light on the Ozone Hockeystick 2011-05-09

After many false starts, thanks to Steven Mosher and Derecho64 I was able to access the forcings used by the CCSM3 climate model. This is an important model because its successor, the CESM3 model, is going to be used in the laughably named “CIM-EARTH Project.” Anyhow, just as new telescopes…

Modeling the Oddities 2011-06-05

Today I came across an IPCC figure (AR4 Working Group 1 Chapter 2, PDF, p. 208) that I hadn’t noticed before. I’m interested in the forcings and responses of the climate models. This one showed the forcings, both at the surface and at the top-of-atmosphere (TOA), from the Japanese MIROC…

CMIP5 Model Temperature Results in Excel 2014-12-22

I’ve been looking at the surface temperature results from the 42 CMIP5 models used in the IPCC reports. It’s a bit of a game to download them from the outstanding KNMI site. To get around that, I’ve collated them into an Excel workbook so that everyone can investigate them. Here’s…

Life is Like a Black Box of Chocolates 2011-05-14

In my earlier post about climate models, “Zero Point Three Times The Forcing“, a commenter provided the breakthrough that allowed the analysis of the GISSE climate model as a black box. In a “black box” type of analysis, we know nothing but what goes into the box and what comes…

Models All The Way Down 2011-03-08

A learned man was arguing with a rube named Nasruddin. The learned man asked “What holds up the Earth?” Nasruddin said “It sits on the back of a giant turtle.” The learned man knew he had Nasruddin then. The learned man asked “But what holds up the turtle”, expecting Nasruddin…

Model Charged with Excessive Use of Forcing 2010-12-19

The GISS Model E is the workhorse of NASA’s climate models. I got interested in the GISSE hindcasts of the 20th century due to an interesting posting by Lucia over at the Blackboard. She built a simple model (which she calls “Lumpy”) which does a pretty good job of emulating…

A Tale Of Two Convergences 2015-11-12

In the course of doing the research for my previous post on thunderstorm evaporation, I came across something I’d read about but never had seen. This was the claim that the models showed not one, but two inter-tropical convergence zones (ITCZ). Please allow me a small di…

Hansen and Schmidt: Predicting the Past 2006-04-09

If you cast your minds back to last year, a modelling study[1] by James Hansen and Gavin Schmidt was touted as yet one more “smoking gun” proving that the dire warnings of future warming had been justified as they may now mannequin the previous – or not less than a couple of years of it.

Testing … testing … is that this mannequin powered up? 2010-12-02

Over at Judith Curry’s wonderful weblog she has a put up on learn how to take a look at the local weather fashions. In response I wrote a bit about some mannequin testing I did 4 years in the past, and I believed I ought to develop it right into a full put up for WUWT. We’re being requested to wager…

When The Mannequin Fashions Itself 2017-08-11

Eric Worrell posted an attention-grabbing article whereby a local weather “scientist” says that falsifiability just isn’t an integral a part of science —now that’s weird insanity to me, however right here’s what she says: It seems that my work now as a local weather scientist doesn’t fairly gel wi…

Inside The Bayesian Priory 2020-12-26

Listed below are a couple of random quotes and ideas in regards to the paper known as An observation-based scaling mannequin for local weather sensitivity estimates and world projections to 2100. This was the primary assertion that caught my eye: I at all times get nervous when somebody says that they’re utilizing “Bayesian inference”. The …

How Not To Mannequin The Historic Temperature 2018-03-24

[1,] “WMGHG” [Well Mixed Greenhouse Gases] [2,] “Ozone” [3,] “Photo voltaic” [4,] “Land_Use” A lot has been manufactured from the argument that pure forcings alone will not be enough to clarify the 20th Century temperature variations. Right here’s the IPCC on the topic: I’m positive you may …

In Which I Lastly Perceive the Truthful-Climate Gale 2011-03-02

Within the Pacific off the coast of California, there’s an uncommon climate phenomenon known as a “fair-weather gale”. It occurs periodically in the summertime when California’s Central Valley and Mojave Desert warmth up. To interchange the rising heat air, the cool air begins to hurry in from a broad expanse of…

In Which I Speak to the Thunderstorms 2011-03-02

Thunderstorms are nice majestic beasts. In case you had by no means seen one or heard of 1 in your life, think about your shock if a stunning peaceable day instantly clouded up. Then it began to rain. Then it was pelting down hail. Then a blinding bolt of lightning blew your ears off…

Time Lags within the Local weather System 2012-06-18

Did you ever sit on a scorching sand seashore and dig your hand down into the sand? You don’t need to dig very far earlier than you get to chill sand … however though it’s good and funky a couple of handwidths down, the truth that it’s cool doesn’t matter…

Rio+20 meets Agenda 21 2012-02-26

Effectively, the rent-seekers, money-hungry NGOs, grifters, post-normal “scientists”, con-men, Eurotrash, Ameritrash, and the standard camp followers are gearing up once more for one more monumental waste of cash. This time, it’s for the upcoming extravagarbonza, the brand new Rio+20 Local weather Carnival. Determine 1. The brand of the Rio+20 Local weather Carnival, that includes somebody being drowned…

Don’t Say That! Simply Don’t Say It! 2012-05-22

As the results of a Freedom of Info Act request, the US Authorities has launched the listing of phrases that may set off the Division of Homeland Safety to begin monitoring your on-line contributions and conversations. The listing is split into sections by subject material. Determine 1. You may name it a thunderstorm, however underneath no…

Agreeing to Disagree 2015-04-05

Over at “Digging within the Clay” Verity Jones has a wonderful graphic summarizing the totally different ranges of disagreement. The graphic deserves wider circulation. The sorts of disagreement vary in a spectrum from the strongest, refuting the writer’s central level, all the best way right down to the weakest, name-calling. Right here’s the graphic:…

Automated Twits 2014-12-24

Folks surprise why anthropogenic world warming is a politicized subject. Right here’s one purpose amongst many. In a presentation aimed on the holidays that’s inconceivable to parody, the Democratic Nationwide Committee (DNC) has put up an internet site known as, no kidding, “the Democrat’s information to speaking politics together with your republican uncle”.…

OCCUPY COP 17–CMP 7 ! 2011-11-01

Anybody involved in regards to the enormous affect of Wall Road on our lives ought to undoubtedly be protesting the affect of Wall Road on the upcoming local weather convention in Durban, South Africa. Durban is the most recent incarnation of the occasional IPCC celebration. I’m undecided what it celebrates, maybe they’re celebrating…

Psychological Midgets Attempt To Chew Dr. Willie Quickly’s Ankles 2015-01-27

In accordance with a biased article within the Boston Globe, a person named Kert Davies, the Government Director of one thing known as the “Local weather Investigations Middle” (CIC) has penned a scurrilous letter to the journal Science Bulletin, accusing Dr. Willie Quickly of a battle of curiosity. The article says he was accused as a result of…

UN Sheep At Work 2012-04-28

The United Nations, progenitor of a thousand companies, has launched a report known as “MOVING TOWARDS A CLIMATE NEUTRAL UN” concerning its success in decreasing its personal “carbon footprint” (full model , abstract). The Head Prophet of the UN, Ban Ki-moon, has revealed the mysteries to us unwashed lots as follows: We…

The Durban Sport 2011-11-08

Within the run-up to the next-to-last massive assembly of the UNFCCC (United Nations Frequent Local weather Change Carnival) held in Copenhagen in 2009, I confirmed the next graph underneath the title “Why Copenhagen Will Obtain Nothing“ Determine 1. Carbon Emissions 1970-2006 by Area, and International (purple). At the moment it was…

Kumi Brings The Good Information 2011-12-11

I haven’t but discovered a duplicate of no matter settlement they signed at Durban. However due to Kumi Naidoo, the novel head of Greenpeace Worldwide, I do know that there’s nothing to fret about. He’s finished the evaluation for me. Determine 1. Kumi Naidoo, Greenpeace Worldwide Government Director PHOTO SOURCE NYT

Nothing is Sustainable 2011-12-22

Folks have this concept that crusing is affordable, due to the low gas prices. However blue-water sailors have a saying that goes like this: The wind is free … however every part else prices cash. Studying the assorted pronouncements from the partygoers on the Durban climate-related Convention of Events, I used to be…

The Gore Impact kicks in, plus ça change … 2012-02-02

… plus ça standard stuff. Thank goodness somethings by no means change. For instance, the “Gore Impact”, which says that wherever His Nobelity Albert Gore III may maintain a Climastravaganza to remind the world of the important and imminent local weather overheating that we are able to solely avert by sending him some extra…

Canadian Contretemps 2011-10-01

Driving house as we speak, I heard a couple of new report from a kind of Canadian “we work for the Authorities however we’re really actually actually unbiased, sincere we’re” sort of organizations. It’s known as “PAYING THE PRICE: THE ECONOMIC IMPACTS OF CLIMATE CHANGE FOR CANADA.” It’s chock filled with the standard…

Dr. Ravetz Posts, Usually 2010-04-12

Dr. Ravetz, welcome again to the fray together with your new put up. My congratulations in your braveness and willingness to go “as soon as extra unto the breach, expensive buddies, as soon as extra …” You might be placing AGW supporting scientists to disgrace together with your bravery, most of them (with some conspicuous exceptions like Dr.…

A Modest Proposal—Neglect About Tomorrow 2011-10-31

There’s a stunning 2005 paper I hadn’t seen, put out by the Los Alamos Nationwide Laboratory entitled “Our Calibrated Mannequin has No Predictive Worth” (PDF). Determine 1. The Tinkertoy Laptop. It additionally has no predictive worth. The paper’s summary says it significantly better than I may: Summary: It’s usually…

What Hath Kyoto Wrought? 2011-11-09

The Kyoto Protocol is the quixotic try by some nations all over the world to scale back every taking part nation’s CO2 emissions to their emission ranges in 1990. Since CO2 emissions are a measure of the power used, that appeared silly to me, however hey, I used to be born yesterday. I figured no one…

A Taxonomy of Science Blogs 2015-01-16

Over at Lucia Liljegren’s most attention-grabbing website, “Rank Exploits”, she has one other fascinating put up, as is usually the case. I busted out laughing on the put up title, which is “HotWhopper Sou Doesn’t Learn WUWT”. Given how usually the girl within the Batcave over at Hotwhopper writes about Watts Up With…

What Didn’t Kyoto Do? 2011-12-01

There was some dialogue through the years concerning Tom Wigley’s 1998 estimate that even when Kyoto had been to be 100% profitable in assembly its targets, it could solely have decreased temperatures by an estimated 0.05 levels Celsius by 2050. Since Wigley was and is a robust supporter of Kyoto,…

Durban Dementia 2011-12-17

A spread of proxy data, supported by contemporaneous descriptions of the climate, all agree that the earth went by what is named the “Little Ice Age”. The coldest half appears to have been someplace round 1700, at which period it was maybe two or three levels colder than at current.…

Local weather Change … Who Cares? 2014-12-05

Due to the weblog of the irrepressible Hilary Ostrov, a long-time WUWT commenter, I discovered a couple of ballot gone both horribly flawed or completely predictably relying in your standpoint. It’s a world ballot finished by the United Nations, with over six million responses from everywhere in the…

Chinese language Deal Breakers 2011-12-05

The lead Chinese language negotiator on the 17th UN COP (United Nations Convention of Partygoers) being celebrated in Durban is a person named Xie Zhenhua. He’s the Vice Chairman of the Chinese language Nationwide Growth and Reform Fee (NDRC). Mr. Xie has come to Durban partly to put out the…

The Revenge of the Local weather Reparations 2014-07-05

A lot of the present angst on the UN concerning local weather has to do with the thought of “local weather reparations”. These are an imaginary debt supposedly owed by the key CO2 emitting nations to the nations of the growing world. Because the story goes, we within the industrialized world have been…

It Was The Worst of The Instances 2011-03-11

I did jail time within the Sixties for a peaceable sit-in in opposition to the Vietnam Conflict. So (as with many issues) my understanding of the problems concerned in what could also be termed “civil disobedience” is eminently sensible in addition to theoretical. I used to be very disturbed by a current column within the…

Local weather Alarmists Goal the Arabunna Folks – With No Proof 2012-06-29

The Arabunna folks stay within the space round Lake Eyre in Southern Australia. It’s a scorching, hostile desert area, which isn’t any shock, as a result of … properly … it’s in Australia. Right here’s the final space the place they stay: Determine 1. Lake Eyre area in South Australia. Yellow line present the…

Harvesting Fog: The No-Regrets Possibility 2013-02-21

I’ve written earlier than in regards to the “no-regrets” choice when one is confronted with uncertainty. It pertains to one in all my favourite guidelines of thumb. I usually stay my life by my “guidelines of thumb”, common tips for when issues aren’t clear. One which I’ve used for many years goes like this: “Do…

Editorializing in regards to the Editorial 2010-05-22

I simply obtained my printed copy of the Might seventh subject of Science Journal, and I learn their Editorial. That is the difficulty that contained the now-infamous Letter to the Editor with the Photoshopped picture of a polar bear on an ice floe. An alternate model of that Photoshopped picture…

Palestinian Local weather Change 2015-12-24

Very brief put up. I learn as we speak that Palestine has been granted full member standing within the UNFCCC, the United Nations Framework Conference on Local weather Change. I additionally recall from a couple of years in the past that when Palestine was admitted to UNESCO, the US needed to minimize off funds to UNESCO…

Heathrow Hijinks 2015-07-18

As soon as once more the Week In Overview-Science Version over at Dr. Judith Curry’s web site brings up attention-grabbing information. It seems that the primary of July was scorching within the UK, and amongst others the airport at Heathrow set a file excessive temperature for the date.. This led to a little bit of&he…

Thirty Eight Years Of Subsidies 2015-11-05

On April 18, 1977, President Jimmy Carter introduced his new power coverage. His speech included the next predictions of a dire future until we repented of our evil methods: I do know that a few of chances are you’ll doubt that we face actual power shortages. The 1973 gasoline strains ar…

Belief and Distrust 2010-03-31

Following up on the wonderful initiative of Dr. Judith Curry (see Judith’s put up and my response ), I want to see what I can do to rebuild the justifiably misplaced belief in local weather science. I need to convey some readability to phrases that are used on a regular basis however…

Defund the IPCC Now 2012-01-05

Effectively, I woke as much as some unhealthy information this morning. It seems that the GAO, the US Basic Accounting Workplace, says US has been secretly hiding their funding of the IPCC for the final decade. They had been already advised not to do this by the GAO. Within the 2005…

Abstract: The Worldwide Convention on Local weather Change 7 2012-05-25

After years of getting up at Four AM to go industrial fishing, today I typically have as little to do with daybreak as potential. However final Sunday, I discovered myself within the Palm Springs airport at 5 AM, boarding a aircraft to Chicago to go communicate on the ICCC7.…

Plain Truths 2020-08-09

Out within the webiverse somebody requested me “Willis—do you think about your self a denialist?” Mmmm —a wonderful query, with a solution which doubtless received’t go the route that they suppose. First, the time period “local weather denier”, or on this incarnation “denialist”, was particularly chosen for its overtones of “…

Don’t Say That! Simply Don’t Say It! 2012-05-29

As the results of a Freedom of Info Act request, the US Authorities has launched the listing of phrases that may set off the Division of Homeland Safety to begin monitoring your on-line contributions and conversations. The listing is split into sections by subject material. I used to be vastly amused to …

Palestinian Local weather Change Half II 2017-01-25

In my prior put up on this topic, Palestinian Local weather Change, I reported that I used to be overjoyed that the UNFCCC, the United Nations Framework Conference on Local weather Change, had admitted Palestine as a full member. On the time I mentioned: I additionally recall from a couple of years in the past that when Palestine was admitted t…

How a Division Resists a Businessman 2016-12-14

In a earlier put up, The DOE vs Ugly Actuality, I mentioned how a businessman takes over a authorities division. On this case it’s the Division of Vitality (DOE). As part of the 74 questions posed within the memo from the Trump Transition Workforce to the DOE, there have been a few questions that clearly …

Visibility and Invisibility 2019-08-15

I believed I’d take a extra detailed take a look at the claims of the current paper entitled “Discrepancies in scientific authority and media visibility of local weather change scientists and contrarians.”. The paper is mentioned right here on WUWT. I’m quantity 148 out of 386 on their listing of contrarians, primarily based on how ma…

Gagged? Not Hardly. 2017-01-24

The media is all abuzz with claims that the Trump Administration has “gagged” or “muzzled” the EPA. Underneath the headline the information company Reuters stories: On Tuesday, a supply on the EPA mentioned that employees had been advised by members of the Trump administration to not communicate to reporters or publish any press …

Palestine Redux 2016-04-20

Again in December of final 12 months I put up a put up which mentioned in its entirety: Very brief put up. I learn as we speak that Palestine has been granted full member standing within the UNFCCC, the United Nations Framework Conference on Local weather Change. I additionally recall from a couple of years in the past that when Palestine was admitted to …

The UN Ballot Redux 2016-11-22

Some time again I mentioned the UN International Ballot concerning what folks all over the world suppose is necessary to them. At that time there have been about six million respondents. The folks taking the ballot are requested to decide on (simply select, however not rank) the six points that matter most to them from the next…

The March Towards Science 2017-04-06

Effectively, I wrote about this loopy March For Science thought two months in the past, however the story simply will get higher. Far and away probably the most insightful remark I’ve learn on this goofy thought of marching was from a local weather scientist I respect, Dr. Roger Pielke Jr., who mentioned: Arduous to argue with that —however since then the…

Scientists, Please Don’t March 2017-02-06

Effectively, the unhealthy information is that a complete bunch of scientists are going to have a march on Washington —on Earth Day. Why is that this a foul thought? Three causes. There’s no readability on what they’re marching for. There’s no readability on what they’re marching in opposition to. And they’re marching on Earth Day. Right here’s wha…

An Invitation To Debate Local weather Change 2017-04-28

(see Replace on the finish) I had tweeted the next: Numerous folks both favored or retweeted this, together with my mad mate and human lightning rod, James Delingpole. This put up began as a result of somebody named Robin Whitlock tweeted the next: Delingpole is a knuckledr…

The Local weather of Scott Adams 2020-09-08

At 73, I’m now in what I name my “late youth”. As a confirmed wanderer, I’ve seen a little bit of the world, and I’ve learn and studied extensively about our life right here on this most beautiful planet. On account of my large expertise, I don’t usually come throughout a e-book filled with brand-new concepts and ideas which s…

Google Doesn’t Like It 2020-11-19

For some purpose, I couldn’t discover my put up entitled “Gavin’s Falsifiable Science”. I needed to trace it down, partly as a result of I feel it’s one in all my higher posts. However after I appeared on Google, it wasn’t there. As a substitute, I discovered an oddity. Right here’s the highest of the listing of outcomes from Google: The listing goes …

An Interim Look At Intermediate Sensitivity 2012-12-10

Each time I discover myself rising grim in regards to the mouth; each time it’s a damp, drizzly November in my soul; each time I discover myself involuntarily pausing earlier than coffin warehouses, and mentioning the rear of each funeral I meet; and particularly each time my hypos get such an higher hand of me,…

An Observational Estimate of Local weather Sensitivity 2012-05-29

“Local weather sensitivity” is the title for the measure of how a lot the earth’s floor is meant to heat for a given change in what is named “forcing”. A change in forcing means a change within the internet downwelling radiation on the prime of the ambiance, which incorporates each shortwave (photo voltaic)…

An Sudden Restrict to Local weather Sensitivity 2011-01-03

The IPCC places the central worth for the local weather sensitivity at 3°C per doubling of CO2, with decrease…

The Chilly Equations 2011-01-28

I’ve tried penning this piece a number of occasions already. I’ll give it one other shot, I haven’t been proud of my earlier efforts. It is a vital topic that I need to get proper. The title comes from a 1954 science fiction story that I learn after I was possibly ten or eleven…

One other Take a look at Local weather Sensitivity 2010-03-16

OK, a fast pop quiz. The typical temperature of the planet is about 14°C (57°F). If the earth had no ambiance, and if it had been a blackbody on the identical distance from the solar, how a lot cooler would it not be than at current? a) 33°C (59°F) cooler b) 20°C (36°F)…

Sense and Sensitivity 2010-02-28

That is an extension of the concepts I laid out because the Thunderstorm Thermostat Speculation on WUWT. For many who haven’t learn it, I’ll wait right here when you go there and skim it … (dum de dum de dum) … (makes himself a cup of espresso) … OK, welcome…

A few of the Lacking Vitality 2010-12-23

The canonical equation describing the power stability of the earth seems like this: This has been modified within the present local weather paradigm (e.g. see Kiehl) by substituting within the following: which supplies us As I detailed in “The place Did I Put That Vitality”, the issue is that the info doesn’t bear out th…

Pre- and Publish-Suggestions Sensitivity 2016-08-15

I have to thank my buddy, the irrepressible, irascible, extremely inconceivable, typically infuriating however at all times fascinating Lord Christopher Monckton, for his essay yclept “IPCC has not less than doubled true local weather sensitivity: an indication”. His claims and musings, whereas not at all times right, are invariabl…

Hemispheric Ocean Temperature Sensitivity 2016-06-18

Typically I begin off by one factor, and I wind up getting side-tractored merrily down some vague overgrown jungle path. I used to be fascinated with the distinction within the power of the sunshine between the apogee aphelion, which is when the Earth is furthest from the solar in July, and the perig…

Measuring Precipitation on Willis’ Boots 2007-04-20

Willis writes in with newest FOI refusal from CRU, saying that they’re unable to supply an inventory of the websites utilized in HadCRU3. As y’all might recall, I wrote again concerning the FOI request I had made for Phil Jones’ listing of stations used for HadCRUT3. In contrast to Steve M., I used to be not searching for 17 12 months previous…

The folks -vs- the CRU: Freedom of knowledge, my okole… 2009-11-24

Foreword: Willis requested me to hold this put up right here. What follows is a protracted and detailed collection of e mail exchanges that define the tough job of getting information in order that scientific replication/replica could be finished by folks exterior to the tight knit group of scientists that make up local weather scien…

Mr. David Palmer Explains The Drawback 2011-11-23

Whoever took the Climategate emails from the Local weather Analysis Unit (CRU) of the College of East Anglia (UEA) are actually taking part in the lengthy recreation. Two entire years they waited earlier than publishing the second group of 5,292 CRU emails, now generally known as Climategate 2.0. Spectacular. I’m talked about in 17 of the…

Cancelling the Tropical Cancellation 2013-12-30

There’s a much-cited paper (129 citations) from 1994 known as “On the Noticed Close to Cancellation between Longwave and Shortwave Cloud Forcing in Tropical Areas” by J. T. Kiehl (hereinafter Kiehl1994), accessible right here. The paper makes the next declare (emphasis mine): ABSTRACT Observations primarily based on Earth Radiation Funds Experiment (ERBE) satellite tv for pc information point out that…

Upwelling Photo voltaic, Upwelling Longwave 2014-01-07

The CERES dataset comprises three most important elements—downwelling photo voltaic radiation, upwelling photo voltaic radiation, and upwelling longwave radiation. Aside from leap-year variations, the photo voltaic dataset doesn’t change from 12 months to 12 months over a couple of a long time not less than. It’s mounted by unchanging bodily legal guidelines. The upwelling longwave radiation and…

Proof that Clouds Actively Regulate the Temperature 2013-10-06

I’ve put forth the thought for a while now that one of many most important local weather thermoregulatory mechanisms is a temperature-controlled sharp enhance in albedo within the tropical areas. I’ve defined that this happens in a stepwise trend when cumulus clouds first emerge, and that the albedo is additional…

The Cloud Radiative Impact, Take Two 2013-10-05

Effectively, in my final put up I took a primary minimize at figuring the cloud radiative “suggestions” from the CERES dataset. Nevertheless, an alert commenter identified that I hadn’t managed for the modifications in photo voltaic radiation. The issue is that even when the clouds keep precisely the identical, if the…

The Cloud Radiative Impact (CRE) 2013-10-03

[UPDATE: An alert commenter, Ken Gregory, has pointed out that in addition to the temperature affecting the CRE, it is also affected by the changing solar radiation. He is correct that I did not control for this. SO … I need to go off and re-think and then re-do the…

Shakun, Not Stirred, and Definitely Not Area-Weighted 2012-04-09

I’d like to highlight one oddity in the Shakun et al. paper, “Global warming preceded by increasing carbon dioxide concentrations during the last deglaciation” (Shakun2012), which I’ve discussed here and here. They say: The data were projected onto a 5°x5° grid, linearly interpolated to 100-yr resolution and combined as area-weighted averages. The oddity I want you…

A Modtran Mystery 2014-04-12

I’ve been messing about with the “Modtran” online calculator for atmospheric absorption. It’s called “Modtran” because it is a MODerate resolution program to calculate atmospheric infrared absorption written in ForTRAN, which calculates the result for each 1 cm-1 wide band of the wavenumber across the spectrum. Not quite a “line-by-line” calculation, but…

Shakun The Last, I Hope 2012-04-11

In three previous posts here, here, and here, I discussed problems with the paper by Shakun et al., “Global warming preceded by increasing carbon dioxide concentrations during the last deglaciation” (PDF,hereinafter S2012) Commenters said, and reasonably so, that I had not fully addressed their claim that warming progressed from south…

Shakun Redux: Master tricksed us! I told you he was tricksy! 2012-04-07

The quote above is from Lord of the Rings, an exchange between Gollum and Smeagol, and it encapsulates my latest results from looking into the Shakun 2012 paper, “Global warming preceded by increasing carbon dioxide concentrations during the last deglaciation” (paywalled, at Nature hereinafter Shakun2012). I discussed the paper in my…

The 1% Solution 2011-10-04

When I’m analyzing a system, I divide the variables into three categories—first-, second-, and third-order variables. First-order variables are those variables that can change the system by more than 10%. Obviously, these must be included in any analysis of the system. Second-order are those that can change the system by…

A reply to Shakun et al – Dr. Munchausen Explains Science By Proxy 2012-04-06

There’s a new study entitled “Global warming preceded by increasing carbon dioxide concentrations during the last deglaciation”, Shakun et al. (paywalled, hereinafter Shakun2012). The paper claims to show that in the warming since the last ice age, CO2 leads temperature. Anthony wrote about it in his post “A new paper…

Does The Effect From The Cause Affect The Cause? 2013-01-03

There’s been a recent paper claiming a long-term correlation between CO2 and sea level, discussed here at WUWT. The paper implies that CO2 controls temperature and thus indirectly sea level. I thought I might follow up the comments on that thread by looking at what the ice core records actually…

Steven W. Running On Empty 2013-03-20

Let me start by getting the jargon out of the way. The “NPP” is the “net primary productivity”. It is how many total tonnes of new plant matter are produced around the globe each year as a result of photosynthesis. In a book excerpt in the February 2002 UnScientific American…

The Kavachi Sharcano 2015-07-11

The Solomon Islands, where I lived for eight years, is just north of Australia and just south of the Equator. It is part of the “Ring Of Fire”, the area of strong earthquake and volcanic activity that encircles the Pacific. You can see below that the islands are on …

Under the Volcano, Over the Volcano 2010-06-04

In 2006, I lived for a year in Waimea, on the Big Island of Hawaii. From my house I could see the Mauna Loa Observatory (MLO). This observatory is the home of the longest continuous series of CO2 measurements we have. The recording station was set up by Dave Keeling…

Some people claim, that there’s a human to blame … 2010-06-07

There seem to be a host of people out there who want to discuss whether humanoids are responsible for the post ~1850 rise in the amount of CO2. People seem madly passionate about this question. So I figure I’ll deal with it by employing the method I used in the…

The Shame of Chinese Coal 2017-03-31

So it was no surprise to see Platt’s name on the following document: I note much discussion around a recent WUWT post entitled “China: USA is “Selfish” for Wanting to Burn Coal”. It featured the Chinese telling us that we are “selfish” to burn coal and that we should reduce our coal use, because c…

Locking Down See Oh Too 2020-11-16

I’ve read comments from several folks claiming that despite the COVID lockdowns reducing emissions, there’s been no corresponding decrease in the airborne CO2. Here’s a typical claim, complete with graphic, saying that this proves that human emissions aren’t the reason for the gradual increase in ai…

Apocalypse Cancelled, Sorry, No Ticket Refunds 2017-01-24

Estimates of future atmospheric CO2 values as a result of future emissions, called “scenarios”, fall into two camps‚Äîdemand driven, and supply driven. A recent paper entitled “The implications of fossil fuel supply constraints on climate change projections: A supply-driven analysis” by J.Wang, et al….

The Economic Cost Of The Social Cost Of Carbon 2017-01-20

I’ve crossposted this from my blog, “Skating Under The Ice”. The unscientific enterprise called the Social Cost of Carbon (SCC) is a thinly disguised political attempt to justify some kind of a “carbon tax”. Of course calling it a “carbon tax” or the “social cost of carbon” is doublespeak, or perhap…

The Recursive Cost Of Carbon 2017-01-11

I see that Andrew Revkin continues to try to keep the climate pot bubbling. In this case, he’s issued dire warnings about reducing the so-called “Social Cost of Carbon” (SCC). He starts by defining the SCC Now that makes it all sound very scientific, but let’s be clear about these claimed “harms gen…

Double The Atmospheric CO2? Fuggeddaboutit! 2016-03-27

On another thread here at WUWT we were discussing the Bern carbon dioxide model used by the IPCC. The Bern Model calculates how fast a pulse of emitted CO2 decays back towards the pre-pulse state. See below for Bern model details. We were comparing the Bern model with a simple single-time-constant …

A CO2 Oddity 2021-01-05

I saw an article’s headline the other day. It said “Is COVID Or Nature Slowing The Increase In CO2”. So I thought I’d take a look. Here’s the Mauna Loa data. Top panel is the increase in CO2. Bottom panel is the month-over-month change in CO2. Go figure. One thing is clear. The rate of increase of C…

Sins of Comission, Sins of Emission 2021-01-06

As a result of my last post looking at the question of CO2 and COVID, I came up with an interesting question, viz: I didn’t realize what a struggle it would be. I started out looking for weekly CO2 emissions data —ho, ho, ho. Now rightly or wrongly, I consider myself a reasonable searcher for data….

Willis’s DDP Presentation Video 2014-08-17

My thanks again to Dr. Jane Orient, Jeremy Snavely, and the Doctors for Disaster Preparedness (DDP). I previously described how they invited me to Knoxville to speak at the DDP conference. However, they’ve now outdone themselves and posted my speech online, and have my further thanks for doing so. Here’s the…

The DDP Conference 2014-07-27

I had the great pleasure of being invited to give a presentation at the Doctors for Disaster Preparedness (DDP) conference this weekend in Knoxville, Tennessee. It was a very interesting and professionally run conference, and I offer my thanks to Dr. Jane Orient for her invitation, and to her team…

Livetooning the ICCC 2010-05-17

Well, I’m at the International Conference on Climate Change in Chicago, where I’m one of the speakers. Since I’m a cartoonist, rather than liveblogging the conferenceI figured I’d livetoon it instead … these are my summaries of the main points that each scientist made in their presentation:

Livetooning the ICCC, Day 2 2010-05-18

Fewer cartoons today, I presented my paper (which was well received) and there were fewer sessions. The Conference is over now, it was very successful. Lord Moncton gave the closing address in his inimitable style. I started to draw him but soon realized that nothing I could say would be…

OCCUPY COP 17—CMP 7 ! 2011-11-01

Anyone concerned about the huge influence of Wall Street on our lives should definitely be protesting the influence of Wall Street on the upcoming climate conference in Durban, South Africa. Durban is the latest incarnation of the occasional IPCC celebration. I’m not sure what it celebrates, perhaps…

The Man Who Mistook His Wife For A Beche-de-mer 2013-01-04

The atoll of Ontong Java, in the Solomon Islands, is unusual for a few reasons. First, it’s huge, one of the largest atolls in the South Pacific. Second, unlike the main islands of the Solomon Islands with their Melanesian populations, the people of Ontong Java are Polynesian. The third reason…

The Unbearable Complexity of Climate 2009-12-27

Figure 1. The Experimental Setup I keep reading statements in various places about how it is indisputable “simple physics” that if we increase amount of atmospheric CO2, it will inevitably warm the planet. Here’s a typical example: In the hyperbolic language that has infested the debate, researchers have been accused…

The Constructal Law of Flow Systems 2010-11-15

One of the most fundamental and far-reaching discoveries in modern thermodynamics is the Constructal Law (see the wiki entry as well). It was first formulated by Adrian Bejan in 1996. In one of his descriptions, the Constructal Law is: For a finite-size (flow) system to persist in time (to live),…

Constructal GDP 2010-11-16

Encouraged by the response to my post on Adrian Bejan and the Constructal Law, which achieved what might be termed unprecedented levels of tepidity, I persevere. Here’s a lovely look at the energy use of the United States: Figure 1. US 2002 Energy production and consumption by sector. There are…

A Chain Of Effects 2021-01-21

In looking at the climate I’m often reminded of Sufi stories. The Sufis are an ancient mystical sect. They are often associated with Islam, and many were Muslims, but the sect preceded Islam. The Sufis often taught their knowledge by means of most curious stories about life. The Sufis said that ever…

Attention, Citizens! The #COVID19 Emergency Is Over! 2020-05-13

Around the world, both state and local governments looked at wildly exaggerated computer model projections of millions of virus deaths, declared a “State Of Emergency”, and foolishly pulled the wheels off of their own economies. This has caused pain, suffering, and loss that far exceeds anything tha…

STUNNING: @CDCgov update on #COVID19 — US Deaths overestimated by 17 times 2020-08-31

The Centers for Disease Control (CDC) has just released a tranche of new data about the coronavirus. Far and away the most interesting statement is this one: For 6% of the deaths, COVID-19 was the only cause mentioned. For deaths with conditions or causes in addition to COVID-19, on average, there …

Diamond Princess Mysteries 2020-03-16

OK, here are my questions. We had a perfect petri-dish coronavirus disease (COVID-19) experiment with the cruise ship “Diamond Princess”. That’s the cruise ship that ended up in quarantine for a number of weeks after a number of people tested positive for the coronavirus. I got to wondering what the…

CDC Insights 2020-09-01

The recent CDC update contains some interesting insights. The big news being discussed is the following statement: I’m a data junkie. So I downloaded the data to see what I could find out. Here’s the biggest news I found: The light blue area is all of the deaths that did not involve COVID. The dark …

Of Quinine And Chloroquine 2020-04-11

After all the people saying we shouldn’t take chloroquine because of the side effects, let me take the opportunity to say some words about that curious drug. I moved to the Solomon Islands, north of Australia near the Equator, in 1984. I ended up living and working there for nine years. The Solomons…

Flattening The Curve 2020-04-08

I’ve been following the many changes in the IHME coronavirus model used by our very own most incompetent Dr. Fauci. (In passing, let me note that he’s been wrong about most everything from the start‚Äîfrom first saying it was not a problem, to predicting 200,000 deaths in the US (based on an earlier v…

The Math Of Epidemics 2020-03-13

Watts Up With That is about more than just the climate. It’s also about interesting things in the world. So if you’re looking for just climate, this isn’t the post for you. However, it’s an interesting peregrination through the world of the mathematics of illness. We’ve been hearing a lot about “exp…

Of Tests and Confirmed Cases 2020-04-22

I’ve been saying for some time now that the number of confirmed cases is a very poor way to measure the spread of the coronavirus infection. This, I’ve said, is because the number of new cases you’ll find depends on how much testing is being done. I’ve claimed that if you double your tests, you’ll g…

#COVID19 Through A Glass, Weekly 2020-05-07

A couple of days ago, I got to looking at the daily record of US deaths from the coronavirus. It’s shown in Figure 1 below: So —have the US deaths peaked, and if so when? Hard to tell. However, I looked at that graph in Figure 1 and I thought “It looks like the data might be reflecting lower counts…

The Real Cost Of Lockdowns 2020-09-01

I put up a post calling for the end of the American lockdowns some five months ago, on March 21st, a week after the first lockdowns here in California. In that post I made three predictions: massive economic loss, increased deaths, and young men causing trouble in the streets, viz: The economic dama…

The Italian Connection 2020-03-24

Since the earliest days of the current pandemic, Italy has been the scary member of the family that you absolutely don’t want to emulate, the one cousin that gets into really bad trouble. The Italians have the highest rate of deaths from the COVID-19 coronavirus, and their numbers continue to climb….

Is Extending Lockdowns Worth The Cost? (was Do Lockdowns Work?) 2020-04-01

Well, I got up today and fired up the weed wacker and went out to sweat a bit in the sun. You can see the mowed part at the bottom and the much larger unmowed part behind —I limit my fun to one tank of gas per day, makes my hands shake afterward. And while turning tall grass into short grass, I tho…

What’s Causing Job Loss 2020-04-18

I’ve read claims on the web that the job losses in the US were due to the virus itself, and to the fear of the virus making people cut back on activities. The claims are that the job loss is more from that, and not so much a result of the American Lockdown. So I thought I’d take a look at the weekly…

Antarctic Agreements and Disagreements 2010-06-19

Steven Mosher has pointed out a Science Magazine article (subscription only) about Antarctica. It is a discussion of the temperature changes in the West Antarctic Peninsula (WAP). And where might that be? Figure 1. Location of the West Antarctic Peninsula. Yellow push-pin markers show the location of temperature stations. Yellow…

Icy Arctic Variations in Variability 2012-05-03

A while back, I noticed an oddity about the Hadley Centre’s HadISST sea ice dataset for the Arctic. There’s a big change in variation from the pre- to the post-satellite era. Satellite measurements of ice areas began in 1979. Here is the full HadISST record, with the monthly variations removed.…

I used to be Snow White 2012-03-06

There’s a paper out by, inter alios, our good friend Judith Curry. The paper is “Impact of Declining Arctic Sea Ice on Winter Snowfall”, by Jiping Liu, Judith A. Curry, Huijun Wang, Mirong Song, and Radley M. Horton (PDF, hereinafter L2012). Judith has a thread discussing the paper at her…

My Thanks and Comments for Dr. Walt Meier 2010-04-10

First, I would like to thank Dr. Meier of the National Snow and Ice Data Center (NSIDC) for answering the questions I had posed (and had given my own personal answers) in “Trust and Mistrust”. I found his replies to be both temperate and well-reasoned. Also, I appreciate the positive…

Frozen Global Warming Research 2011-09-07

A number of nations conduct research in Antarctica. To do research in Antarctica, you need to have an icebreaker. As the old saying goes, you can’t make an omelette without breaking a few icebergs … or something like that. For the last few years, said icebreaker has been the Swedish…

Into and Out of the Icebox 2015-01-23

Inspired by a random comment by Steve McIntyre over at his marvelous blog Climate Audit, I got to thinking about the ice ages. I’ve long heard that the ice ages are caused by the changes in summer insolation in the northern hemisphere. As the story goes, the Milankovitch cycles of…

Skating on the Other Side of the Ice 2010-03-28

Inspired by this thread over at Bishop Hill’s excellent blog, I thought I’d write about sea ice. Among the many catastrophic things claimed to be the result of “global warming”, declining sea ice is one of the most popular. We see scary graphics of this all the time, things that…

The Ice Who Came In From The Cold 2010-06-01

A few days ago, Steve Goddard put up a post called “Does PIOMAS Verify?” In it, he compared the PIOMAS computer model estimate of the Arctic ice volume with the SIDADS satellite measured Arctic ice area. He noted that from 2007 on, the two datasets diverge. Intrigued by this, I…

Through The Ice Darkly 2016-03-03

As always, I get distracted by the daily news. The weather news today is a lovely rainy morning here in drought-plagued California, we got just under an inch (2cm) in last night’s storm, and the outer world is green and happy. Regarding the climate news, Anthony highligh…

Snow White Takes a Walk In The Park 2012-03-12

I wrote a post called I Used To Be Snow White (… but then I drifted) a week or so ago about a study titled “Impact of Declining Arctic Sea Ice on Winter Snowfall” (PDF) that claimed to link low arctic ice levels with high snow levels. To recap, their specific…

Alaska On The Rocks 2012-01-27

From the “weather is not climate” department, the sea ice is in early and thick in Alaska. It makes me shiver just to look at the picture. They had to use an icebreaker to get fuel to Nome. Figure 1. The Bering Sea region in Alaska. Anchorage is at the…

The Icebox Heats Up 2015-01-24

Well, either it’s a genetic defect or I’m just a glutton for punishment, but I’m going to delve some more into the ice ages. This is a followup to my previous post, Into and Out Of The Icebox. Let me start by looking at the cycles in the insolation and…

The Ice Was All Between 2016-03-02

I do my best to maintain my sense of awe regarding the things I study. I’ve had the good fortune in my life to be a commercial fisherman on the Bering Sea, and to voyage and fish on the edges of the Arctic ice. To me, sea ice, whether fixed …

Trouble On ‘Lonnies Mountain’ 2019-08-09

Looks like serial non-archiver Lonnie Thompson ran in to some “Climate Communication” issues of his own~ctm Scientists who had been studying Mount Huascaran for a month, located in the Ancash region, had to withdraw to avoid a conflict with the people of the local community of Musho, Yungay province…

The Size of Icy Reflections 2016-04-02

In my continuing wanderings through the regions cryospherical, I find more side roads than main highways. In my last two posts here and here, I discussed the curious inverse relationship between temperature and ice accumulation rates in Greenland and Antarctica. Wanting to understand the changes in …

Greenland Endures 2019-08-03

Charles the Moderator has been doing a fantastic job of keeping WUWT humming along, and deserves everyone’s thanks. Today he sent me an interesting article thinking I might want to comment on it. It has the usual kind of alarmist headline, viz: YIKES! EVERYONE PANIC! Now, I’ve gotta admit that that …

The Awful Terrible Horrible Global Sea Ice Crisis 2016-04-06

My examination of objects cryospherical continues. In my last post, The Size of Icy Reflections, I showed that a change of 10% in the global sea ice area translates into a global average of a 0.1 watt per square metre (W/m2) change in reflected sunlight. In this post, I’ll look at what that means gi…

The Warmer The Icier Part II 2016-03-10

In the first part of this disquisition, I discussed the oddity that the warmer it gets around Antarctica, the more ice accumulates on the Antarctic ice cap. However, that’s only one part of a very large planet. So I thought I’d take a look at the situation in Greenland. To start with, here is the Gr…

Water Behaving Badly 2019-09-30

Those who know me are aware that I’m a tropical boy, a hopeless addict of warm blue seas and coconut-laden islands with white sand beaches. Here’s where I used to live and work, Liapari Island in the Solomon Islands. That is how I like my water to behave, soft, warm, and inviting. But when the ice …

Graphing The Icy Reality 2020-03-22

Today I saw some scary headlines. I post them up along with snippets of the stories. First, from the BBC: Next, from the NASA Jet Propulsion Laboratory (JPL) Finally, from LiveScience: Hmmm, sez I, the dreaded “worst-case” climate scenario —so I went to find the data. The articles are in Nature mag…

Data in Bondage 2018-03-15

In a recent post here on WUWT, someone yclept “Javier” has written about the Bond Rafted Ice data. In a comment, he said: This is a frequency spectrum from Bond data. It shows the 980-year Eddy cycle, and the 2400-year Bray cycle I have written so much about. Well, th…

Pacific Glaciers Redux 2019-12-12

I see that Charles the Moderator has posted up the report of the fears of the loss of the Puncak Jaya glacier here on WUWT. Below is a photo of the current state of the glacier, which is in Irian Jaya on the island of New Guinea, north of Australia. My first thought upon reading the popular article,…

Greenland Is Way Cool 2019-01-08

As a result of a tweet by Steve McIntyre, I was made aware of an interesting dataset. This is a look by Vinther et al. at the last ~12,000 years of temperatures on the Greenland ice cap. The dataset is available here. Figure 1 shows the full length of the data, along …

Cycling in Central England 2014-05-08

Looking at a recent article over at Tallbloke’s Talkshop, I realized I’d never done a periodogram looking for possible cycles in the entire Central England Temperature (CET) series. I’d looked at part of it, but not all of it. The CET is one of the longest continuous temperature series, with…

The Slow Fourier Transform (SFT) 2014-05-03

While investigating the question of cycles in climate datasets (Part 1, Part 2), I invented a method I called “sinusoidal periodicity”. What I did was to fit a sine wave of various periods to the data, and record the amplitude of the best fit. I figured it had been invented…

Sailing on the Solar Wind 2014-05-17

The lack of cycles in the solar wind isn’t surprising when you analyze this paper. There is very little sign of any kind of annual cycle, which makes perfect sense because the sun doesn’t run by earthly clocks … the sun doesn’t know much about “one year for earthlings”.

arXiv bookworm 2012-04-01

I stumbled across something called “bookworm“, which looks through all of the articles in the pre-print service arXiv. Their default home page looks like this. Figure 1. Comparison of the usage of three terms, “graphene” (light blue), “qubit” (red) and “superluminal neutrinos” (green). You can see how there were no…

Australia and ACORN-SAT 2013-06-28

As Anthony discussed here, some Australian climate scientists think that there was an “angry summer” in 2012. Inspired by the necromantic incantations in support of the Aussie claims coming from the irrepressible Racehorse Nick Stokes, I went to take a look at the Australian temperature data. I found out that…

NOAA’s USCRN Revisited — no significant warming in the USA in 12 years 2017-11-08

Back in 2014, Anthony put up a post called “NOAA shows ‚Äòthe pause’ in the U.S. surface temperature record over nearly a decade”. In it, he discussed the record of the US Climate Reference Network (USCRN). I can’t better Anthony’s description of the USCRN, so I’m stealing it to use here: This data is…

Modern Ancient Temperatures 2020-07-24

OK, no need to torture me, I confess it‚ÄîI’m a data junkie. And when I see a new (to me at least) high-resolution dataset, my knees get weak. Case in point? The temperature dataset of the Colle Gnifetti ice core. It has a two-year resolution thanks to some new techniques. Better, it stretches clear b…

New CERES Data 2018-11-23

Every fall, there’s good news in the world of satellite information, because the CERES satellite folks add one more year’s worth of data to their full dataset. So I went and downloaded the whole 18 years worth, which is close to a full gigabyte of data —The other goo…

Steinhilber 2009 2016-04-27

Someone recommended that I look at the Steinhilber 2009 paper. I did. The data is here. My first-cut graphs are below. Discuss. For the reasons I talked about in my previous post, I gotta run. TSI is known as 1361 W/m2, where does this 341 W/m2 value come from? If I understand your question correctl…

Where Rivers Run North 2018-05-01

In the continental US, most of the rivers run east, west, or south. But in the Yukon and in Alaska, a number of them run north. The Yukon is a most curious river. The source of the Yukon in Lake Bennett in the Yukon Territory is only about for…

Spot The Quakes 2020-01-25

Over in the Twitterverse, where I appear as @WEschenbach, in a discussion someone made the following comment: I said that wasn’t true, and pointed him to my analysis of volcanoes and sunspots. Someone else commented: I thought —”electromagnetic tidal force”?!? So I decided to take a look. I starte…

Potholes In Their Arguments 2015-05-29

For folks with sensitive stomachs, I’d advise that you do not read the “Working Paper” named How Large Are Global Energy Subsidies? It was produced by the IMF [the “I” stands for “International” and most folks know what a “MF” is] as a part of the media blitz in preparation for the upcoming…

Exxonomics 2015-07-09

The British rag “The Guardian” will get astounding net traction. Right here’s the headline and first a part of a narrative that, regardless of solely being posted yesterday, has already spawned ninety-five copies throughout the online: Exxon knew of local weather change in 1981, e mail says ” but it surely enjoyable…

Browner, Colbert, the EPA, and Damaged Home windows 2011-10-20

Final evening I noticed Carol Browner, ex-head of the EPA, make an astounding assertion on the Colbert Report TV present. I used to be so amazed, I tracked down the video to verify I’d heard her proper. Earlier than I inform you what Ms. Browner mentioned that so bemused me, let me…

Company Common Gas Economic system (CAFE) Sux 2017-03-19

Bizarrely, and in contrast to virtually each different industrialized nation, the US has gas effectivity requirements for vehicles. Every company (Ford, Chevy, and many others.) has to fulfill sure gas economic system requirements known as the CAFE requirements. Let me begin by saying that I feel that that is governmental over-reach. In virt…

Shiny Inexperienced Impossibilities 2021-01-27

After studying some data at Associates of Science, I obtained to fascinated with how inconceivable will probably be for us to do what so many individuals are demanding that we do. That is to go to zero CO2 emissions by 2050 by getting off of fossil fuels. So let’s check out the scale of the issue. Folks gener…

Not Drained Of Successful But 2017-01-13

I’ve been discussing cost-benefit analyses these days. The AP has the story of a Federal choose who has simply made a most wonderful and far-reaching ruling concerning EPA cost-benefit analyses. He mentioned that the EPA has to incorporate the price of misplaced jobs within the financial a part of the cost-benefit evaluation of th…

The Inexperienced Spent By The Inexperienced Local weather Fund 2018-07-04

When President Trump pulled the US out of the Paris Local weather Settlement, he additionally pulled us out of paying any extra cash to the so-called “Inexperienced Local weather Fund” (GCF). Sorry, no extra inexperienced for the greenies’ fund. That is the fund which has been given $7.2 billion dol…

What’s That Musky Odor? 2016-11-19

Effectively, the person who has made billions with a “b” by sponging off of your taxpayer {dollars}, the person you may at all times discover face-down on the authorities trough, is at it once more. Elon Musk now says that his whiz-bang glass photo voltaic roofing shingles might be, get this, cheaper than a “regular” roof, viz: Musk advised …

The Cruelest Tax Of All 2017-01-21

A “progressive” tax is one the place the wealthier you’re the increased share of tax you pay. Then again, I’ve mentioned earlier than {that a} tax on power, the so-called “carbon tax”, is among the most regressive taxes accessible. It’s the reverse of progressive, it hits the poor the toughest. That is be…

The Social Profit Of Carbon 2018-12-15

After my current put up on the futility of the US reducing down on CO2 emissions, I obtained to fascinated with what is named the “social price of carbon”. (In passing, even the title is a lie. It’s really the supposed price of carbon DIOXIDE, not carbon —salesmanship and “fra…

The place Did The Cash Go? 2018-12-19

Right here’s what we, the US taxpayers, have spent on local weather since 1993 —can anybody inform me what we purchased that’s price ~ $180 BILLION {dollars}? Subsequent week we’ll be spending one other hundred and forty megabucks or so on this nonsense —the place is it going, and what are we getting for our hard-earned taxes? …

Subsidizing The Epocalypse 2020-01-01

I take as my topic for this put up a declare revamped at Forbes Journal, viz: I noticed that and mentioned “Whaaaa”? My city legend detector gentle began flashing brilliant purple at that declare that we’re on the primrose path to the epocalypse. Me, I at all times need to go the precise examine as a substitute of the media inter…

The Deutch Vitality Tax 2018-12-09

On the suggestion of a commenter on my final put up, I’m having a look at a really harmful and pointless piece of proposed laws. That is the “Vitality Innovation and Carbon Dividend Act”, which is subtitled “The Market-…

Going To Zero 2018-12-12

I preserve studying about every kind of loopy schemes to scale back US CO2 emissions. Now, I don’t suppose that CO2 is the key knob that controls the local weather. I feel that the earth has a bunch of emergent thermoregulatory mechanisms that act to maintain the…

The Dryer Will get Wetter 2018-12-25

I preserve studying that one of many issues that we’re already seeing (or that’s predicted) is that the moist areas of the planet are getting wetter and the dry areas are getting drier, viz: Anticipate the Moist to Get Wetter, and the Dry, Drier ‚Äì Middle f…

Why El Niño and never the AMO? 2013-01-17

On one other thread, a poster obtained me fascinated with the widespread follow of utilizing the El Nino 3.Four Index to take away a few of the variability from the historic world common floor temperature file. The speculation, as I’ve heard it propounded, is that the temperature of the Earth is “sign”,…

Climate Two Months From Now 2015-12-17

Some time again, of us seen that a few months after the El Nino kicked in throughout the Pacific, the earth would heat up a bit. Since then, folks have engaged in what they describe as “eradicating the El Nino sign” from the worldwide temperature file. Some time…

In The Land of El Nino 2015-09-26

Whereas I used to be concerned in an attention-grabbing interchange with David Douglass right here, I stumbled throughout an attention-grabbing discovery. Earlier than I get to that, although, I’ve to offer excessive marks to David and his co-author, Robert Knox, for displaying up on WUWT

Boy Little one, Lady Little one 2020-11-08

I’ve mentioned earlier than that I think about myself a local weather heretic quite than a local weather skeptic. A skeptic doubts elements of issues. A heretic questions the fundamental assumptions underlying the entire subject. My heresy is that I don’t suppose that temperature is a linear perform of greenhouse fuel forcing. I feel …

Underneath The Equator 2020-11-25

Impressed by my earlier posts, Boy Little one Lady Little one and Sea Ranges within the Nino-Nina Cycle, I made a decision to try what is going on beneath the ocean floor alongside the Equator. A commenter pointed me to an Australian archive of previous sub-surface analyses, with an unlucky URL that features “ocean…

Sea Ranges within the Nino Nina Cycle 2020-11-23

In a current put up entitled “Boy Little one, Lady Little one” I mentioned my useful evaluation of the El Nino-La Nina phenomenon. I famous that the Nino-Nina alteration features as an enormous pump shifting water from the equatorial Pacific in direction of each poles. In that put up I used this picture from NOAA: In Determine 1 y…

Observations on TOA Forcing vs Temperature 2012-06-12

I lately wrote three posts (first, second, and third), concerning local weather sensitivity. I needed to check my outcomes to a different dataset. Continued digging has led me to the CERES month-to-month world albedo dataset from the Terra satellite tv for pc. It’s an excellent set, in that it comprises downwelling photo voltaic (shortwave) radiation (DSR), upwelling photo voltaic radiation (USR), and most…

Solar and Clouds are Adequate 2012-06-04

In my earlier put up, A Longer Take a look at Local weather Sensitivity, I confirmed that the match between lagged internet sunshine (the photo voltaic power remaining after albedo reflections) and the observational temperature file is sort of good. Nevertheless, there was nonetheless a discrepancy between the tendencies, with the observational tendencies being barely bigger…

Which approach to the suggestions? 2010-12-11

There may be an attention-grabbing new examine by Lauer et al. entitled “The Influence of International Warming on Marine Boundary Layer Clouds over the Jap Pacific—A Regional Mannequin Research” [hereinafter Lauer10]. Anthony Watts has mentioned some early points with the paper right here. The Lauer10 examine has been controversial as a result of it discovered that…

Albedic Meanderings 2015-06-03

I’ve been contemplating the character of the connection between the albedo and temperature. I’ve hypothesized elsewhere that variations in tropical cloud albedo are one of many most important mechanisms that keep the worldwide floor temperature inside a reasonably slim vary (e.g. inside ± 0.3°C throughout your complete 20th Century). To…

Sluggish Drift in Thermoregulated Emergent Techniques 2013-02-08

In my final put up, “Emergent Local weather Phenomena“, I gave a unique paradigm for the local weather. The present paradigm is that local weather is a system by which temperature slavishly follows the modifications in inputs. Underneath my paradigm, alternatively, pure thermoregulatory programs constrain the temperature to range inside a…

Silver Ants 2015-06-22

I stumbled throughout a stunning article in regards to the Saharan silver ant over at phys.org. These ants have particular hairs that mirror strongly within the visible and radiate strongly within the infrared. They present a photograph of the ant hairs underneath a pair totally different quantities of magnification: Determine 1. {Photograph} from the phys.org…

Air Conditioning Nairobi, Refrigerating The Planet 2013-03-11

I’ve talked about earlier than {that a} thunderstorm features as a pure refrigeration system. I’d like to clarify in a bit extra element what I imply by that. Nevertheless, let me begin by explaining my credentials as regards my information of refrigeration. The only rationalization of my refrigeration credentials is that I…

The Thermostatic Throttle 2013-12-28

I’ve theorized that the reflective nature of the tropical clouds, particularly these of the inter-tropical convergence zone (ITCZ) simply above the equator, features because the “throttle” on the worldwide local weather engine. We’re all aware of what a throttle does, as a result of the fuel pedal in your automotive controls the…

It’s Not About Suggestions 2011-08-14

The present local weather paradigm believed by most scientists within the subject could be likened to the motion of balls on a pool desk. Determine 1. Pool balls on a stage desk. Response is instantly proportional to utilized power (double the power, double the gap). There aren’t any “most well-liked” positions—each place…

On The Stability and Symmetry Of The Local weather System 2014-01-06

The CERES information has its issues, as a result of the three datasets (incoming photo voltaic, outgoing longwave, and mirrored shortwave) don’t add as much as something close to zero. So the keepers of the keys adjusted them to a synthetic imbalance of +0.85 W/m2 (warming). Regardless of that lack of accuracy, nonetheless, the CERES information is…

The Particulars Are In The Satan 2010-12-13

I really like thought experiments. They permit us to grasp complicated programs that don’t match into the laboratory. They’ve been a useful device within the scientific stock for hundreds of years. Right here’s my thought experiment for as we speak. Think about a room. In a room filth collects, as you may think. In my family…

Plankton Trigger Hurricanes! Pressing Motion Required! 2010-08-15

When folks say that we perceive the unbelievably complicated local weather system properly sufficient to venture situations out 100 years, I level out that new issues are being found each week. The newest scientific discovering is that plankton trigger hurricanes. I do know it seems like a headline in The Onion,…

Forcing or Suggestions? 2012-06-07

I learn a Reviewer’s Touch upon one in all Richard Lindzen’s papers as we speak, a paper in regards to the tropics from 20°N to 20°S, and I got here throughout this curiosity (emphasis mine): Lastly, the authors undergo convoluted arguments between forcing and feed backs. For the authors’ analyses to be legitimate, clouds ought to…

Additional Proof for my Thunderstorm Thermostat Speculation 2011-06-07

For a while now I’ve been questioning what sort of new proof I may give you so as to add assist to my Thunderstorm Thermostat speculation (q.v.). That is the concept cumulus clouds and thunderstorms mix to cap the rise of tropical temperatures. Particularly, thunderstorms are in a position to drive…

The Each day Albedo Cycle 2015-06-08

I mentioned the position of tropical albedo in regulating the temperature in two earlier posts entitled Albedic Meanderings and An Inherently Steady System. This put up builds on that basis. I mentioned within the latter put up that I might focus on the diurnal modifications in tropical cloud albedo. For this I exploit…

The Tao of El Nino 2013-01-28

I used to be wandering by the graphics part of the TAO buoy information this night. I famous that they’ve an excellent animation of the latest sixty months of tropical sea temperatures and floor heights. Go to their graphics web page, click on on “Animation”. Then click on on “Animate”. When the brand new…

A Longer Take a look at Local weather Sensitivity 2012-05-31

After I revealed my earlier put up, “An Observational Estimate of Local weather Sensitivity“, a lot of folks objected that I used to be simply trying on the common annual cycle. On a time scale of a long time, they mentioned, issues are very totally different, and the local weather sensitivity is far bigger. So I made a decision to…

Right here there be Dragons 2013-02-04

I used to be reflecting tonight about emergent phenomena, and the way one factor about emergent phenomena is their unpredictability. I’m within the strategy of writing up a put up on emergent phenomena in local weather, in order that they’ve been on my thoughts. I obtained to fascinated with one thing I noticed thirty-five years in the past, a imaginative and prescient…

Estimating Cloud Suggestions From Observations 2011-10-08

I had an thought a pair days in the past about learn how to estimate cloud suggestions from observations, and it seems to have panned out properly. You inform me. Determine 1. Month-to-month change in 5° gridcell precise temperature ∆T, versus gridcell change in internet cloud forcing ∆F. Curved inexperienced strains are for…

The Magnificent Local weather Warmth Engine 2013-12-21

I’ve been reflecting over the previous few days about how the local weather system of the earth features as an enormous pure warmth engine. A “warmth engine”, whether or not pure or man-made, is a mechanism that converts warmth into mechanical power of some variety. Within the case of the local weather system, the…

An Inherently Steady System 2015-06-04

On the finish of my final put up , I mentioned that the local weather appears to be an inherently secure system. The graphic beneath reveals ~2,000 local weather simulations run by climateprediction.internet. In contrast to the opposite modelers, whose failures find yourself on the reducing room flooring, they’ve proven the entire runs ……

Stalking the Rogue Hotspot 2013-08-21

Dr. Kevin Trenberth is a mainstream local weather scientist, greatest identified for inadvertently telling the world the reality in regards to the parlous…

Dehumidifying the Tropics 2013-04-21

I as soon as had the nice fortune to fly over a tremendous spectacle, the place I noticed the entire varied levels of emergent phenomena involving thunderstorms. It occurred on a flight over the Coral Sea from the Solomon Islands, that are close to the Equator, south to Brisbane. Brisbane is at 27°…

Emergent Local weather Phenomena 2013-02-07

In a current put up, I described how the El Nino/La Nina alteration operates as an enormous pump. Each time the Pacific Ocean will get too heat throughout its floor, the Nino/Nina pump kicks in and removes the nice and cozy water from the Pacific, pumping it first west and thence poleward. I additionally wrote…

A Demonstration of Damaging Local weather Sensitivity 2012-06-19

Effectively, after my transient digression to another subjects, I’ve lastly been in a position to get again to the explanation that I obtained the CERES albedo and radiation information within the first place. This was to take a look at the connection between the highest of ambiance (TOA) radiation imbalance and the floor…

Issues With Analyzing Ruled Techniques 2015-08-02

I’ve been ruminating on the persevering with misunderstanding of my place {that a} governor is basically totally different from easy suggestions. Folks say issues like “A governor is only a sort of suggestions”. Effectively, sure, that’s true, and it is usually true {that a} human being is “simply…

Cooling And Warming Clouds And Thunderstorms 2015-08-18

Following up on a suggestion made to me by one in all my long-time scientific heroes, Dr. Fred Singer, I’ve been trying on the rainfall dataset from the Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission (TRMM) satellite tv for pc. Right here’s s the TRMM common rainfall information for your complete mission to d…

Tropical Evaporative Cooling 2015-11-11

I’ve been trying once more into the satellite tv for pc rainfall measurements from the Tropical Rainfall Measurement Mission (TRMM). I mentioned my first take a look at this rainfall information in a put up known as Cooling and Warming, Clouds and Thunderstorms. There I confirmed that the cooling from th…

How Thunderstorms Beat The Warmth 2016-01-08

I obtained to considering once more in regards to the thunderstorms, and the way a lot warmth they take away from the floor by way of evaporation. We have now good information on this from the Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission (TRMM) satellites. Right here is the distribution and power of rainfall, and thus …

The Hotter The Icier 2016-02-25

A WUWT commenter emailed me with a curious declare. I’ve described varied emergent phenomena that regulate the floor temperature. These function on time scales starting from minutes to hours (e.g. mud devils, thunderstorms) to multi-decadal (e.g. Atlantic Multidecadal …

Mud In My Eyes 2014-02-13

I used to be fascinated with “mud devils”, the little whirlwinds of mud that you simply see on a scorching day, and so they jogged my memory that we get dulled by familiarity with the wonders of our planet. Suppose, for instance, you that “again within the olden days” your loved ones lived for generations in…

Arctic Albedo Variations 2014-12-17

Anthony has simply posted the outcomes from a “Press Session” on the AGU convention. In it the authors make two claims of curiosity. The primary is that there was a 5 % lower in the summertime Arctic albedo for the reason that 12 months 2000: A decline within the area’s albedo –…

Unsuitable Once more … 2011-10-11

Like anybody else, I’m not keen on being flawed, notably very publicly flawed. Nevertheless, that’s the worth of science, and typically it’s a must to undergo being flawed to get to being proper. Working example? My final put up. In that put up I checked out what is called “internet…

Decadal Oscillations Of The Pacific Variety 2013-06-08

The current put up right here on WUWT in regards to the Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO) has a variety of of us claiming that the PDO is helpful for predicting the way forward for the local weather … I don’t suppose so myself, and this put up is about why I don’t suppose the PDO predicts the local weather…

The Energy Stroke 2014-02-27

I obtained to fascinated with the well-known correlation of El Ninos and world temperature. I knew that the Pacific temperatures lead the worldwide temperatures, and the tropics lead the Pacific, however I’d by no means appeared on the precise bodily distribution of the correlation. So I went to the CERES dataset, and…

The Cooling Rains 2019-04-29

I took one other ramble by the Tropical Rainfall Measurement Mission (TRMM) satellite-measured rainfall information. Determine 1 reveals a Pacific-centered and an Atlantic-centered view of the typical rainfall from the tip of 1997 to the beginning of 2015 as measured by the TRMM satellite tv for pc. There’s a number of intere…

Driving Forces 2017-09-03

There’s a brand new paper revealed in Nature Scientific Stories known as “Identification of the driving forces of local weather change utilizing the longest instrumental temperature file”, by Geli Wang et al, hereinafter Wang2017. By “the longest instrumental temperature file” the…

The Thermostat Speculation 2009-06-14

The Thermostat Speculation is that tropical clouds and thunderstorms actively regulate the temperature of the earth. This retains the earth at a equilibrium temperature. A number of sorts of proof are introduced to ascertain and elucidate the Thermostat Speculation ‚Äì historic temperature stability of th…

The place The Temperature Guidelines The Solar 2017-12-14

I’ve held for a very long time that there’s a regulatory mechanism within the tropics that retains the earth’s temperature inside very slim bounds on common (e.g. ¬± 0.3°C over the 20th Century). This mechanism is the timing and quantity of the day by day emergence of the cumulus cloud subject, and the timing and em…

Cloud Suggestions 2016-09-04

Within the feedback to Christopher Monckton’s newest put up, Nick Stokes drew consideration to Soden and Held’s evaluation of suggestions within the local weather fashions. I reproduce their Desk 1 beneath: I discovered a number of superb issues on this desk. The primary is the massive vary of values for the assorted parameters. Whereas all…

The North Atlantic Seesaw 2017-06-24

In my peripatetic meandering by the CERES satellite tv for pc information, I’ve been trying on the correlation between the temperatures within the NINO3.Four area and the temperatures of the remainder of the planet. The NINO3.Four area is an space within the equatorial jap Pacific Ocean. It…

A Arduous Rain’s Gonna Chill 2018-02-05

I used to be re-reading an previous put up of mine entitled “How Thunderstorms Beat The Warmth”. I say “re-reading” as a result of I couldn’t keep in mind writing some elements of it. Sure, it was solely from two years in the past —however throughout these two years, I’ve researched and written 83 different scientific posts right here at WUWT, plus one other…

The place The Temperature Guidelines The Whole Floor Absorption 2017-12-22

Reflecting upon my earlier put up, The place The Temperature Guidelines The Solar, I spotted that whereas it was legitimate, it was nearly temperature controlling downwelling photo voltaic power through cloud variations. Nevertheless, it didn’t cowl complete power enter to the floor. The entire en…

Why Eire Is Inexperienced 2018-03-28

I used to be amused to see that there aren’t any dry months in Eire. The truth is, the dryest month has a mean rainfall of 68 mm (2.7‚Ä≥), sufficient to maintain the Isle Emerald —There’s an attention-grabbing examine over at Local weather of the Previous entitled “A 305-year steady month-to-month rainfall …

Rainfall and El Niño 2016-06-10

In a current put up right here on WattsUpWithThat, the declare was made that the El Nino influences rainfall. They confirmed a correlation between varied historic proxies and El Nino/La Nina. So I believed I’d check out the fashionable correlation between rainfall and the El Nino. As a measurement of the El Ni√±…

Estimating Cloud Suggestions Utilizing CERES Information 2017-05-25

.As typical, Dr. Judith Curry’s Week In Overview ‚Äì Science Version comprises attention-grabbing research. I took a take a look at one entitled “Cloud suggestions mechanisms and their illustration in world local weather fashions”, by Ceppi et al., hereinafter Ceppi2017. The paper seems on the cha…

Symmetry and Stability 2018-05-05

The CERES satellite tv for pc dataset is a endless supply of amazement and curiosity. I obtained to fascinated with how a lot power is definitely stoking the immense local weather engine. In fact, nearly all of the power comes from the solar. (There’s a little bit of geothermal, but it surely’s a lot…

Temperature and Forcing 2017-07-13

Over at Dr. Curry’s wonderful web site, she’s discussing the Pink and Blue Workforce strategy. If I ran the zoo and will re-examine the local weather query, I’d need to take a look at what I see because the central misunderstanding within the present principle of local weather. That is the mistaken id…

Clouds and El Nino 2018-05-09

After the flip of the century, I turned all for local weather science. However in contrast to virtually everybody else, I wasn’t stunned by how a lot the worldwide temperature was altering. As somebody with expertise with warmth engines and engine governors, I understand how arduous it’s to maintain…

CERES Version Four and the Cloud Radiative Impact 2018-01-18

One of many enduring questions in local weather includes what’s often known as “cloud suggestions”. When the earth warms up a bit, the clouds change in response. The query is the route of that response. Does the change in clouds amplify a warming, or does it cut back a wa…

Evaporation Redux 2017-06-11

I obtained to considering once more in regards to the query of evaporation and rainfall. I wrote about it right here a couple of years in the past. Quick model‚Äîwhen the earth’s floor will get hotter, we get extra evaporation and thus extra rainfall. Since what comes down should go up, we are able to use the Tropical…

Drying The Sky 2020-01-07

Eleven years in the past I revealed a put up right here on Watts Up With That entitled “The Thermostat Speculation”. A few 12 months after the put up, the journal Vitality and Setting revealed my rewrite of the put up entitled “THE THUNDERSTORM THERMOSTAT HYPOTHESIS: HOW CLOUDS AND THUNDERSTORMS CONTROL THE EARTH’S TEM…

Cooling and Warming, Clouds and Thunderstorms 2015-08-18

Following up on a suggestion made to me by one in all my long-time scientific heroes, Dr. Fred Singer, I’ve been trying on the rainfall dataset from the Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission (TRMM) satellite tv for pc. Right here’s s the TRMM common rainfall information for your complete mission so far: Be aware the horizontal yell…

The place The Heat Is 2018-03-24

I obtained to fascinated with the “hiatus” in warming within the 21st Century, and I spotted that the CERES satellite tv for pc dataset covers the interval for the reason that 12 months 2000. So I’ve graphed up a couple of views of the temperature modifications over the interval of the CERES file, which at current is Might 2000 to February 2017. No…

The Rainmakers 2017-08-08

For greater than a decade now I’ve been saying one thing with out getting a lot settlement, which was: “Once you minimize down the bushes, you narrow down the clouds”. I primarily based my saying by myself expertise, first rising up in a ponderosa pine and fir forest, and later residing in a …

Into The Vortex 2017-09-08

I got here throughout a stunning {photograph} of a “fireplace satan”, additionally known as a “fireplace whirl”. I favored it as a result of the photograph completely exemplified what’s flawed with the present technology of local weather fashions. What’s flawed with the fashions is that they don’t embody any of the vortex-based emergent atmospheric pheno…

Timing Is All the things 2018-01-27

In any case, I’ve to thank the commenter. He spurred me to look additional on the query of the variations within the floor photo voltaic radiation on the varied places. And as at all times, pure information comprises surprises. My principle in regards to the local weather is that the worldwide tempera…

Moist Years, Dry Years 2019-12-25

I preserve studying every kind of claims that the slight warming we’ve been experiencing over the past century has already led to a rise in droughts. A number of years in the past there have been a few very dry years right here in California, and the alarmists had been claiming that “world warming” had put us into “perman…

Glimpsed Via The Clouds 2018-02-12

In a current put up, I mentioned the brand new CERES Version 4.Zero dataset. See that put up for a dialogue of the CERES satellite-based radiation information, together with hyperlinks to the info itself. In that put up I’d mentioned: I convey all of this up as a result of there are some new datasets in CERES…

Watching Thunderstorms Chase The Scorching Spots 2018-02-15

As soon as on a stunning scorching August day in jap Oregon, my beautiful ex-fiancee and I sat entranced and watched a parade of mud devils. I’ve written about mud devils earlier than, they’re one in all my favourite emergent phenomena. Like many such emergent local weather phenomena, mud dev…

Of Water And Albedo 2018-08-27

As typical, there’s extra to study within the CERES satellite tv for pc dataset. I obtained to considering of the thought put forth by Lacis 2010. He introduced mannequin outcomes claiming that if the one modeled greenhouse fuel within the modeled ambiance had been modeled water, the mannequin world would mainly evolve to a modeled ice ov…

Who’ll Cease The Rain? 2017-01-03

I haven’t posted right here at WUWT in a bit. I’ve been preoccupied writing for my very own weblog, Skating Underneath The Ice. It’s a piece in progress. Nevertheless, my local weather work continues. There’s a paper out a couple of 12 months previous, sadly paywalled, concerning precipitation with some attention-grabbing conclusions. [UPDAT…

Clouds Down Under 2018-04-03

Sometimes climate research is just plain funny. I wrote before about Irish rain and investigated whether there is any effect on the rain from the solar variations linked to sunspots. I was looking for evidence that the Svensmark hypothesis is t…

Radiation versus Temperature 2019-06-08

Due to the recent posts by Lord Monkton and Nick Stokes, I’ve been thinking about the relationship between radiation and temperature. So I turned to the CERES dataset. Here is a scatterplot of the monthly global average surface temperature versus the monthly global average downwelling total radiatio…

A Second Look At Radiation Versus Temperature 2019-06-14

I kept going back and looking at the graphic from my previous post on radiation and temperature. It kept niggling at me. It shows the change in surface temperature compared to the contemporaneous change in how much energy the surface is absorbing. Here’s that graphic again: What I found botheracious…

The Ocean Warms By A Whole Little 2020-01-14

How much is a “Whole Little”? Well, it’s like a whole lot, only much, much smaller. There’s a new paper out. As usual, it has a whole bunch of authors, fourteen to be precise. My rule of thumb is that “The quality of research varies inversely with the square of the number of authors” —but I digress…

Marginal Parasitic Loss Rates 2014-03-26

There is a more global restatement of Murphy’s Law which says “Nature always sides with the hidden flaw”. Parasitic losses are an example of that law at work. In any heat engine, either natural or manmade, there are what are called “parasitic losses”. These are losses that tend to reduce…

M. King Meets the EIA 2014-01-11

Dramatis Personae: The “EIA” is the US Energy Information Agency, the US agency in charge of data about energy production, consumption, and use. It has just released its January 2014 Short Term Energy Report, with current and projected oil production figures. And “M. King” is Marion King Hubbert, the man who…

The Only Choice Is Where It Gets Burned 2011-10-06

The noted anti-development expert James Hansen and some other AGW supporters are out in force trying to block the proposed expansion of the existing Keystone Pipeline called the “Keystone XL”. They claim that it would be carrying “dirty oil” from the Canadian Oil Sands … and what makes oil “dirty”…

Pump Price, Miles Driven, and Energy Taxes 2013-07-09

Inspired (as I often am) by either the insights or the foolishness of a guest post at Judith Curry’s always-provocative blog, I decided to take a look at the relationship between fuel price and miles driven. My inspiration came from my amusement at the guest author’s use of the following…

The Levelized Cost of Electric Generation 2014-02-16

In early 2013, the US Energy Information Agency (EIA) released their new figures for the “levelized cost” of new power plants. I just came across them, so I thought I’d pass them on. These are two years more recent than the same EIA cost estimates I discussed in 2011 here. Levelized…

Conventional Wisdom, Unconventional Oil 2013-02-02

There’s a discussion over at Judith Curry’s excellent blog, about peak oil. I find the whole madness surrounding peak oil to be one more example of our human love for warnings of future disaster. Few people want to hear that tomorrow will be OK, that things will work out. Instead,…

Getting Energy From The Energy Store 2013-06-29

Inspired by an interesting guest post entitled “An energy model for the future, from the 12th century” over at Judith Curry’s excellent blog, I want to talk a bit about energy storage. The author of the guest post is partially right. His thesis is that solving the problem of how…

Cooking Grandma 2013-07-04

I got to thinking about the way that California prices its electricity, which is never a good thing for a man’s blood pressure. When I was a kid, the goal of the Public Utilities Commission and Pacific Gas and Electric was to provide cheap electricity. The Bonneville Dam and the…

More Fun with Oil and Gas 2014-01-12

Well, having had such a good time with M. King Hubbert meeting the EIA, I thought I’d toss out another puzzle. This one is inspired by a statement from the King himself that someone quoted in that thread, viz: “A child born in the middle 30s,” Hubbert told reporters, “will…

The R/P Ratio 2011-12-13

In oil, as in other extractive industries, you have what is called the “R/P ratio”. In the R/P ratio, “R” is reserves of whatever it is you are extracting, and “P” is the production rate, the rate at which you are extracting and using up your reserves. Figure 1. World…

Drilling For Hydrogen 2013-07-01

As a result of my post on energy storage entitled Getting Energy From The Energy Store, a few people brought up the idea of using hydrogen as an energy source. You see this on the web, that we could power our civilization on hydrogen, convert all the trucks and buses…

What Powers The Electricity 2016-02-09

There is a generator-by-generator analysis of the US power supply for 2012, called “eGrid”, available here”as an Excel file. I’ve aggregated the data by fuel type. Discuss. Best of a lovely February night”to all, Orion refulgent in ebon sky, Castor and Pol…

Watts Available 2020-09-23

I ponder curious things. I got to thinking about available solar energy. That’s the amount of solar energy that remains after reflection losses. Just under a third (~ 30%) of the incoming sunshine is reflected back into space by a combination of the clouds, the aerosols in the atmosphere, and the s…

In CAISO Emergency Break Glass 2020-08-15

Here in the United California Socialist Republic, we have an insane bunch of laws about electricity. Number one among them is a “Renewables Mandate” that requires the local utility, Pacific Gas and Electric (PGE) to purchase a huge amount of expensive, unreliable solar, wind, and other renewable ene…

Forcing and Burning in Coal Country. 2019-06-21

A 2015 paper by Xiaochun Zhang and Ken Caldeira has come to my attention. Inter alia, the abstract says: That made my bad number detector start flashing red. So I decided to do my own rough calculations. Here’s my work. I’ve used values for the amount of carbon which would be needed to be burned in …

What’s Absorbing The Sun? 2018-09-05

In considering how the energy flows around the planet, I got to thinking about the amount of solar energy that is absorbed rather than transmitted by the atmosphere and the clouds. As with many other such questions, I turned to the wonderful CERES satellite data. Figu…

Another Look At The Fuel Mix 2018-12-21

After my previous post on the subject of the fuel mix that powers the planet, I thought I’d take another look at energy use, this time by region and country. Let me start with the country that uses the most energy. No, it’s not the US —it’s China. Here is China’s ene…

Not Evil, Just Destructive 2011-03-17

Well, the Joe Romm saga continues. He’s been discussing the paper “Evidence for super-exponentially accelerating atmospheric carbon dioxide growth“. After I pointed out the problems with the paper’s ludicrous claims about population, Joe pulled his whole goofy section repeating the paper’s population errors. He also talked to one of the…

Don’t Tax Development, It Hurts The Poor 2011-12-19

I was reading an interesting article, paywalled sadly, called “Detecting Novel Associations in Large Data Sets“, by David N. Reshef et al. It describes a subtle method for detecting relationships in datasets. Their method is called “MIC” for maximal information coefficient. The MIC coefficient measures the strength of the association of…

Why a “Revenue Neutral” Energy Tax Isn’t 2011-03-18

Over at her excellent blog, Judith Curry is hosting a discussion that in part is about “revenue-neutral” carbon (in reality energy) taxes. This is another example of where being a generalist is an advantage. I’ve started and run businesses, so I know why revenue neutral isn’t neutral at all when…

Monetizing the Effects of Carbon 2013-01-11

I see that the New York Times (NYT) is going to close their environmental desk. Given that there still are actual environmental problems on the planet, I consider the closing as a sad commentary on the hijacking of the environmental movement by carbon alarmists. CO2 alarmism has done huge damage…

The PowerHouse School Concept 2013-09-28

In my last post, “Expensive Energy Kills Poor People” , I spoke of the women of Lesotho. In the comments someone asked what I would recommend that they do regarding electricity. For me, there are two separate questions about the provision of electricity. One is cities and the grid. The…

Expensive Energy Kills Poor People 2013-09-27

Lesotho (pronounced “Leh – soo – too”), is a mountain fortress of a country, totally surrounded by South Africa. The people there, the Basotho (pronounced “Bah – soo – too), are tough as nails, and you’d have to be. It’s high desert country, cold in the winter, not much water.…

Long Green 2013-10-27

The US has some of the world’s most boring looking money—it’s all green. So we have terms like “greenbacks” for dollars, and “long green”, meaning lots of money. I offer this as context for what I found when I got to wondering what had happened to the United Nations “Green…

Double the Burn Rate, Scotty! 2013-08-21

Lots of folks claim that the worst possible thing we could do is to allow the third world to actually develop to the level of the industrialized nations. The conventional wisdom holds that there’s not enough fossil fuels in the world to do that, that fuel use would be ten…

Firing Up The Economy, Literally 2010-11-17

I’ve spent the last week in the Solomon Islands, which is northeast of Australia. It’s a wonderful place for me to come back to, even if only for a week, as I lived here for nine years. It’s a curious place, one of the UNs “LDCs”, the “Least Developed Countries.”…

I Blame The Australian Carbon Tax for Price Increases 2011-11-17

You likely didn’t realize that the First Rule for the Carbon Tax Club is … nobody talks about the Carbon Tax Club. And not only that … it could cost the poor Aussies big bucks if they say what I just said about the Carbon Tax Club. Gotta love totalitarianism…

Lord Stern’s Mathematical Malapropisms 2013-01-27

I see the good Lord Stern is back in the news. Lord Stern famously produced an eponymous report a few years ago about how much it would cost to cut down carbon dioxide to try to cool down the planetary temperature. He said it would be dirt cheap, a percent…

Warming Up The Poor and Vulnerable 2018-10-08

Well, the new report is out from the IPCC, the Indefatigable Predictors of Climate Catastrophe. It’s our last-chance must act now warning of upcoming Thermageddon —I think we’re up to Last Chance Warning Number Thirty-Seven or something like that. And the UNFCCC, the United Nations Foundation for C…

Killer Cold 2017-04-04

I found an interesting article on weather-related deaths. Here’s their money graph. It shows the number of deaths by the age of the person dying. A couple of notes. First, at all ages the deaths from cold are more common than deaths from heat. Second, almost no infants die from excess heat, but some…

Accuracy, Precision, and One Watt per Square Metre 2013-08-30

I’ve been investigating one of my favorite datasets in the last few days, the CERES satellite-based top-of-atmosphere (TOA) radiation dataset. In particular, I’ve taken month-by-month global and hemispheric averages of the data. The dataset consists of observations of three variables—downwelling solar radiation, upwelling longwave (infrared) radiation, and upwelling shortwave radiation…

An Albedic Curiosity 2015-07-10

I had one of my investigations take a curious turn recently. I was going to use as my springboard the most interesting 2015 paper entitled The Albedo Of Earth, by Graeme L. Stephens et al. However, a strange thing happened along the way. I got to thinking about their Fig…

Global Energy Balances … Except When It Doesn’t 2019-01-24

Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach. I came across an interesting 2014 paper called “The energy balance over land and oceans: an assessment based on direct observations and CMIP5 climate models”. In it, they make a number of comparisons between observational data and 43 climate models regarding the larg…

The Empire Strikes Out 2011-03-04

I guess having electricity when you need it is sooooo last century … UK families will have to get used to “only using power when it was available”. That constant electricity at home was dangerous anyhow, the unending hum of the wires can drive a man so insane that the…

NGOs: It’s Worse Than We Thought 2011-12-07

The official numbers of partygoers to the 17th Conference of Parties in Durban, South Africa, shape up like this: Figure 1. Theoretical distribution of the 14,570 partygoers at the Durban 17th Conference of Partygoers. Numbers indicate total delegates from that group. Slightly more government delegates than NGO representatives. However, as in all things climate, it’s…

How Environmental Organizations Are Destroying The Environment 2013-06-25

The Washington Post reports: During an April visit to the San Francisco home of billionaire and environmental activist Tom Steyer, who created a political action committee in March to target lawmakers supporting the Keystone pipeline, Obama noted that the issue of climate change “is near and dear” to Steyer and…

Conservamentalism 2010-04-07

It is not often that I turn a comment into a complete post, but this comment from Willis Eschenbach on the Trust and Mistrust article today, merits such a promotion. ‚Äì Anthony Which death is more troubling? (images: from NOAA, upper, Wikimedia, lower) I am surprised at the visceral nature of the rej…

Cruising the Northwest Passage In Style 2014-08-16

While working on finishing the story of my sea voyage last week down from Canada to Oregon, I was surprised to see that there is a new market in the world of marine “eco-tourism”. This one involves burning thousands and thousands of gallons of eeevil fossil fuels so that rich folks can make a…

The Coldest Journey Gets Colder 2013-03-04

I was saddened to get the news that Sir Ranulf Fiennes, OBE, has gotten frostbitten. As a result, he has been forced to give up his dream of a winter crossing of Antarctica, an expedition entitled The Coldest Journey. His public support of CO2 alarmism has led to perhaps somewhat…

Here we go again: row, row, row, your boat – Arctic edition 2012-07-09

I must admit, being an oceanic adventurer myself, I do love to read about outrageous voyages. The feats of Shackleton in the Endurance stir my blood. I’ve stood on the deck of the Gjoa, the first ship to make the northwest Passage, and marveled at how tiny it was, and…

Where Are The Corpses? 2010-01-04

Abstract The record of continental (as opposed to island) bird and mammal extinctions in the last five centuries was analyzed to determine if the “species-area” relationship actually works to predict extinctions. Very few continental birds or mammals are recorded as having gone extinct, and none have gone extinct from habitat…

Common Sense Added to Endangered Species List 2011-06-01

As Anthony Watts highlighted, the recent paper in Nature (paywalled, reported here) on extinctions agreed with the main conclusion that I had established in my post “Where Are The Corpses“. The conclusion was that the “species/area relationship” as currently used doesn’t work to predict extinctions, and thus there is no…

Always Trust Your Gut Extinct 2013-01-25

Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach, title from a Paula Abdul quote The backstory for today’s adventure is that this is the first scientific question I seriously researched. It is also the reason I don’t trust the “experts” or the “consensus”. In 1988, E. O. Wilson, an ant expert with little knowledge of extinction, made a…

Alexander the Great Explains The Drop In Extinctions 2013-07-07

In a recent post here on WattsUpWithThat called The Thirteen Worst Graphs In The World, Geoff Chambers explores the graphs in a new book called “10 Billion”, by Stephen Emmott. The book appears to be Emmott’s first entry in the “Future Failed Serial Doomcaster” competition. I thought I’d take a…

New paper from Loehle & Eschenbach shows extinction data has been wrongly blamed on climate change due to island species sensitivity 2011-10-25

Guest post by Dr. Craig Loehle Last year, Willis Eschenbach had a WUWT post about extinction rates being exaggerated in the literature (http://wattsupwiththat.com/2010/01/04/where-are-the-corpses/). I offered to help him get this published, and it is now out. We conclude that the …

Every Silver Lining Has A Cloud 2010-05-12

I noted on the news that there is a new plan afoot to cool down the planet. This one supposedly has been given big money by none other than Bill Gates. The plan involves a fleet of ships that supposedly look like this: Figure 1. Artist’s conception of cloud-making ships.…

Temperature and TOA Forcing 2015-05-08

I’ve been thinking about temperature and top-of-atmosphere (TOA) forcing. TOA forcing is the imbalance between the TOA upwelling and downwelling radiation. The CERES satellite dataset contains observations of the TOA radiation imbalance on a gridcell-by-gridcell basis. It is calculated as the downwelling solar radiation for that month by gridcell, minus…

Arctic Layer Cake 2014-02-03

There’s a recent paper paywalled here, called Arctic winter warming amplified by the thermal inversion and consequent low infrared cooling to space. Fortunately, the Supplementary Online Information is available here, and it contains much valuable information. The paper claims that during the arctic winter, the atmospheric radiation doesn’t go out to…

Climate Insensitivity 2015-05-23

I’ve been wanting to [take] one other take a look at the connection between internet top-of-atmosphere (TOA) radiation modifications on the one hand and modifications in temperature on the opposite. As a crucial prelude, I lastly have gotten spherical to an oft-postponed job, that of trying on the thermal lag in numerous areas…

ODTRAN Moddities 2011-08-18

There’s an internet calculator known as MODTRAN that calculates the absorption of longwave (“greenhouse”) radiation for varied greenhouse gases (“GHGs”), and reveals their ensuing impact. It does this on a “line-by-line” foundation, which means it examines every interval of the longwave spectrum for every greenhouse fuel at every altitude, and calculates the…

Thanks and Apologies 2012-01-17

I’ve no use for individuals who censor and ban those that don’t agree with their scientific concepts. I’ve had my easy, on-topic, scientific feedback censored over at RealClimate. And I’m banned at Tamino’s “Closed Thoughts” weblog for asking one too many undesirable questions. I actually, actually didn’t like both expertise at…

The Metal Greenhouse 2009-11-17

There may be a variety of misinformation floating across the net in regards to the greenhouse impact works. It’s variously described as a “blanket” that retains the Earth heat, or a “mirror” that displays a part of the warmth again to Earth, or “a pane of glass” that by some means retains power from escaping. It’s none of these items.

The R. W. Wooden Experiment 2013-02-06

Pushed by a commenter on one other thread, I believed I’d focus on the R. W. Wooden experiment, finished in 1909. Many individuals maintain that this experiment reveals that CO2 absorption and/or back-radiation doesn’t exist, or not less than that the poorly named “greenhouse impact” is trivially small. I say it doesn’t present…

A Matter of Some Gravity 2012-01-13

A few apparently associated theories have been making the rounds these days. One is by Nikolov and Zeller (N&Z), expounded right here and replied to right here on WUWT. The opposite is by Hans Jelbring, mentioned at Tallblokes Talkshop. As I perceive their theories, they are saying that the mixture of gravity plus…

Radiating the Ocean 2011-08-15

As soon as once more, the loopy concept that downwelling longwave radiation (DLR, additionally known as infra-red or IR, or “greenhouse radiation”) can’t warmth the ocean has raised its ugly head on one in all my threads. Determine 1. The query in query. There are many good arguments in opposition to the AGW consensus, however this…

Folks Dwelling in Glass Planets 2010-11-27

Dr. Judith Curry notes in a posting at her wonderful weblog Local weather And many others. that there are of us on the market that declare the poorly named planetary “greenhouse impact” doesn’t exist. And she or he is true, some of us do suppose that. I took a shot at explaining that the “greenhouse impact” is a…

The Moon is a Chilly Mistress 2012-01-08

I’ve been contemplating the impact that temperature swings have on the typical temperature of a planet. It comes up concerning the query of why the moon is a lot colder than you’d count on. The albedo (reflectivity) of the moon is lower than that of the Earth. You may see the…

Lags And Leads 2015-08-24

I’ve been fascinated with thermal lags within the local weather system. Everyone seems to be aware of thermal lag in on a regular basis life. Once you put a cast-iron pan on the range flame, it doesn’t warmth up immediately. As a substitute, the warming course of begins immediately, but it surely takes some quantity of …

Man Stewart Callendar 2014-11-13

I vastly get pleasure from studying previous science. Again fifty years or extra in the past, they really did actual science, not the “my mannequin says it should be true” sort of factor that we’re handled to as we speak. In that regard, I’ve been lucky to detect one of many earliest papers on…

Northern Winter Nights 2016-02-23

I obtained to fascinated with the distribution of the so-called “world” warming. I’d heard {that a} good chunk of it was resulting from rising nighttime minimal temperatures. So I grabbed the Berkeley…

Efficient Radiation Stage (ERL) Temperature 2016-09-06

Lord Monckton has initiated an attention-grabbing dialogue of the efficient radiation stage. Such discussions are of worth to me as a result of they strike off concepts of issues to research —so once more I am going wandering by the info. Let me outline a pair phrases I’ll use. “Radiation temperature” is the tempera…

A Determined Lack Of Equilibrium 2019-12-26

I obtained to fascinated with the dearth of progress in estimating the “equilibrium local weather sensitivity”, generally known as ECS. The ECS measures how a lot the temperature modifications when the top-of-atmosphere forcing modifications, in a couple of thousand years after all of the modifications have equilibrated. The ECS is measured in degr…

Delta T and Delta F 2017-12-18

The elemental and to me incorrect assumption on the core of the fashionable view of local weather is that modifications in temperature are a linear perform of modifications in forcing. Forcing is outlined as the online downwelling radiation on the prime of the ambiance (TOA). In accordance with this principle, as a way to determine ou…

Can A Chilly Object Heat A Scorching Object? 2017-11-24

Quick reply? In fact not, that may violate the Second Legislation of Thermodynamics —BUT it might probably go away the new object hotter than it could be if the chilly object weren’t there. Let me clarify why that is so. Let me begin by introducing the concepts of particular person flows and ne…

The Picasso Drawback 2018-11-17

Let me begin explaining the hyperlink from Picasso to local weather science by what Dr. Nir Shaviv known as “probably the most boring graph I’ve ever plotted in my life”. That is the graph of the modifications in the perfect estimate of the vary of what’s ca…

The Supply Of The Warmth 2018-03-09

Over at Dr. Judith Curry’s at all times wonderful weblog, she has a put up headlined by a query, viz: What are the primary sources of warmth that account for the incremental rise in temperature on Earth? Let me begin by saying that it is a horribly phrased query. Take into account a …

A Reverse Greenhouse Impact 2017-02-13

Right here’s an oddity. Some very intelligent of us have invented a plastic movie that cools surfaces by as a lot as 10°C. From Science journal: Right here’s the modern half, in keeping with the article. The tiny glass spheres act as resonators for the infrared emitted by the underlying floor. By selecting the righ…

Planet-Sized Experiments — we’ve already finished the two°C take a look at 2019-03-17

Folks usually say that we’re heading into the unknown on the subject of CO2 and the planet. They are saying we are able to’t know, for instance, what a 2°C warming will do as a result of we are able to’t do the experiment. That is seen as necessary as a result of for unknown causes, folks have battened on to “2°C” as being the scary temp…

The Charney Report Revisited 2019-07-21

Over on Twitter, Michael Tobis made the declare that the 1979 Charney report entitled “Carbon Dioxide and Local weather: A Scientific Evaluation” was a “triumph of 20th century meteorological science”, partly for predicting “floor warming tending to be concentrated in polar areas”. This obtained me to thi…

Enjoyable With Lunar Temperatures 2020-02-13

Some time in the past, I wrote a put up known as “The Moon Is A Chilly Mistress”. In that put up I mentioned how the typical temperature just isn’t correct when there are enormous swings in temperature. Or to be clearer, I mentioned why the typical temperature of the moon is far decrease than you’d count on given the gap f…

A Method To Calculate Efficient N 2015-07-01

The most effective elements of writing for the online is the excellent recommendation and steering I get from of us with a number of expertise. I lately had the nice fortune to have Robert Brown of Duke College advocate a examine by Demitris Koutsoyiannis entitled The Hurst phenomenon and fractional Gaussian…

Repeated Trials, Autocorrelation, and Albedo 2015-06-27

OK, fast gambler’s query. Suppose I flip seven cash within the air without delay and so they all seven come up heads. Are the cash loaded? Close to as I can inform, statistics was invented by gamblers to reply this sort of query. The seven cash are unbiased occasions. If they’re…

Why Copenhagen Will Obtain Nothing 2009-11-06

The upcoming Copenhagen local weather summit, formally and ponderously named “COP15 United Nations Local weather Change Convention Copenhagen 2009”, is aimed toward decreasing the emissions of the developed world. The principle gamers, in fact, are the US and Western Europe. There’s a widespread notion that …

I Have A Stake In The Final result 2011-02-13

Right here on WUWT, Ron Cram has offered an attention-grabbing overview of a lot of folks’s concepts about fascinating modifications to the United Nations Intergovernmental Panel on Local weather Change (UN IPCC). He proposes that the IPCC present us with a majority and a minority view of local weather science, quite than simply…

A Unusual Drawback with the IPCC Numbers 2010-10-23

ABSTRACT The IPCC says that the anticipated change in temperature arising from a change in forcing is the same as the change in forcing occasions the local weather sensitivity. The IPCC gives values we are able to use to estimate the full human and pure forcing change since 1850. The IPCC additionally proves estimates…

CDM-ania 2011-09-30

I wrote beforehand in regards to the Clear Growth Mechanism (CDM) of the Kyoto Protocol. In that put up, I identified an underlying irony of the CDM. On the behest of European AGW supporters who would by no means, ever consider permitting the constructing of a hydroelectric dam in their very own nation, European…

Triangular Fuzzy Numbers and the IPCC 2012-02-07

I obtained to fascinated with “triangular fuzzy numbers” concerning the IPCC and their claims about how the local weather system works. The IPCC, together with the local weather institution normally, make what to me is a ridiculous declare. That is the concept in a massively complicated system just like the Earth’s…

Nature hates straight strains 2010-10-25

Yeah, I do know Nature doesn’t have human feelings, give me a break. I’m conscious it’s unscientific and dare I name it atavistic and even perhaps socially unseemly to say Nature “hates” straight strains, however hey, it’s a headline, minimize me some poetic slack. My level is, everyone seems to be conscious…

Extra Oddities with the IPCC Numbers 2010-10-23

Quite a few folks have mentioned Hey, in your earlier put up, the lacking forcing goes into the ocean, so it’s nonetheless “within the pipeline”. I had thought-about that, but it surely didn’t make sense. I’ve taken a more in-depth look, and it nonetheless doesn’t make sense. In accordance with the IPCC calculations…

The Nuclear Winter of our Discontent 2011-04-06

Anthony lately mentioned a current paper known as “The Function of Atmospheric Nuclear Explosions on the Stagnation of International Warming within the Mid 20th Century” (PDF, writer’s model). It advances the declare that nuclear assessments modified the temperature within the interval 1945-1980, in a kind of mini-“nuclear winter”. Right here’s their most important graph:…

The place’s the Local weather Beef? 2010-04-16

Some time again within the US there was an advert for a hamburger chain. It featured an previous woman who purchased a competitor’s hamburger with an excellent massive hamburger bun. However when she opened it up she requested … I obtained to fascinated with this within the context of whether or not…

Out within the Ama-zone 2010-06-27

There have been a number of articles these days discussing the retraction by the UK Sunday Instances of their claims about Amazongate. Of us like George Monbiot are claiming that their standpoint has been vindicated, that Amazongate is “garbage” and that skeptics have been “skewered”. So I made a decision to observe the…

It Was The Worst of The Instances 2011-03-11

I did jail time within the Sixties for a peaceable sit-in in opposition to the Vietnam Conflict. So (as with many issues) my understanding of the problems concerned in what could also be termed “civil disobedience” is eminently sensible in addition to theoretical. I used to be very disturbed by a current column within the New York Instances by Ki…

Sure, Virginia, there’s an FOIA 2011-07-02

A choose has ordered the College of Virginia to launch Professor Michael Mann’s emails pursuant to a Freedom of Info Act (FOIA) request. Mann is the climatologist who developed of the “Hockeystick” graph, which turned the icon of the IPCC local weather alarmism … till it was proven to be what…

AGU, Gleick, Local weather Science, and Baseball Steroid Use 2013-01-10

Please Flip Round, Dr. Gundersen, You’re Blowing Your One Likelihood! I used to be ruminating about Peter Gleick, and the AGU Job Drive on Scientific Integrity, after I got here throughout a really apropos quote. That is from one other enviornment of life completely, that {of professional} baseball. Nobody was elected to the…

Dr. Trenberth Redux 2014-11-15

A pair days in the past, I used to be given a duplicate of a most attention-grabbing interchange from 2011 between Dr. Kevin Trenberth and a layman asking him a query. The sender of the query lately handed it on to me. I’ve redacted the e-mail addresses and the title of the particular person asking the query,…

Chris Mooney’s Chartsmanship within the Service of Alarmism 2013-02-07

I got here throughout this lovely instance of chartsmanship as we speak in a Chris Mooney put up of uncooked, pure, visceral alarmism, it’s a gem. It’s from the Mom Jones web site and comes with the stunning headline “People Have Already Set in Movement 69 Toes of Sea Stage Rise”. I do love the…

Lies, Damned Lies, Statistics … and Graphs 2010-04-13

I obtained to fascinated with how the details about temperatures is introduced. Normally, we’re proven a graph one thing like Fig. 1, which reveals the change within the US temperatures over the past century. Determine 1. Change within the US annual temperatures, 1895-2009. Information from the US Historic Local weather Community…

Decimals of Precision – Trenberth’s lacking warmth 2012-01-26

Over at Judith Curry’s wonderful weblog there’s a dialogue of Trenberth’s lacking warmth. A brand new paper about oceanic temperatures says the warmth’s probably not lacking, we simply don’t have correct sufficient data to inform the place it’s. The paper’s known as Noticed modifications in top-of-the-atmosphere radiation and upper-ocean heating constant inside…

Berkeley Earth, Very Rural and Not 2013-04-04

Jet exhaust as local weather forcing The great of us over on the Berkeley Earth Floor Temperature venture have revealed their paper about city warmth islands. It’s known as “Affect of City Heating on the International Temperature Land Common utilizing Rural Websites Recognized from MODIS Classifications”, by Wickham et al, hereinafter W2013. They…

Out At The Boundaries 2015-05-25

I’ve heard many occasions that whereas climate prediction is an “initial-value” drawback, local weather prediction is a “boundary drawback”. I’ve usually puzzled about this, questions like “what’s the boundary?”. I awoke as we speak considering that I didn’t have an adequately clear understanding of the distinction between the 2 sorts of issues.…

Dr. Michael Mann, Easy Operator 2013-03-30

Folks typically ask why I don’t publish within the so-called scientific journals. Right here’s just a little story about that. Again in 2004, Michael Mann wrote a mathematically naive piece about learn how to clean the ends of time collection. It was known as “On smoothing doubtlessly non-stationary local weather time collection“, and it was…

Can’t See the Sign For the Timber 2008-11-23

ABSTRACT: A brand new technique is proposed for figuring out if a bunch of datasets comprise a sign in widespread. The strategy, which I name Correlation Distribution Evaluation (CDA), is proven to have the ability to detect widespread indicators right down to a sign:noise ratio of 1:10. As well as, the tactic reveals how a lot of the c…

The Pitfalls of Information Smoothing 2013-03-30

Since we’ve been discussing smoothing in datasets, I believed I’d repost one thing that Steve McIntyre had graciously allowed me to put up on his superb weblog ClimateAudit again in 2008. Let me begin by saying that after I obtained concerned in local weather science, the go-to weblog was the late, nice John Daly’s…

Month-to-month Averages, Anomalies, and Uncertainties 2013-08-17

I’ve lengthy suspected a theoretical error in the best way that some local weather scientists estimate the uncertainty in anomaly information. I feel that I’ve discovered clear proof of the error within the Berkeley Earth Floor Temperature information. I say “I feel”, as a result of as at all times, there actually could also be one thing I’ve…

Excessive Instances 2014-04-24

I learn a curious assertion on the internet yesterday, and I don’t keep in mind the place. If the writer needs to say precedence, right here’s your probability. The writer mentioned (paraphrasing): In case you’re any given time window on an autocorrelated time collection, the intense values usually tend to be at…

Effectively, Coloration Me Gobsmacked! 2014-05-26

I’ve developed a curious sort of algorithm that I’ve humorously known as “sluggish Fourier evaluation”, however which is perhaps higher described as a technique for direct spectral evaluation. The essential idea is sort of easy. I match a sine wave with a sure cycle size, say 19 months, to the dataset of…

On Being the Unsuitable Dimension 2010-05-23

This subject is a selected peeve of mine, so I hope I might be forgiven if I wax wroth. There’s a most marvelous piece of know-how known as the GRACE satellites, which stands for the Gravity Restoration and Local weather Experiment. It’s composed of two satellites flying in formation. Measuring…

The Desert Finder 2015-03-28

Regardless of doing a number of analysis and investigations over the previous few weeks, I’ve written little. Effectively, really, I’ve revealed little, though I’ve written loads. However I didn’t publish what I’d finished, there was no surprise in it, no awe. So I tossed all of it out and began “merely messing…

Canute Ponders The Tides 2014-02-14

Quick Publish. You may skip this if you happen to perceive the tidal power. Some of us appear confused in regards to the nature of tidal forces. Right this moment I noticed this gem: “The tide elevating power acts in each instructions (bulge on both sides within the simplistic mannequin)” … the writer of that assertion might…

Is The Local weather Chaotic 2015-10-22

After I’d revealed my earlier put up on the Hurst Exponent entitled A Method To Calculate Efficient N, I obtained an e mail from Dan Hughes which contained a most attention-grabbing thought. He thought that it could be productive to check the Hurst evaluation of the data of climate phen…

Nassim Taleb Strikes Once more 2015-07-11

Following up on his good earlier work “The Black Swan”, Taleb has written a paper known as Error, Dimensionality, and Predictability”(draft model). I couldn’t even start to do justice to this tour-de-force, so let me simply quote the summary and encourage …

Noise Assisted Information Evaluation 2015-12-10

As soon as once more, Dr. Curry’s “Week in Overview-Science and Expertise” doesn’t disappoint. I discover the next: Proof of a decadal photo voltaic sign within the Amazon River: 1903 to 2013 https://wattsupwiththat.com/2021/02/04/a-2021-index-to-williss-posts/ “by Antico and Torres So I am going to the hyperlink, and I discover the summary: Abstra…

The Beer Identification 2014-07-12

It’s morning right here in Reno, and I believed I’d write a bit extra in regards to the Kaya Identification and the Beer Identification. My final put up in regards to the Kaya Identification was controversial, and I needed to see if I may make clear my level. On the final thread, a commenter did …

The Secret Lifetime of Half-Life 2015-04-19

I first obtained launched to the thought of “half-life” within the 1950s as a result of the subject of the day was nuclear fallout. We practiced hiding underneath our faculty desks if the bomb went off, and talked about how lengthy you’d have to remain underground to be secure, and by some means in all of that we by no means contemplated precisely …

Congenital Innumeracy 2018-03-26

I got here throughout an article that hypes a brand new “carbon seize” plant with the next headline: The article begins out as follows: There’s a colorless, odorless, and largely benign fuel that humanity simply can’t get sufficient of. We produce 40 trillion kg of carbon dioxide e…

Instruments to Spot the Spots 2018-03-30

Folks have requested in regards to the instruments that I exploit to search for any signature of sunspot-related photo voltaic variations in local weather datasets. They’ve puzzled whether or not these instruments are as much as the duty. What I exploit are periodograms and Full Ensemble Empirical Mode Decomposition (CEE…

The Limits Of Uncertainty 2018-12-20

Within the feedback to my put up known as “Contained in the Acceleration Manufacturing facility”, we had been discussing how good the satellite tv for pc measurements of sea floor heights is perhaps. A commenter mentioned: Ionospheric Delay is certainly a difficulty. For Jason, they estimate it utilizing a twin frequency approach. As with most every part i…

Full Ensemble Empirical Mode Decomposition 2021-01-26

Again in 2015 in a put up known as “Noise Assisted Information Evaluation”, I described a approach to decompose a sign into its underlying parts. It’s identified by the acronym “CEEMD”, therefore the title of this put up. The most typical sort of sign decomposition is named “Fourier Evaluation”. Nevertheless, it decomposes a s…

Unsuitable Once more, Once more 2015-08-24

The most effective elements of latest instruments is new discoveries. So the instruments to calculate the warmth constants of the ocean and land as described in my final put up, Lags and Leads, reveal unknown issues to me. Some time again I wrote a put up known as “Unsuitable Once more”, a couple of essential mistake I’d made that was identified…

The Scorching And Chilly Of Area 2020-02-28

For many who get pleasure from mathematical puzzles, I’m placing this one on the market in your pleasure. Suppose we have now a 1 metre by 1 metre by 1 metre concrete block floating in outer house. For the needs of the puzzle, let’s suppose that there isn’t any longwave background radiation in any respect. The block is insula…

Touring Via Different Dimensions 2015-09-01

Do you know that one watt per sq. metre is the same as one kilogram per cubic second? I positive didn’t know that, and at first I didn’t consider it, but it surely’s true. The factor I like greatest about local weather science is that I’m continually studying new issues. For instance, I got here throughout that fascinating truth b…

A Small Margin Of Error 2019-01-11

I see that Zeke Hausfather and others are claiming that 2018 is the warmest 12 months on file for the ocean right down to a depth of two,000 metres. Right here’s Zeke’s declare: After I noticed that graph in Zeke’s tweet, my bad-number detector began flashing brilliant purple. What I discovered suspi…

Mercury, the Trickster God 2012-04-01

I’ve been puzzling for some time about why the areas with probably the most energy vegetation aren’t the areas with the worst ranges of mercury air pollution. Why aren’t the areas downwind from the ability vegetation closely polluted? I preserve working throughout curious statements like “There was no apparent relationship between large-mouth bass or yellow perch fish…

One thing Fishy about Mercury 2015-02-05

There’s a brand new examine out known as Improve in mercury in Pacific yellowfin tuna by Paul E. Drevnick, Carl H. Lamborg, and Martin J. Horgan. It claims that: By compiling and re-analyzing revealed stories on yellowfin tuna (Thunnus albacares) caught close to Hawaii (USA) over the previous half century, the authors discovered…

The EPA’s Mercurial Insanity 2012-03-31

Within the strategy of writing my piece about Lisa Jackson and the EPA, I obtained to studying in regards to the EPA passing new mercury rules. Their rules are supposed to avoid wasting the lives of some 11,000 folks per 12 months. So I figured I ought to study one thing about mercury. It turned out…

How A lot Would You Purchase? 2011-03-13

Within the US, the Environmental Safety Company (EPA) is imposing the primary US guidelines on CO2. I believed I’d check out the EPA’s personal estimates of price and advantage of CO2 regulation, to see if the brand new guidelines make sense. Determine 1. Hazard, excessive prices forward. Picture Supply…

Inconceivable Most Precipitation 2013-04-06

There’s a brand new examine out from NOAA known as “Possible most precipitation (PMP) and local weather change”, paywalled in fact, which claims that world warming will result in a 20%-30% enhance in “possible most precipitation”. The summary says: Possible Most Precipitation (PMP) is the best accumulation of precipitation for a given length…

Why Reanalysis Information Isn’t … 2013-05-10

I used to be studying by the current Trenberth paper on ocean warmth content material that’s been mentioned at varied places across the net. It’s known as “Distinctive local weather indicators in reanalysis of worldwide ocean warmth content material”, paywalled, in fact. [UPDATE: my thanks to Nick Stokes for locating the paper here.] Among the many “distinctive local weather…

Dr. Kiehl’s Paradox 2013-10-01

Again in 2007, in a paper revealed in GRL entitled “Twentieth century local weather mannequin response and local weather sensitivity” Jeffrey Kiehl famous a curious paradox. The entire varied totally different local weather fashions operated by totally different teams had been in a position to do an inexpensive job of emulating the historic floor temperature file. In…

One Mannequin, One Vote 2013-11-21

The IPCC, that charming bunch of United Nations intergovernmental bureaucrats masquerading as a scientific group, views the world of local weather fashions as a democracy. Evidently so long as your mannequin is large enough, they are going to embody your mannequin of their confabulations. This has at all times appeared unusual to me,…

The Alligator Mannequin 2011-10-20

I wrote my first pc program in 1963. It was an implementation of the Sieve of Erastosthenes, used to seek out prime numbers. I haven’t stopped programming since then. So I’m intimately acquainted with the innards of computer systems, pc applications, and pc fashions, each iterative and in any other case. And people who…

The Thousand-Yr Mannequin 2013-06-25

Again in 2007, Jeffrey Kiehl first identified a curious puzzle in regards to the local weather fashions, viz: (emphasis mine) [3] A overview of the revealed literature on local weather simulations of the 20th century signifies that numerous totally coupled three dimensional local weather fashions are in a position to simulate the worldwide…

Mannequin Local weather Sensitivity Calculated Straight From Mannequin Outcomes 2013-05-21

[UPDATE: Steven Mosher pointed out that I have calculated the transient climate response (TCR) rather than the equilibrium climate sensitivity (ECS). For the last half century, the ECS has been about 1.3 times the TCR (see my comment below for the derivation of this value). I have changed the values…

Climate Sensitivity Deconstructed 2013-06-03

I haven’t commented much on my most recents posts, because of the usual reasons: a day job, and the unending lure of doing more research, my true passion. To be precise, recently I’ve been frying my synapses trying to twist my head around the implications of the finding that the…

The Fatal Lure of Assumed Linearity 2013-12-18

In climate science, linearity is the order of the day. The global climate models are all based around the idea that in the long run, when we calculate the global temperature everything else averages out, and we’re left with the…

Mechanical Models 2013-12-01

I’ve continued my peregrinations following the spoor of the global climate model data cited in my last post. This was data from 19 global climate models. There are two parts to the data, the inputs and the outputs. The inputs to…

Kill It With Fire 2011-05-30

The discussion of the 1998 Mann “Hockeystick” seems like it will never die. (The “Hockeystick” was Dr. Michael Mann’s famous graph showing flatline historical temperatures followed by a huge modern rise.) Claims of the Hockeystick’s veracity continue apace, with people doggedly wanting to believe that the results are “robust”. I…

Winning Slowly 2014-10-28

I wanted to highlight an interesting article by Dr. Daniel Botkin. It seems that it helps to be a Professor Emeritus in order to be able to speak your mind freely. Among other things, Dr. Botkin says: Whatever is happening to Earth’s climate does not seem to be our fault. What he said … =================================== Climate Is Changing,…

A Modest Proposal for Nuclear Waste Disposal 2011-05-06

For many people the sticking point for nuclear power is, what do we do with the waste? We can “vitrify” the waste, but what do we do with it after that? Figure 1. The process of “vitrification”. Liquid nuclear waste (solid fuel rods dissolved in acid) is converted into a…

SODIS Roolz 2011-05-15

One of the joys of writing for this blog is that I can promote good ideas. Here’s one I just came across, thanks to a commenter on another post of mine. The idea is solar disinfection of water, or SODIS. Follow the link, lots of good info. Figure 1. The SODIS…

The Magic Cookpot 2011-05-10

This one is for fun and also for real. The theme of this post is “There’s never enough time.” I worked in the villages of the developing world off and on for a number of years. A recurring issue is the inefficiency of most stoves. The simplest is the “three…

The cure for anything is salt water—sweat, tears, or the sea. 2012-05-12

There’s an interesting study in Science magazine, entitled “Ocean Salinities Reveal Strong Global Water Cycle Intensification During 1950 to 2000″ by Durack et al. (paywalled here, hereinafter D2012). The abstract of D2012 says: Fundamental thermodynamics and climate models suggest that dry regions will become drier and wet regions will become…

An Ocean of Overconfidence 2012-04-23

I previously discussed the question of error bars in oceanic heat content measurements in “Decimals of Precision“. There’s a new study of changes in oceanic heat content, by Levitus et al., called “World Ocean Heat Content And Thermosteric Sea Level Change (0-2000), 1955-2010″ (paywalled here). It’s highlighted over at Roger…

Putting the Brakes on Acceleration 2011-01-08

Various pundits and scientists keep talking about a threatened acceleration in the sea level rise. Here’s the IPCC Fourth Assessment Report: Anthropogenic forcing is also expected to produce an accelerating rate of sea level rise (Woodworth et al., 2004). The usual font of misinformation says: Church and White (2006) report…

More Ocean-sized Errors in Levitus et al. 2012-04-24

Previously, we discussed the errors in Levitus et al here in An Ocean of Overconfidence Unfortunately, the supplemental information for the new Levitus et al. paper has not been published. Fortunately, WUWT regular P. Solar has located a version of the preprint containing their error estimate, located here. This is how…

Forcing The Ocean To Confess 2013-06-19

According to the current climate paradigm, if the forcing (total downwelling energy) increases, a combination of two things happens. Some of the additional incoming energy (forcing) goes into heating the surface, and some goes into heating the ocean. Lately there’s been much furor about what the Levitus ocean data says…

Ocean Temperature And Heat Content 2013-02-25

Anthony has an interesting post up discussing the latest findings regarding the heat content of the upper ocean. Here’s one of the figures from that post. Figure 1. Upper ocean heat content anomaly (OHCA), 0-700 metres, in zeta-joules (10^21 joules). Errors are not specified but are presumably one sigma. SOURCE …

A Strong Surge in Overconfidence 2013-03-19

Update: Dr. Roger Pielke Jr. says via email “the fake photo is perfectly appropriate” and adds this update to his report on Grinstead from last year: Today Grinsted et al. have another paper out in PNAS in which they follow up the one discussed below. They make the fantabulous prediction of a Katrina every other…

Why The Parrotfish Should Be The National Bird 2013-06-13

Ecological alarmist scares have a lot in common with zombies. They seem to eat up people’s brains, they are mindless themselves, and most important, they are really, really hard to kill. Take for example the long-discredited idea, first overthrown by Charles Darwin, that coral atolls are under threat from sea…

Upwelling Longwave Over The Ocean 2013-10-08

To continue my investigations utilizing the CERES satellite dataset of top of atmosphere radiation, here is a set of curious graphs. The first one is the outgoing (upwelling) longwave radiation at the top of the atmosphere (TOA) versus the sea surface temperature, for the northern hemisphere, at the times of…

An Analysis of the TOPEX Sea Level Record 2006-10-13

Willis writes: I wanted to see if there was acceleration in the TOPEX sea level record. I have looked all over the web to find either the data used to create the following image of the sea level rise as measured by the TOPEX satellite, available here, or some estimate of any acceleration that might…

Walking the Plank-ton 2010-07-31

Following on from Anthony’s article, here are my thoughts about the phytoplankton paper “Global phytoplankton decline over the past century”, by Daniel G. Boyce, Marlon R. Lewis & Boris Worm. I started to write about this earlier, but I decided to wait until I had the actual paper. The paper…

TAO And TAO Again 2015-02-18

Impelled by my restless curiosity, I’ve returned to the TAO buoy dataset to investigate a claim by Dr. Ramanathan of a “super-greenhouse” effect. The TAO buoys are a number of moored buoys located across the Pacific. The TAO data is available here. Figure 1. Locations of all of the sites…

New CERES Data and Ocean Heat Content 2014-01-05

We have gotten three more years of data for the CERES dataset, which is good, more data is always welcome. However, one of the sad things about the CERES dataset is that we can’t use it for net top-of-atmosphere (TOA) radiation trends. Net TOA radiation is what comes in (downwelling…

TAO Rain, Sea, and Air Data 2013-03-28

I got to thinking about the effect of thunderstorms on the surface air temperature. So I figured I’d wander once more through the TAO buoy dataset. The data is available here. I swear, every time I perambulate through that data I get surprised, and I learn things, and this was…

Where Did I Put That Energy? 2010-12-23

[UPDATE 2 AM Christmas morning, and of course Murphy is still alive and his Law is still in operation. I find a decimal point error in my calculations … grrr, I hates that, ocean energy flows shows at 1/10th size. Public exposure of error, the bane of any scientific endeavor.…

The Layers of Meaning in Levitus 2013-05-10

There have been a lot of electrons sacrificed on the altar of the discussion of the Levitus ocean heat content data. The oddity seems to be that the deep ocean is gaining heat faster than the upper ocean. Here’s a typical graphic showing the issue: Figure 1. Changes in the…

Rapture Of The Deeps 2015-11-10

One of the reasons I lived so much of my life in the tropical South Pacific is because of the diving. Coral reefs are one of the most astounding ecosystems on the planet, boiling over with energy, movement, and color. I’ve spent hundreds and hundreds of hours in the wate…

Ocean Heat Content Variations—Satellites vs Oceanographers 2014-01-01

I got to looking at the numbers for how much energy is exported from the tropics each month by this great heat engine we call the climate. As I discussed in The Magnificent Climate Heat Engine, at all times the tropics are receiving more energy than they are radiating to…

A Japanese Puzzle 2012-01-31

A reader who posts under the name “tokyoboy” sent a link to a very interesting sea level record from the Japanese Meteorological Agency. It covers the period 1906–2010, and when I first saw it I thought they’d made some mistake. So I got their data, and plotted it up. I…

Learning From The Argonauts 2015-01-22

The best thing about doing climate science the way I do it is that I can study anything I want, and there is always so much more to learn … in the present instance, there’s another year of Argo data, so I thought I’d take another stroll through the world…

Buoy Temperatures, First Cut 2014-11-28

As many folks know, I’m a fan of good clear detailed data. I’ve been eyeing the buoy data from the National Data Buoy Center (NDBC) for a while. This is the data collected by a large number of buoys moored offshore all around the coast of the US. I like…

Science, Surfing, Stratification, Overturning, and Timing 2013-03-10

Surfing When I was a kid, swimming in the ocean was a rarity. We kids spent summers with my Dad, and once, maybe twice over the summer we’d go to Stinson Beach. I loved the waves, cold as it was. We bodysurfed them over and over, emerging at the end…

The Ocean Wins Again 2011-04-25

I took a lot of flak last year for my post saying that the global 50% drop in phytoplankton claimed by Boyce et. al was an illusion. I had said: So where did the Nature paper go wrong? The short answer is that I don’t know … but I don’t…

A Mixed Up Mixed Layer 2021-02-02

A recent post here on WUWT entitled “Claim: Marine heatwaves becoming more intense, more frequent” referenced a study as saying: Those who know me know that I take the UK Royal Society’s motto, “Nullius In Verba”, very seriously. So I went off to find out what I could about the mixed layer. I figure…

The La Nina Pump 2018-07-16

Sometimes a chance comment sets off a whole chain of investigation. Somewhere recently, in passing I noted the idea of the slope of the temperature gradient across the Pacific along the Equator. So I decided to take a look at it. Here is the area that I examined. I’ve…

Parrotfish Vindicated 2017-01-29

Four years ago I wrote a post called “The Parrotfish Should Be The National Bird”, about the critical place that the parrotfish plays in the life of both the reef and the coral atolls that depend on the reef. It was based mostly on my years of scuba and snorkel diving on the coral reefs of the South…

MLO and MEI 2018-06-01

In my last post, which was about the Mauna Loa Observatory (MLO) in Hawaii, Dr. Richard Keen and others noted that for a good comparison, there was a need to remove the variations due to El Nino. Dr. Keen said that he uses the Multivariate ENSO Index (MEI) for such re…

pH Sampling Density 2014-12-30

A recent post by Anthony Watts highlighted a curious fact. This is that records of some two and a half million oceanic pH samples existed, but weren’t used in testimony before Congress about ocean pH. The post was accompanied by a graph which purported to show a historical variation in ocean…

The Reef Abides 2011-10-25

I love the coral reefs of the planet. In my childhood on a dusty cattle ranch in the Western US, I decorated my mental imaginarium of the world with images of unbelievably colored reefs below white sand beaches, with impossibly shaped fish and strange, brilliant plants. But when I finally…

The Electric Oceanic Acid Test 2010-06-19

I’m a long-time ocean devotee. I’ve spent a good chunk of my life on and under the ocean as a commercial and sport fisherman, a surfer, a blue-water sailor, and a commercial and sport diver. So I’m concerned that the new poster-boy of alarmism these days is sea-water “acidification” from…

A Neutral View of Oceanic pH 2015-01-02

Following up on my previous investigations into the oceanic pH dataset, I’ve taken a deeper look at what the 2.5 million pH data points from the oceanographic data can tell us. Let me start with an overview of oceanic pH (the measure of alkalinity/acidity, with neutral being a pH of…

The Reef Abides … Or Not 2014-07-06

I’ve written a few times on the question of one of my favorite hangouts on the planet, underwater tropical coral reefs. Don’t know if you’ve ever been down to one, but they are a fairyland of delights, full of hosts of strange and mysterious creatures. I’ve seen them far from…

The Ocean Is Not Getting Acidified 2011-12-27

There’s an interesting study out on the natural pH changes in the ocean. I discussed some of these pH changes a year ago in my post “The Electric Oceanic Acid Test“. Before getting to the new study, let me say a couple of things about pH. The pH scale measures…

Carbon And Carbonate 2016-01-30

I’ve spent a good chunk of my life around, on, and under the ocean. I worked seasonally for many years as a commercial fisherman off of the western coast of the US. I’ve frozen off my begonias setting nets in driving sleet up in the Bering Sea. I’m also a …

The Solution To Dissolution 2020-01-31

The British tabloid “The Guardian” has a new scare story about what is wrongly called “ocean acidification”. It opens as follows: Sounds like the end of times, right? So let me start with a simple fact. The ocean is NOT acidic. Nor will it ever become acidic, except in a few isolated locations. It i…

Dungeness Crabs Redux 2020-02-02

Well, after my last post, The Solution To Dissolution, I thought I was done with the Dungeness crab question. And I was happy to be done with those chilly crustaceans. Writing that post brought back memories of how cold the fishery is. I remember leaving out from Eureka harbor at the north end of Ca…

The Voice Of The Lobster 2020-02-14

Over in the Tweetiverse, someone was all boo-hoo about the eeevil effects of “climate change” that he claimed had “already occurred”. He referenced a publication from a once-noble organization that sadly has drunk the “CLIMATE EMERGENCY” koolaid, National Geographic. So I read it, and the only thing…

Argo And Ocean Heat Content 2014-12-04

Today I ran across an interesting presentation from 2013 regarding the Argo floats. These are a large number of independent floats spread all across the world oceans. They spend most of their time sleeping at a depth of 1,000 metres (3,300 feet) below the surface of the ocean. Then they drop…

Can We Tell If The Oceans Are Warming? 2015-06-06

Well, I was going to write about hourly albedo changes, honest I was, but as is often the case I got sidetractored. My great thanks to Joanne Nova for highlighting a mostly unknown paper on the error estimate for the Argo dataset entitled On the accuracy of North Atlantic temperature and…

Things In General 2015-05-15

My business card gives my job title as “Generalist”. Let me give you an example of why this is an advantage in climate science. I worked for a while in the field of low-tech renewable energy. One of the things I did was to work with inexpensive solar water heating. Using…

Andrew Revkin Loses The Plot, Episode XXXVIII 2014-02-22

I went over to Andy Revkin’s site to be entertained by his latest fulminations against “denialists”. Revkin, as you may remember from the Climategate emails, was the main go-to media lapdog for the various unindicted Climategate co-conspirators. His latest post is a bizarre mishmash of allegations, bogus claims, and name-calling.…

An Open Letter to Bruce Alberts of Science Magazine 2011-02-25

In the February 11, 2011 issue of Science Magazine, an editorial called Making Data Maximally Available has announced a new policy regarding requirements for authors, from the pen of Bruce Alberts, the Editor-in-Chief and two Deputy Editors. Figure 1. Why it is necessary to see all the data and code to understand a given result.…

An Open Letter to Dr. Subra Suresh 2010-12-12

Dear Dr. Suresh: My sincere and heartfelt congratulations on your being appointed Director of the US National Science Foundation (NSF). It is indeed an honor for anyone. In particular it is a great achievement for you, considering the long road you traveled to eventually attain the post. Photo Source: Science…

An Open Letter to Dr. Linda Gundersen 2012-02-21

Dear Dr. Gundersen; I see that due to the highly theatrical auto-defenestration of your predecessor, Dr. Peter Gleick, you are now the Chair of the American Geophysical Union (AGU) Task Force on Scientific Integrity. I’m not sure whether to offer my congratulations or my condolences. Let me offer you both,…

Willis: Reply to the Economist 2009-12-12

This replaced the previous sticky, and I have this comment about the Economist. Bad form and unprofessional to use the word “denialists”. For WUWT readers who wish to complain: letters@economist.com or use their online form here. — Anthony On Dec 11th, the Economist published an unsigned article at…

Unequivocal Equivocation – an open letter to Dr. Trenberth 2011-01-15

This essay from Willis appeared on WUWT overnight Saturday while I slept. After reading it this morning, I decided to make it a sticky at the top of WUWT (I also added the open letter reference) because it says everything that needs to be said about the current state of affairs in climate science and…

Journals Not Enforcing Their Policies 2013-10-22

From an interesting post entitled “Trust and Don’t Bother To Verify” on Judith Curry’s excellent blog , I’ve taken the following quote: Journals’ growing insistence that at least some raw data be made available seems to count for little: a recent review by Dr Ioannidis which showed that only 143…

The ScAm Gets Worse—An Open Letter To Bora Zivkovic 2013-03-05

Dear Bora; I know, I know, like many people I didn’t think it was possible for Scientific American magazine to sink any lower. I loved Scientific American as a kid, the “Amateur Scientist” column was a godsend on the ranch. But then, slowly your magazine morphed, first into less-science, then…

An Open Letter to Dr. Michael Mann 2010-10-11

Dear Dr. Mann: I just read your piece in the Washington Post. First, let me say that I disagree entirely with Cuccinelli’s legalistic approach. It doesn’t seem like the right way to achieve the desired result, that of shining the merciless light of publicity on your actions. Figure 1. The…

An Open Letter to Google 2011-03-19

Dear Googlefolk; Recently, you have decided to take sides in a scientific debate. That in itself is very foolish. Why would Google want to take either side when there is a disagreement between scientists? I thought your motto was “Do No Evil.” For the 900-pound gorilla to take sides in…

An Open Letter to Dr. Marcia McNutt, new Editor-In-Chief, Science Magazine 2013-08-04

Dear Dr. McNutt: As a somewhat unwilling subscriber to Science, let me start by welcoming you as the latest editor of Science magazine. You’ve stated “Thirty-five years ago, when I was a graduate student and my very first research paper was published in Science, I do not think I could…

Dr. Roy Spencer’s Ill Considered Comments on Citizen Science 2013-10-09

Over at Roy Spencer’s usually excellent blog, Roy has published what could be called a hatchet job on “citizen climate scientists” in general and me in particular. Now, Dr. Roy has long been a hero of mine, because of all his excellent scientific work … which is why his attack…

Judith, I love ya, but you’re way wrong … 2010-02-25

Judith Curry posted here on WUWT regarding rebuilding the lost trust we used to have in climate science and climate scientists. This is my response to her post, an expansion and revision of what I wrote in the comments on that thread. First, be clear that I admire Judith Curry…

An Open Invitation To Ira Flatow 2015-10-03

I had to go to town yesterday, and so I was glad it was Friday, because it’s Science Friday on the local Public Broadcasting System station and I can listen on my truck radio. In general I enjoy Science Friday, because the host, Ira Flatow, has interesting people on the&…

The National Academy of Sciences Loses The Plot 2012-06-23

A man who has a daughter is a pretty pathetic specimen, ruled by the vicissitudes of hormones and hairspray. So when my daughter told me this morning “Hey, Dad, I put the newspaper on your desk, you’re gonna like it a lot!”, I knew my blood pressure was in deep…

An Open Letter to Dr. Phil Jones of the UEA CRU 2011-11-27

Dear Dr. Jones: You and I have been interacting, albeit at a distance, since I first asked you for your data some five years ago. I asked for your data in part because I was astounded by your answer to Warwick Hughes when he asked for the same data. You…

My Email To The NAS, NAE, and NAM 2018-03-21

As just reported here on WUWT, the National Academies of Science, of Engineering, and of Medicine recently stated that with Google funding, they are going to decide what is scientific “misinformation”. This is a terrifying possibility, because if Google decides your scientific claims are “misinforma…

49 NASA Scientists Tell The Truth 2020-09-10

Next time someone tells you that scientists all support the “dangerous climate change from CO2” hypothesis, point out to them that forty-nine former NASA scientists have written an open letter to NASA pointing out that NASA is hyping unsubstantiated and unverified claims about climate —posted witho…

In Which I Go Spelunking … 2010-05-26

In my usual peripatetic wandering around the web, I came across an interesting paper called “Millennial- and orbital-scale changes in the East Asian monsoon over the past 224,000 years”, in Nature Magazine (subscription required), 28 Feb. 2008 , with Supplementary Online Information. The paper uses “speleothems” to estimate past climate…

My Oh Miocene 2011-09-30

It was hot here a couple of days ago. I walked past a huge aloe vera plant, taller than my head, that grows by our house. The heat radiating off of the plant was palpable. I could feel a wash of warm air over me as I stood downwind of…

Peer Review, Pal Review, and Broccoli 2011-02-17

The recent problems with the publication of the O’Donnell et al. response to the Steig et al. paper on Antarctica have focused attention on continuing problems with the current system of peer review, problems initially highlighted by the CRU emails. In addition to significant questions revealed in this particular case, I’d…

Awe, shucks … 2012-12-27

Wintertime was magic when I was a kid. When the snow came, it transformed our world. It turned the forest that surrounded our ranch into an infinity of marvels, mysteries and delights. We could track the animals and follow their secret ways. We didn’t get a lot of snow, most…

Between Wind and Water 2011-04-14

“Between wind and water: (Nautical) In that part of a ship’s side or bottom which is frequently brought above water by the rolling of the ship, or fluctuation of the water’s surface. Hence, colloquially, (as an injury to that part of a vessel, in an engagement, is particularly dangerous) the vulnerable…

A Pox on Both Their Houses 2011-04-08

I don’t usually wander too far off of the climate reservation, but this excellent cartoon by Michael Ramirez deserves wider publication, as it addresses a critical problem. It shows the US Budget for 2011, along with the cuts proposed by the Democrats (liberal) and the Republicans (GOP, conservative).

Analysis of Washington Post police-shootings data reveals surprising result — nearly 2x more whites than blacks shot by police 2016-07-18

I got to thinking about the issues of race regarding the recent tragic police shootings, both the shootings of police and the shootings by police. The best data is from the Washington Post, which has a detailed site listing all of the people killed by police, which begins in 2015 and goes to the pre…

Obama By-Passes Gas 2013-03-17

President Obama continues his Global War on Cheap Energy™, this time under the guise of avoiding “spikes” in gasoline (petrol) prices. He wants to pass gas without regrets and move post-haste to electricity and biofuels, although both are more expensive than gasoline and diesel for road and rail transport. According…

Energy, Resources, Money, and Technology 2013-03-17

I’ve made some statements lately that I’d like to reprise. • There is never a shortage of resources. It’s a shortage of cheap enough energy to get the resources economically. • Energy and money are inextricably linked. • Making energy expensive hurts, impoverishes, and even kills the poor. • Technology…

James Hansen’s Policies Are Shafting The Poor 2013-03-15

I was reading an interview with Adrian Bejan (worth taking a look at), and I got to musing about his comments regarding the relationship between energy use and per capita income. So I pulled up GapMinder, the world’s best online visualization software. Here’s a first cut at the relationship between…

The Cost in Human Energy 2013-01-02

For a while, I taught a course in human-powered machinery for the Peace Corps. You know, bicycle powered generators, treadle powered pumps, that kind of thing. One of the very rough rules of thumb regarding human energy is that an adult human can put out about a hundred watts on…

We have met the 1%, and he is us 2013-01-13

In explanation of my title, I fear I’ll have to go on a bit of a digression. Let me tell three stories, about people in three different parts of our amazing planet. STORY THE FIRST: In my early thirties, through a series of misunderstandings and coincidences I spent some time…

Overhyped: The Human Cost of Climate Alarmism 2013-02-16

I do love tracing down how numbers kind of ricochet around the web. This investigation started when I ran across a book review in the South China Morning Post of a book called “Overheated: The Human Cost of Climate Change“, by Andrew T Guzman. Figure 1. Andrew T. Guzman, law…

Four Stories, Two Worlds 2015-01-18

To start the four tales of the title, I noticed a couple of stories in the news lately about how critical inexpensive energy is for the poor. The first story said: Wall Street may be growing anxious about the negative impact of falling oil prices on energy producers, but the…

Underground Problems with Mann-Holes 2006-10-04

Willis writes in: While researching ocean drill cores at the WCDC, I stumbled across Mann’s borehole data. One of the proxies used for historical temperature reconstruction is “borehole temperature”, the temperature down in the ground. In 2002, Michael Mann et al. published a study called Optimal su…

When Good Proxies Go Bad 2008-09-28

Many of the good folks who write the papers and keep the databases seem not to use their naked eyeballs. By that I mean, they seriously think that you can invent some new procedure, and then apply it across the board to transform a group of a thousand datasets without looking at each and every datas…

Aproxymations 2016-01-16

Over at Bishop Hill, the Bish has an interesting thread about a new proxy reconstruction by Rob Wilson et al. entitled “Last millennium northern hemisphere summer temperatures from tree rings: Part I: The long term context” , hereinafter Wilson 2016. The paper and the associated data are available h…

Willis publishes his thermostat hypothesis paper 2010-07-24

I’m sure WUWT readers will recall this excellent guest post at WUWT just over one year ago: Now published in E&E Volume 21, Number 4 / August 2010 Willis Eschenbach The Thunderstorm Thermostat Hypothesis is the hypothesis that tropical clouds and thunderstorms actively regulate the temperature of …

Quote of the Week 2014-02-14

In discussing President Obama’s latest boondoggle, the one billion (with a “b) dollar Climate Resilience Plan, The US Under-Assistant Minister of Scientific Silly Walks, John Holdren, wandered way off of the party line. The party line in question, of course, is … “Although we can’t ascribe any given weather event to climate…

How Much Sunlight Actually Enters The System? 2014-02-18

There’s a new study in PNAS, entitled “Observational determination of albedo decrease caused by vanishing Arctic sea ice” by Pistone et al. Let me start by registering a huge protest against the title. The sea ice is varying, it isn’t “vanishing”, that’s just alarmist rhetoric that has no place in…

A Tropical Oddity 2013-02-01

I wanted to bring you up to date on my current meanderings in the TAO buoy data that I investigated previously in a post called “Cloud Radiation Forcing in the TAO Dataset“. In my peripatetic inquiries into all things that are ooh, shiny, I ran across a curiosity. First, a…

The Forcing Conundrum 2012-12-12

Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach. For all of its faults, the IPCC (Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change) lays out their idea of the climate paradigm pretty clearly. A fundamental part of this paradigm is that the long-term change in global average surface temperature is a linear function of the long-term change in what is called…

Neukom’s Science By Proxy 2014-04-03

Over at Climate Audit, Steve McIntyre is engaged in the slow public defenestration of the latest multi-proxy extravapalooza, a gem of a paper yclept “Inter-hemispheric temperature variability over the past millennium” by Neukom et al, hereinafter Neukom2014. Not content with simply creating a thousand-year temperature reconstruction for the Southern Hemisphere,…

Spurious Varvology 2013-04-13

As Anthony discussed here at WUWT, we have yet another effort to re-animate the long-dead “hockeystick” of Michael Mann. This time, it’s Recent temperature extremes at high northern latitudes unprecedented in the past 600 years, by Martin P. Tingley and Peter Huybers (paywalled), hereinafter TH2013. Here’s their claim from the…

Marcott’s proxies – 10% fail their own criteria for inclusion 2013-03-13

Note: Steve McIntyre is also quite baffled by the Marcott et al paper, finding it currently unreproducible given the current information available. I’ve added some comments from him at the bottom of this post – Anthony I don’t know what it is about proxies that makes normal scientists lose their…

Duke Neukom’s Secret Sauce 2014-04-04

In my last post, I talked about the “secret sauce”, as I described it, in the Neukom et al. study “Inter-hemispheric temperature variability over the past millennium”. By the “secret sauce” I mean the method which is able to turn the raw proxy data, which has no particular shape or…

The Dark Future of Solar Electricity 2011-12-03

The “Annual Energy Outlook” for 2011 is just out from the US Energy Information Administration. The section called “Levelized Cost of New Generation Resources” looks at what are called the “levelized” costs of electric power from a variety of sources. Their study includes “renewable” sources like solar, although I’ve never…

Duking It Out With Foreign Investors 2011-11-20

The Duke of Edinburgh, the husband of Queen Elizabeth, has spoken out about windmills, and he’s not happy at all. Chris Huhne, the UK Energy Secretary, has said that people who oppose windmills are “curmudgeons and fault-finders”. He finds windmills “elegant” and “beautiful”. Figure 1. A photo of elegant windmills…

The High Cost of Free Energy 2013-07-04

I will take as my departure point the following rather depressing chart from the US Energy Information Agency (EIA). It shows the rise in US electricity prices since 2001: Figure 1. Increase in energy costs for the industrial, commercial, and residential sectors, along with the average, from the EIA. SOURCE…

The Real Canadian Hockeystick 2013-07-13

Well, the leaders of the carbophobes in British Columbia are already declaring victory for their carbon-based energy tax as a way to reduce CO2 emissions. They highlight as a main indication of success the reduction in per-capita gasoline use, and my research shows that their numbers are right. Here’s a…

Solar Fossil Fueled Fantasies 2015-06-15

Sometimes when I’m reading about renewable technologies, I just break out laughing at the madness that the war on carbon has wrought. Consider the Ivanpah solar tower electric power plant. It covers five square miles in Southern California with mirrors which are all focusing the sun on a central tower.…

Moronomics 2013-01-14

Reading my Sunday paper today, I find the following: Customers Can Sell Back Solar Power. The Los Angeles District of Water and Power will allow customers to sell back excess solar energy created on their own equipment. Described as the largest urban rooftop solar program of its kind in the…

Of Coconuts, the Sun, and Small Isolated Islands 2012-08-09

For a few years, I managed a combination of businesses on a very remote 100 hectare (250 acre) South Pacific island. The main businesses were a shipyard; a machine shop building aluminum boats and water tanks; a banking agency; a postal agency; a buying point for locals selling copra (dried…

The Moon and Sick-plans 2012-04-21

News hot off the presses, the madness spreads … UN calls for doubling renewable energy by 2030 (AFP) – 1 day ago WASHINGTON — UN chief Ban Ki-moon made a call to double global consumption of renewable energy over the next two decades in order to ensure sustainable economic development.…

The Price Tag Of Renewables, Part 2 2014-07-03

Anthony has posted a story about a laughable analysis of the cost of propping up renewables through subsidies. And long-time WUWT contributor KD helpfully pointed me to the document itself. Now that I have the actual document, here’s what they say about subsidies (all emphasis mine).

British Columbia, British Utopia 2013-07-11

I was pointed by a commenter on another blog to the Canadian Province of British Columbia, where they put a carbon-based energy tax scheme into effect in 2008. Before looking at either the costs or the actual results of the scheme, let me start by looking at the possible benefits…

Electric Cars in Alaska 2011-10-02

I recently had the great pleasure of going back for a week to Alaska, where I’ve spent many exhilarating summers. I was reminded of the winter cold by seeing all of the electrical outlets by the parking meters in Fairbanks. Every car that is parked there in the winter plugs…

Dammed if you do, dammed if you don’t 2010-10-14

I grew up on a remote cattle ranch in the middle of miles of forest in the northern Sierra Nevada mountains of California. We had our own hydroelectric power plant. It was built by my father and my brother-in-law. They put a two-foot high dam across the creek (blue line),…

Canadian Tragedy 2013-07-06

I was saddened to read this morning that a train with a load of crude oil derailed and caught fire in Lac-Mégantic, Canada, and I started writing this post. I heard during the afternoon there was one person killed, and more may still be found. In addition, the oil spilled…

Fuel On The Highway In British Pre-Columbia 2013-07-12

Supporters of the British Columbia (Canada) carbon-based energy tax that I discussed in my last post have made claims that the data shows this tax was a success … so being a suspicious-type fellow, I thought I’d take a look at the data myself. I didn’t figure the tax was…

Make 29% On Your Money, Guaranteed! 2011-11-18

Sounds like a scam, huh? But it’s real. Let me explain how people (no, not you or me, don’t be foolish) can make a guaranteed 29% return on their investment. However, to make it clear, I’ll need to take a short digression. I ran across a National Geographic article on…

Lisa Shops Sustainably by the Seine 2012-03-30

A few months ago I wrote a post about the previous head of the EPA, Carol Browner, and her risible claim that she was creating jobs. Her successor, Lisa Jackson, is worse. Lisa has just ordered that in the future, American coal will be burned in the most polluting way…

Why Revenue Neutral Isn’t, and Other Costs of the BC Tax 2013-07-15

I hope against hope that this is my last post on this lunacy. I started by foolishly saying I would write about the benefits, costs, and outcomes of the BC carbon-based energy tax, so I was stuck with doing it. I discussed the possible benefits of the tax in “British…

We Had To Pave The Environment In Order To Save It 2013-01-05

Trading food for fuel, in a world where high food prices already affect the poor, has always seemed like a bad idea to me. If I have a choice between growing corn to fuel SUVs versus growing corn to make tortillas, to me that’s a no-brainer. I’ve known too many…

Paying Much More For Much Less 2019-08-20

There’s an interesting and authoritative new [commenters pointed out it’s from 2012, I can’t find any newer research] examine on the lifespan of these ugly bird-and-bat-choppers yclept “wind generators”. It’s known as “The Efficiency of Wind Generators in the UK and Denmark”. Right here’s the Executi…

The place The Texas Winds Blow 2019-01-04

There’s a usually hyper, misleading, and Pollyanna article within the Houston Chronicle with the headline “Texas has sufficient solar and wind to stop coal, Rice researchers say”. You gotta be careful for these of us, it’s the previous bait and swap. As a result of positive sufficient, as they s…

Placing The Hype Again Into Hyperloop 2018-04-18

Ooogh —you don’t need to be inside if that occurs. A current article has mentioned how Elon Musk’s “Boring Firm” has raised $113 million {dollars} in startup capital. That is the corporate Musk shaped to drill the tunnels for his proposed “Hyperloop” transportation sy…

Ouarzazate 2016-12-10

The BBC, that bastion of slanted reportage on all issues inexperienced, has an article a couple of new solar energy plant entitled “The Colossal African Photo voltaic Plant That Might Energy Europe”. It’s filled with every kind of attention-grabbing details about the plant, positioned in Ouarzazate, Morocco. Man, how come Africa ge…

The Astounding Non-Success Of Sparky Vehicles 2018-04-17

Revealed with out touch upon our largely coal-fired and extremely backed electrical automotive fleet —properly, to be truthful, I suppose that may be a remark —My greatest regards to all, I’ve buddies with plant nurseries and golf carts‚Ķ..does that depend? Hummm, I’ve a fuel golf cart with 200+ mile vary, but it surely begin…

Explaining Wind Turbine Lethality 2019-08-21

For causes that may quickly be evident, the feedback on my earlier wind turbine put up jogged my memory of a long-ago sundown dinner with my beautiful ex-fianc√©e on the verandah of a stunning treetop restaurant on Pohnpei island within the tropical Pacific. The one “fly within the ointment”, as is usually the case in t…

The DOE vs. Ugly Actuality 2016-12-10

Over on the Washington Publish, Chris Mooney and the standard suspects are critically alarmed by a memo despatched out by the Transition Workforce on the Division of Vitality. They describe it in breathless phrases in an article entitled “Trump transition group for Vitality Division seeks names of staff concerned in …

The Highway To Hell Is Paved With Photo voltaic 2018-04-04

$4.5 million venture generates simply $36.86 price of electrical energy thus far Again in 2014, Anthony Watts identified an upcoming venture known as “Photo voltaic Roadways”. This was a venture to place photo voltaic panels on roads. Hey, what’s to not like? Loads of roadway house, put it to dou…

Virginia Sea Stage 2014-09-13

Science Journal is revealed by the American Affiliation for the Development of Science. I’m studying my AAAS E-newsletter, and I discover the next blurb (emphasis mine): Virginia Panel Releases Coastal Flooding Report. A subpanel of the Safe Commonwealth Panel of Virginia launched a report containing a number of suggestions for coping with dangers…

The Irony, It Burns … 2010-06-03

Anthony commented yesterday on the query of atolls and sea stage rise right here, and I had beforehand written on the topic in my put up “Floating Islands“. Nevertheless, Anthony referenced a paper which was incorrectly linked by New Scientist. So I believed I’d present some extra data on the precise examine, entitled “The dynamic response of reef…

Sea Water Stage, Contemporary Water Tilted 2014-03-28

Among the many current efforts to clarify away the results of the continuing “pause” in temperature rise, there’s an attention-grabbing paper by Dr. Anny Cazenave et al entitled “The Charge of Sea Stage Rise”, hereinafter Cazenave14. Sadly it’s paywalled, however the Supplementary Info is sort of full and is accessible right here.…

Floating Islands 2010-01-27

A lot has been written of late concerning the upcoming projected demise of the world’s coral atoll islands resulting from CO2-caused sea stage rise. Micronesia is suing the Czech Authorities over CO2 emissions that they declare are damaging their coral atolls through sea stage rise. Tuvalu and the Maldives are additionally repeating…

Cut back your CO2 footprint by recycling previous errors! 2011-06-23

Anthony has identified the additional inanities of that well-known vainness press, the Proceedings of the Nationwide Academy of Sciences. This time it’s Michael Mann (of Hockeystick fame) and firm claiming a rise within the charge of sea stage rise (full paper right here, by Kemp et al., hereinafter Kemp…

The Ups and Downs of Sea Stage 2011-07-03

A lot has been made in AGW circles of the ocean stage forecast of Vermeer and Rahmstorf, in “International sea stage linked to world temperature” (V&R2009). Their estimate of forecast sea stage rise was a lot bigger than that of the IPCC Fourth Evaluation Report (FAR). Their outcomes have been hyped at…

Additional Issues with Kemp and Mann 2011-06-26

In my earlier put up I mentioned a few of the points with the paper “Local weather associated sea-level variations over the previous two millennia” by Kemp et al. together with Michael Mann (Kemp 2011). Nevertheless, some commenters rightly mentioned that I used to be not particular sufficient about what Kemp et al. have finished flawed,…

The Most Necessary Sea Stage Graph 2013-08-02

In a put up right here on WUWT, Nils-Axel Morner has mentioned the ocean stage in Kwajalein, an atoll within the Marshall Islands. Sea ranges in Kwajalein have been rising at an elevated charge over the past 20 years. Nils-Axel pointed to a close-by Majuro tidal file extending to 2010, noting that…

So Many Folks … So Little Rain 2012-03-10

Effectively, I began a put up on Kiribati, however when it was half written I discovered Andi Cockroft had overwhelmed me to it together with his put up. His evaluation was advantageous, however I had a unique tackle the occasions. President Tong of Kiribati says the nice folks of the atolls are…

Placing the Brakes on Satellite tv for pc Acceleration 2017-07-30

I mentioned acceleration within the tide gauge data in a earlier put up. Nevertheless, individuals are additionally claiming that both there’s acceleration within the satellite tv for pc file or there’ll quickly be acceleration. So I believed I’d check out the satellite-measured sea stage ques…

Wanting For Acceleration In All The Unsuitable Locations 2020-03-08

After contemplating the tide gauge data round Fairbourne in my final put up, I needed to take a look at a bigger image. Keep in mind that we’ve been repeatedly advised that acceleration in sea stage rise is not only forecast, it’s really occurring. I wrote about a few of these claims in my put up entitled “Accele…

The Unsinkable Sinking Atolls Meme 2016-07-25

I’ve written earlier than in regards to the examine of Arthur Webb and Paul Kench concerning the truth that coral atolls will not be being swallowed by rising seas. Their conclusion in that examine was that the claims of sinking atolls had been contradicted by the precise measurements of the islands in query. The measurement…

Accelerating The Acceleration 2020-02-09

I see that the retailers of hype are at it once more. The scary headline says “Report: Sea-level rise ‚Äòaccelerating’ alongside U.S. coasts, together with within the Bay Space”. And within the textual content, it says “The Bay Space was house to 2 of these stations: one in Alameda and one in San Francisco, which each recorded a yea…

Inside The Acceleration Manufacturing facility 2018-12-17

Nerem and Fasullo have a brand new paper known as OBSERVATIONS OF THE RATE AND ACCELERATION OF GLOBAL MEAN SEA LEVEL CHANGE, accessible right here. In it, we discover the next assertion: Each tide gauge sea stage reconstructions and satellite tv for pc altimetry present that the present charge of…

Wandering Via The Tides 2017-12-30

I obtained to fascinated with the data of the ocean stage peak taken at tidal stations everywhere in the planet. The principle drawback with these tide stations is that they measure the peak of the ocean floor versus the peak of some object connected to the land —however the land i…

Sea Stage and Efficient N 2019-02-20

> IF such acceleration exists It’s there, Willis. And also you’ve been proven. > it’s meaninglessly tiny When you have got a greater mannequin for a way local weather works, then you may speak to me about relative magnitudes of results. Over within the Tweeterverse, I mentioned I wasn’t a denier, an…

Modifications within the Charge of Sea Stage Rise 2018-05-22

There’s been some dialogue of the speed of sea stage rise these days, so I believed I’d check out some underlying information. I began with a 2016 paper by the fashionable grasp of failed serial doomcasting, James Hansen. It has the horrifying title of “Ice soften, sea stage r…

Sea Stage Rise Accelerating? Not. 2017-07-20

(NOTE UPDATE AT END) There’s a current and good put up right here at WUWT by Larry Kummer about sea stage rise. Nevertheless, I disagree with a few his feedback, viz: (b) There are some tentative indicators that the speed of enhance is already accelerating, quite than simply fluctu…

Cycles With out The Mania 2013-07-29

Are there cycles within the solar and its related electromagnetic phenomena? Assuredly. What are the lengths of the cycles? Effectively, there’s the query. Within the strategy of writing my current put up about cyclomania, I got here throughout a really attention-grabbing paper entitled “Correlation Between the Sunspot Quantity, the Whole Photo voltaic Irradiance,…

Sunspots and Norwegian Little one Mortality 2015-03-07

In January there was a examine revealed by The Royal Society entitled “Photo voltaic exercise at delivery predicted toddler survival and ladies’s fertility in historic Norway”, accessible right here. It claimed that in Norway within the 1700s and 1800s the photo voltaic exercise at delivery affected a toddler’s survival probabilities. As you may think, this…

Modifications in Whole Photo voltaic Irradiance 2014-10-25

Whole photo voltaic irradiance, additionally known as “TSI”, is the full quantity of power coming from the solar in any respect frequencies. It’s measured in watts per sq. metre (W/m2). A lot of of us declare that the small ~ 11-year variations in TSI are amplified by some unspecified mechanism, and thus these small modifications in TSI make an…

Volcanoes and Sunspots 2015-02-09

I preserve studying how sunspots are presupposed to have an effect on volcanoes. Within the feedback to my final put up, Tides, Earthquakes, and Volcanoes, somebody approvingly quoted a volcano researcher who had checked out eleven eruptions of a selected kind and said: …. 9 of the 11 occasions occurred throughout the photo voltaic inactive part…

Usoskin Et Al. Uncover A New Class of Sunspots 2014-02-22

There’s a brand new put up up by Usoskin et al. entitled “Proof for distinct modes of photo voltaic exercise”. To their credit score, they’ve archived their information, it’s accessible right here. Determine 1 reveals their reconstructed decadal averages of sunspot numbers for the final three thousand years, from their paper: Determine 1. The outcomes…

The Impact of Gleissberg’s “Secular Smoothing” 2014-05-19

ABSTRACT: Sluggish Fourier Remodel (SFT) periodograms reveal the power of the cycles within the full sunspot dataset (n=314), within the sunspot cycle maxima information alone (n=28), and the sunspot cycle maxima after they’ve been “secularly smoothed” utilizing the tactic of Gleissberg (n = 24). In all three datasets, there…

The Tip of the Gleissberg 2014-05-17

A take a look at Gleissberg’s well-known photo voltaic cycle reveals that it’s constructed from some doubtful sign evaluation strategies. This purported 80-year “Gleissberg cycle” within the sunspot numbers has excited a lot curiosity since Gleissberg’s unique work. Nevertheless, the claimed size of the cycle has diverse extensively.

Congenital Cyclomania Redux 2013-07-23

Effectively, I wasn’t going to say this paper, but it surely appears to be getting some play within the blogosphere. Our buddy Nicola Scafetta is again once more, this time with a paper known as “Photo voltaic and planetary oscillation management on local weather change: hind-cast, forecast and a comparability with the CMIP5 GCMs”. He’s…

Cosmic Rays, Sunspots, and Beryllium 2014-04-13

In investigations of the previous historical past of cosmic rays, the deposition charges (flux charges) of the beryllium isotope 10Be are sometimes used as a proxy for the quantity of cosmic rays. It is because 10Be is produced, inter alia, by cosmic rays within the ambiance. Being a congenitally inquisitive kind…

Studying From The Monsoon 2014-10-08

Impressed by a declare made on WUWT that A brand new examine led by Professor Okay.M. Hiremath of the Indian Institute of Astrophysics reveals the robust, presumably causative correlation between variations in photo voltaic exercise (purple curve) and in monsoon rainfall (blue curve) in Determine 1. I made a decision to see what I…

Maunder and Dalton Sunspot Minima 2014-06-23

In a current interchange over at Joanne Nova’s at all times attention-grabbing weblog, I’d mentioned that the sluggish modifications within the solar have little impact on temperature. Somebody requested me, properly, what in regards to the chilly temperatures throughout the Maunder and Dalton sunspot minima? And I believed … hey, what about them? I…

Splicing Clouds 2014-11-01

So as soon as once more, I’ve donned my Don Quijote armor and continued my quest for a ~11-year sunspot-related photo voltaic sign in some floor climate dataset. My plan for the search has been easy. It’s primarily based on the truth that the entire phenomena generally credited with affecting the temperature,…

Photo voltaic Periodicity 2014-04-10

I used to be pointed to a 2010 put up by Dr. Roy Spencer over at his at all times attention-grabbing weblog. In it, he says that he can present a relationship between complete photo voltaic irradiance (TSI) and the HadCRUT3 world floor temperature anomalies. TSI is the power of the solar’s power at a specified distance…

Using A Mathemagical Solarcycle 2014-01-22

Among the many papers within the Copernicus Particular Difficulty of Sample Recognition in Physics we discover a paper from R. J. Salvador by which he says he has developed A mathematical mannequin of the sunspot cycle for the previous 1000 yr. Setting apart the difficulties of verification of sunspot numbers for…

Sunspots and Sea Stage 2014-01-21

I got here throughout a curious graph and declare as we speak in a peer-reviewed scientific paper. Right here’s the graph relating sunspots and the change in sea stage: And right here is the declare in regards to the graph: Sea stage change and photo voltaic exercise A stronger impact associated to photo voltaic cycles is seen in Fig.…

My Thanks Apologies And Reply To Dr Nir Shaviv 2015-08-17

Dr. Nir Shaviv has kindly replied within the feedback to my earlier put up. There, he says: Nir Shaviv” August 15, 2015 at 2:51 pm There may be little or no fact about any of the factors raised by Eschenbach on this article. Particularly, his evaluation excludes the truth that the o…

23 New Papers 2015-09-22

Over at Pierre Gosselin’s website, NoTricksZone, he’s trumpeting the truth that there are a bunch of latest papers displaying a photo voltaic impact on the local weather. The headline is Already 23 Papers Supporting Solar As Main Local weather Issue In 2015 “Burgeoning Proof No Longer Dismissible!…

Sunny Spots Alongside the Parana River 2014-01-25

In a touch upon a current put up, I used to be pointed to a examine making the next stunning declare: Right here, we analyze the stream move of one of many largest rivers on the earth, the Parana ́ in southeastern South America. For the final century, we discover a robust correlation with…

Sunspots and Sea Floor Temperature 2014-06-06

I believed I used to be finished with sunspots … however because the well-known local weather scientist Michael Corleone as soon as remarked, “Simply after I thought I used to be out … they pull me again in”. On this case Marcel Crok, the well-known Dutch local weather author, requested me if I’d seen the paper from Nir…

Is The Sign Detectable 2015-08-19

[UPDATE] Within the feedback, Nick Stokes identified that though I believed that Dr. Shaviv’s harmonic photo voltaic part was a 12.6 12 months sine wave with a normal deviation of 1.7 centimetres, it’s really a 12.6 12 months sine wave with a normal deviation of 1.7 millime…

It’s The Proof, Silly! 2014-05-24

I hear a variety of of us give the next rationalization for the vagaries of the local weather, viz: It’s the solar, silly. And actually, after I first began trying on the local weather I believed the exact same factor. How may it not be the solar, I reasoned, since clearly that’s…

Early Sunspots and Volcanoes 2015-02-10

Effectively, as usually occurs I began out in a single route after which I obtained sidetractored … I needed to reply to Michele Casati’s declare within the feedback of my final put up. His declare was that if we embody the Maunder Minimal within the 1600’s, it’s clear that volcanoes with a…

The Lacking 11 Yr Sign 2015-08-19

Dr. Nir Shaviv and others strongly consider that there’s an ~ 11-year photo voltaic sign seen within the sea stage peak information. I don’t suppose such a sign is seen. So I made a decision to search for it one other means, one I’d not seen used earlier than. One of many extra delicate …

The New Sunspot Information And Satellite tv for pc Sea Ranges 2015-08-13

[UPDATE:”Upon reading Dr. Shaviv’s reply to this post, I have withdrawn any mention of “deceptive” from this post. This term was over the top, as it ascribed motive to the authors. I have replaced the term with “misleading”. This is more accurate…

Cosmic Disconnections 2016-04-09

I read yesterday that someone had supposedly provided evidence in support of Svensmark’s hypothesis that cosmic rays affect the weather. So I went to look it up. The study is called Cloud cover anomalies at middle latitudes: links to troposphere dynamics and solar variability, by S. Veretenenkoa and…

CEEMD and Sunspots 2016-04-20

I’ve been investigating the use of the “complete ensemble empirical mode decomposition” (CEEMD) analysis method, which I discussed in a previous post entitled Noise-Assisted Data Analysis. One of the big insights leading to modern signal analysis was the brilliant idea of Joseph Fourier. He realized…

More On Svensmark and Cosmic Rays 2017-12-26

Last week, Anthony highlighted a study by Svensmark, Shaviv et al. in a post entitled New paper: The missing link between cosmic rays, clouds, and climate change on Earth. While some were enthusiastic about their claims, Leif Svalgaard and I were much more restrained in our opinions. As a result, I …

Scottish Sunspots 2018-10-28

In a recent post, Anthony published Leif Svalgaard’s new paper showing 9,000 years of reconstructed solar activity. In the discussion, someone pointed out that the “Maunder Minimum”, a time of very low solar activity, corresponds with the coldest decade in a long-term reconstruction of summer temper…

Was Extreme Ultraviolet an Andy Warhol Actress? 2018-09-07

When folks tell me that the sunspot-related changes in total solar irradiance make changes down here on the surface of our amazing planet, I suggest that they take a look at the numbers. From peak to trough over the sunspot cycle, the top-of-atmosphere total solar irr…

The Cosmic Problem With Rays 2016-10-17

Normal carbon has six neutrons and six protons, for an atomic weight of twelve. However, there is a slightly different form of carbon which has two extra neutrons. That form of carbon, called carbon-14 or “14C”, has an atomic weight of fourteen. It is known to be formed by the interaction of high-en…

Sunspots: Labitzke Meets Bonferroni 2019-02-25

In a previous thread here on WUWT, a commenter said that the sunspot-related variations in solar output were shown by Labitzke et al. to affect the stratospheric temperature over the North Pole, viz: And when I went and got the data from the Freie Universit√§t Berlin, I was able to replicate their re…

Long Temperature Records and Sunspot Minima 2018-03-18

Well, folks were complaining that my graph of the CET compared to the centennial solar minima was just one location, England. So here are the five European temperature records which start before 1815. Now, if the theory of the solar/temperature connection is correct, the temperatures should start tr…

How Much Sun Could A Sunshine Shine? 2019-11-23

It has been pointed out that while many of the global climate models (GCMs) are not all that good at forecasting future climate, they all do quite well at hindcasting the 20th-century global temperature anomaly [edited for clarity ‚Äì w.]. Curious, that. So I used to be all for a paper from August of t…

Sunspots, Verse 25 2020-02-04

I began out as a real believer that sunspots (or one thing that modifications in sync with sunspots, like heliomagnetism, cosmic rays, photo voltaic wind, and many others.) had a robust impact on the climate. After I was a child I learn that the good British astronomer William Hershel had mentioned that British wheat costs had been a…

Sharpening a Cyclical Shovel 2016-11-03

There are a selection of beautiful of us on this world who know learn how to use a shovel, however who’ve by no means sharpened a shovel. I’m not one in all them. I wish to preserve my instruments sharp and to grasp their oddities. So I periodically suppose up and run new assessments of a few of the instruments that I exploit. Now, some time in the past I …

Chinese language Sunspots 2016-09-12

I see that there’s a new paper from China inflicting an excellent disturbance within the photo voltaic power —as mentioned right here on WUWT, the declare is that the El Nino Modoki Index, which is an index of sea floor temperatures, is considerably affected by some sunspo…

TAO/TRITON TAKE TWO 2011-08-25

I wrote earlier than of my investigations into the floor air temperature data of the TAO/TRITON buoys within the Pacific Ocean. To refresh your reminiscence, listed here are the places of the TAO/TRITON buoys. Determine 1. Areas of the TAO/TRITON buoys (pink squares). Every buoy is supplied with a sensor array measuring…

The Tao That Can Be Spoken … 2011-08-14

As I discussed in an earlier put up, I’ve began to take a look at the info from the TAO/TRITON buoy array within the Pacific Ocean. These are an array of moored buoys which accumulate hourly data on a wide range of environmental variables. The outcomes are fairly attention-grabbing, as a result of they relate on to…

Cloud Radiation Forcing within the TAO Dataset 2011-09-15

That is the third in a collection ( Half 1, Half 2 ) of occasional posts concerning my considerably peripatetic evaluation of the info from the TAO moored buoys within the Western Pacific. I’m doing development work today, and so in between pounding nails into the body of a constructing I proceed to…

Pinatubo and the Albedo Thermostat 2011-08-21

I obtained to considering that the eruption of Mount Pinatubo ought to present take a look at case for my principle that modifications in albedo assist regulate the temperature and preserve it inside a slim vary. When an enormous volcano erupts, it throws each black and reflective particles and aerosols excessive into…

TAO Buoys Go Scorching And Chilly 2015-06-16

I obtained to fascinated with how I may achieve extra understanding of the day by day air temperature cycles within the tropics. I made a decision to take a look at what occurs when the early morning (midnight to five:00 AM) of a given day is cooler than typical, versus what occurs when the early morning…

TAO Sea and Air Temperature Variations 2018-01-24

The TAO buoy array is an array of moored buoys within the equatorial tropical Pacific ocean. Right here’s a map displaying their places together with the typical sea floor temperature. And here’s what a typical buoy setup seems like: I just like the TAO buoy information as a result of we are able to make certain that it is freed from city hea…

When Alaska Was Chilly 2013-03-09

Temperatures are typically referred to some sort of long-term, usually 30-year common. That is known as the “climatology”, which means the long-term common values of varied local weather variables. For up-to-date analyses, the time frame is often taken as being the thirty years from 1981-2010. For Alaska, the standard measure for the…

UAH, MSU, TLT, and different Acronyms 2015-06-21

The satellite-based atmospheric temperature dataset is among the higher datasets in local weather science. Drs. Roy Spencer and John Christy have lengthy been scientific heroes of mine due to the standard of their work within the creation, evaluation, corrections, and curation of the dataset. It’s stored on the College…

Of Hawks and Handsaws 2010-04-20

“I’m however mad north-north-west: when the wind is southerly I do know a hawk from a handsaw” William Shakespeare, Hamlet, Act II, Scene ii Following on from my take a look at the USHCN temperature dataset, I’ve gone north (if not north-north-west) and appeared on the NORDKLIM dataset. This dataset covers…

Blowing Scorching And Chilly 2020-12-28

My thoughts runs to curious issues. Right this moment it went to this one in all Aesop’s Fables: What introduced this to thoughts was trying on the temperature tendencies for the planet. I’ve at all times kind of assumed that the temperature pattern diverse considerably all over the world. However I used to be stunned to see how a lot of the world was c…

Earlier than One Has Information 2010-06-24

Anthony Watts has posted up an attention-grabbing article on the temperature at Laverton Airport (Laverton Aero), Australia. Sadly, he was shifting too quick, plus he’s on the opposite aspect of the world, together with his head pointed downwards and his baggage misplaced in Limbo (which in Australia might be known as one thing…

Extra Gunsmoke, This Time In Nepal 2010-08-11

Be aware to Readers: This is a vital put up, as Willis demonstrates that NASA GISS has taken a cooling pattern and transformed it right into a warming pattern for the one GHCN station in Nepal which covers the Himalayas. I supply NASA GISS, both through Jim Hansen or Gavin Schmidt, rebuttal alternative to this subject on WUWT…

How Scientists Research Cycles 2014-01-24

We have now the ill-fated stillborn Copernicus Particular Version for instance of how these authors went about analyzing the potential results of astronomical cycles. Let me put up a contrasting instance, which is The 1,800-year oceanic tidal cycle: A potential reason behind speedy local weather change. Heck, it’s even obtained “cycle” within the…

The Sea Stage Cycles Get Extra Elusive 2014-05-01

In my final put up on the purported existence of the elusive ~60-year cycle in sea ranges as claimed within the current paper “Is there a 60-year oscillation in world imply sea stage?”, I used a device known as “periodicity evaluation” (mentioned right here) to research cycles within the sea stage. Nevertheless, some folks…

The Elusive ~ 60-year Sea Stage Cycle 2014-04-25

I used to be referred to a paywalled paper known as “Is there a 60-year oscillation in world imply sea stage?” The authors’ reply to the eponymous query is “sure”, in actual fact, their reply boils right down to “dangbetcha fer positive sure there’s a 60-year oscillation”, viz: We study lengthy tide gauge data…

Time and the Tides Anticipate Godot 2014-02-09

I’ve been listening to a number of stuff these days about tidal cycles. These exist, to make sure. Nevertheless, they’re pretty complicated, and so they solely repeat (and even then solely roughly) each 54 years 34 days. Additionally they repeat (much more roughly) each 1/Three of that 54+ 12 months cycle, which is…

CO2 and CERES 2014-01-13

The Intergovernmental Panel on Local weather Change, the bureaucratic company which appropriated the position of arbiter of issues climatic, has superior a principle for the dearth of warming for the reason that flip of the century, viz: The noticed discount in warming pattern over the interval 1998–2012 as in comparison with the interval 1951–2012,…

Ought to We Be Anxious? 2014-01-29

I chanced to plot up the decrease tropospheric temperatures by broad latitude zones as we speak. That is primarily based on the info from the satellite tv for pc microwave sounding unit (MSU), as analyzed by the nice of us on the College of Alabama at Huntsville. Listed below are the outcomes, divided into tropical, extratropical, and polar.…

Dr. Roy Spencer’s Sea Floor Temperatures 2013-03-06

Over at Roy Spencer’s wonderful web page, Dr. Roy has a put up up displaying a sea floor temperature (SST) anomaly calculated from AMSR-E, TMI, and WindSat. Right here’s his put up of the outcomes: Determine 1. International Microwave Sea Floor Temperature Replace for Feb. 2013: -0.01 deg. C Relating to these outcomes, Dr.…

Weekly Space of Snow Extent 2013-10-18

I obtained to fascinated with snow the opposite day. It was occasioned by my take a look at the correlation (each optimistic and destructive) of temperature and albedo. Albedo is a measure of how a lot daylight is mirrored from the clouds and the floor. The better the albedo, the extra daylight is…

The Megacities Are Cooking 2020-01-16

I obtained to fascinated with the phenomenon generally known as the “City Warmth Island” impact, or UHI. Cities are likely to lure warmth because of the quantity of black pavement and concrete sidewalks, the slim canyons between buildings that decelerate the wind, and the edges of the buildings reflecting daylight downwards. As …

A Surfeit Of Temperatures 2020-01-19

My final two posts, one on Gavin’s claims and the opposite on the City Warmth Island (UHI) impact, have gotten me to fascinated with the assorted teams producing historic world floor temperature estimates. Keep in mind that the worldwide floor temperature is the primary local weather variable that a number of of us ar…

Is Armagh Burning? 2010-08-29

Anthony has highlighted a examine by Coughlin and Butler. Their examine says that there’s little or no city warming (city warmth island, or UHI) within the temperature file from the Armagh Observatory in Eire. They are saying: It’s concluded that temperature observations made at Armagh Observatory have been unaffected by speedy…

Cooking In New York 2015-07-20

I’ve been fascinated with the thought of the city warmth island (UHI) on account of my put up”on the bogus temperature “file” at Heathrow. The “city warmth island” refers to the truth that cities typically run hotter than the encompassing countryside. That is fro…

Tides, Earthquakes, and Volcanoes 2015-02-07

Impressed by the paper by the charmingly-named Maya Tolstoy mentioned right here on WUWT, I made a decision to see if tidal forces have an effect on the timing of earthquakes and volcanoes. Dr. Tolstoy’s speculation is that tidal forces have an effect on the timing of the subterranean eruptions … however she has…

The Eruption Over the IPCC AR5 2013-09-22

Within the leaked model of the upcoming United Nations Intergovernmental Panel on Local weather Change (UN IPCC) Fifth Evaluation Report (AR5) Chapter 1, we discover the next claims concerning volcanoes. The forcing from stratospheric volcanic aerosols can have a big influence on the local weather for some years after volcanic eruptions. A number of…

Volcanic Disruptions 2012-03-16

The declare is usually made that volcanoes assist the idea that forcing guidelines temperature. The aerosols from the eruptions are injected into the stratosphere. This displays extra daylight, and cuts the quantity of sunshine that strikes the floor. On account of this discount in forcing, the largest volcanic eruptions…

New Information, Previous Claims About Volcanoes 2012-07-30

Richard Muller and the nice of us over on the Berkeley Earth Floor Temperature (BEST) venture have launched their temperature evaluation again to 1750, and are making their typical unsupportable claims. I don’t imply his risible statements that the temperature modifications are resulting from CO2 as a result of the curves look alike—that joke has…

Volcanoes and Drought In Asia 2014-08-09

There’s a current examine in AGU Atmospheres entitled “Proxy proof for China’s monsoon precipitation response to volcanic aerosols over the previous seven centuries”, by Zhou et al, paywalled right here. The examine was highlighted by Anthony right here. It makes the declare that volcanic eruptions trigger droughts in China. Is that this potential?…

Volcanoes: Energetic, Inactive, and Retroactive 2013-05-22

Anthony put up a put up titled “Why the brand new Otto et al local weather sensitivity paper is necessary – it’s a sea change for some IPCC authors” The paper in query is “Vitality finances constraints on local weather response” (free registration required), supplementary on-line data (SOI) right here, by Otto et alia, sixteen…

Stacked Volcanoes Falsify Fashions 2013-05-25

Effectively, this has been a circuitous journey. I began out to analysis volcanoes. First I obtained distracted by the query of mannequin sensitivity, as I described in Mannequin Local weather Sensitivity Calculated Straight From Mannequin Outcomes. Then I used to be diverted by the query of smoothing of the Otto information, as I reported…

Volcanoes Erupt Once more 2014-02-24

I see that Susan Solomon and her local weather police have rounded up the standard suspects, which on this case are volcanic eruptions, of their desperation to clarify the so-called “pause” in world warming that’s stretching in direction of 20 years now. Their drawback is that for a protracted whereas the local weather alarmists…

Volcanoes As soon as Once more, Once more 2015-01-09

Anthony lately highlighted a few new papers claiming to clarify the present plateau in world warming. This time, it’s volcanoes, however the declare this time is that it’s not the massive volcanoes. It’s the small volcanoes. The research each appear to…

Dronning Maud Meets the Little Ice Age 2012-04-13

I’ve to study to maintain my blood stress down … this new paper, “Abrupt onset of the Little Ice Age triggered by volcanism and sustained by sea-ice/ocean feedbacks“, hereinafter M2012, has me shaking my head. It has gotten favorable stories within the scientific blogs … I don’t see it at…

BEST, Volcanoes and Local weather Sensitivity 2012-08-13

I’ve argued in a wide range of posts that the standard canonical estimate of local weather sensitivity, which is 3°C of warming for a doubling of CO2, is an order of magnitude too giant. Right this moment, on the urging of Steven Mosher in a thread on Lucia Liljegren’s wonderful weblog “The Blackboard”, I’ve…

Prediction is difficult, particularly of the long run. 2010-12-29

Over at Judith Curry’s local weather weblog, the NASA local weather scientist Dr. Andrew Lacis has been offering some feedback. He was requested: Please present 5- 10 current ‘proof factors’ which you’d…

Volcanic Corroboration 2012-09-10

Again in 2010, I wrote a put up known as “Prediction is difficult, particularly of the long run“. It turned out to be the primary of a collection of posts that I ended up writing on the shortcoming of local weather fashions to efficiently replicate the results of volcanoes. It was an investigation occasioned…

Overshoot and Undershoot 2010-11-29

Right this moment I believed I’d focus on my analysis into what’s put ahead as one of many key items of proof that GCMs (world local weather fashions) are in a position to precisely reproduce the local weather. That is the declare that the GCMs are in a position to reproduce the results of volcanoes on the local weather.…

Volcanic Legends Preserve Erupting 2015-07-22

As soon as once more, Anthony has highlighted a paper claiming that volcanoes have nice energy over the worldwide temperature. Certainly, they go as far as to say: “From the reconstruction it may be seen that enormous eruptions, corresponding to Mount Tambora in 1815, or clusters of eruptions, might …

Get Laki, Get Unlaki 2014-11-18

Effectively, we haven’t had a recreation of “Spot The Volcano” shortly, so I believed I’d check out what is probably going the earliest volcanic eruption for which we have now precise temperature data. This was the eruption of the Icelandic volcano Laki in June of 1783. It’s claimed to…

Lacking the Lacking Summer time 2012-04-15

Since I used to be a child I’ve been studying tales about “The Yr With out A Summer time”. This was the summer season of 1816, one 12 months after the good eruption of the Tambora volcano in Indonesia. The Tambora eruption, in April of 1815, was so enormous it might be heard from 2,600 km…

Eruptions and Ocean Warmth Content material 2014-04-06

I used to be out trolling for science the opposite day on the AGW Observer website. It’s an excellent place, they listing tons and many science together with the nice, the unhealthy, and the ugly, like for instance all of the references from the UN IPCC AR5. The sweetness half is that the…

Why Volcanoes Dont Matter A lot 2015-07-29

The phrase “forcing” is what is named a “time period of artwork” in local weather science. A time period of artwork means a phrase that’s utilized in a particular or uncommon sense in a selected subject of science or different exercise. This uncommon which means for the phrase might or might not be …

Volcanic Northern Winters 2017-08-05

I see there’s a brand new examine, sadly paywalled, which begins out by saying: Observations present that each one current giant tropical volcanic eruptions (1850-present) had been adopted by floor winter warming within the first Northern Hemisphere (NH) winter after the eruption. Current research present that local weather…

When Eruptions Don’t 2018-05-29

Impressed by Richard Eager’s attention-grabbing WUWT put up on utilizing eclipses to find out the readability of the ambiance, I went to the web site of the Hawaiian Mauna Loa Observatory. They’ve some very fascinating datasets. One among them is a measurement of direct photo voltaic radiation…

President Jefferson Meets Mount Tambora 2019-01-28

Within the feedback of my final put up entitled “Spot The Volcano, 1815 Version” somebody talked about that Thomas Jefferson had commented on what is usually known as the “Yr With out A Summer time”. This was the summer season of the 12 months 1816, one 12 months after the eruption of Mt. Tambora in Ind…

Spot The Volcano, 1815 Version 2019-01-26

It’s been some time since I performed “Spot The Volcano”. The premise of the sport is that the lower in temperatures from volcanic eruptions is nowhere close to as giant as folks declare. So I ask folks to see if they’ll establish when a volcano erupted primarily based on the temperat…

Stacking Up Volcanoes 2018-06-25

As readers of my posts know, I’ve held for a few years that there are a number of emergent phenomena that regulate the earth’s temperature. See my posts The Thermostat Speculation and Emergent Local weather Phenomena for an summary of my speculation. One …

Carbon Emissionaries 2010-03-31

In 2005, the European Union (EU) put into place a carbon buying and selling scheme. Costs for carbon permits promptly plunged, and have remained depressed since then. The worth for a allow to emit a tonne of CO2 went from 21.59 Euros in 2005, to 17.28 in 2006, to 0.68 in 2007, to 2.16 in 2008, to…

Water Vapor Suggestions 2014-03-24

Effectively, one other productive ramble by the CERES dataset, which by no means ceases to shock me. This time my eye was caught by a press launch a couple of new (paywalled) examine by Gordon et al. concerning the impact of water vapor on the local weather: From 2002 to 2009, an infrared sounder aboard…

Precipitable Water Redux 2016-07-28

In my final put up I investigated the mathematical relationship between the quantity of complete precipitable water vapor (TPW) within the ambiance, and the clear-sky greenhouse impact. Right here is the primary determine from that put up displaying the connection: On this put up I’m trying on the different half of the relations…

Wandering Water 2021-01-19

I see in a most up-to-date put up right here at WUWT that UC Irvine researchers have used “27 state-of-the-art local weather fashions” to foretell what is going to occur by the 12 months 2100 to the “tropical rain belt”. They describe this as “a slim band of heavy precipitation close to the equator”. By coincidence, I’d simply downloa…

Precipitable Water 2016-07-25

One among my nice pleasures is to come back throughout a brand new dataset. Flip me unfastened on new observations of this magical world, and there’s no telling the place I’ll find yourself. Due to a current article right here on WUWT I obtained to fascinated with water vapor. Some analysis discovered the RSS 1° gridded “complete precipitable water”…

A New Yr’s Look At WUWT 2020-12-30

Right this moment, as the results of a collection of flawed turns and unhealthy decisions, I ended up on the Wikipedia entry for Watts Up With That. It says: Appalled by the misrepresentations in that, I believed I’d touch upon them. First, the weblog doesn’t “promote local weather change denial”. I at all times chuckle after I examine…

Tanganyika Revisited 2010-05-20

The brand new Nature Journal article on Lake Tanganyika, “Late-twentieth-century warming in Lake Tanganyika unprecedented since AD 500″, mentioned a pair days in the past by Anthony Watts right here, was fairly attention-grabbing to me. In 2003 I had contributed a “Communications Arising” to Nature Journal concerning earlier claims that AGW was inflicting productiveness loss…

Tropical Storm Irene 2011-09-01

When is a hurricane not a hurricane? Effectively, when it doesn’t blow 64 knots (33 m/sec, 74 mph), as a result of then it’s solely a tropical storm. Impressed by a put up over on the Cliff Mass Climate Weblog, I’ve been looking for a single report of sustained hurricane power winds anyplace…

Tropical Storm Sandy 2012-10-29

As at 2 PM Pacific time, right here’s the present place of Sandy and the projected path. SOURCE: Nationwide Information Buoy Middle I had mentioned a few days in the past, when Sandy was a hurricane, that it could not be a hurricane when it hit the coast. How did that go?

The Icy Nenana River 2013-05-15

The final time I used to be in Alaska, I had the nice fortune to cease by the city of Nenana, house of the Nenana River Ice Basic. Nenana sits on the junction of the Tanana and Nenana Rivers. The dates of the ice breakup at Nenana type one of many longest-term…

Crusing On The Moon Wind 2012-12-24

I grew up on a distant cattle ranch surrounded by miles of forest, removed from avenue lights. The nights had been giant and silent and really darkish when there was no moon. However when the moon was full, the forest at evening was energetic. It was clear that the…

The Excessive Value Of Climate 2018-10-11

I noticed a couple of headlines as we speak that obtained me to considering. One mentioned: The second mentioned: The third mentioned: Two lifeless? Two? I used to be reminded of a joke from my youthful days, that went like this: Did you hear the Third-World hurricane report? 26,413 lifeless —ten {dollars} and thirty-six c…

The Local weather Dictionary 2018-03-16

I see that there’s some confusion over terminology within the local weather subject. In response, I’ve put collectively an inventory of widespread phrases, together with what far too usually they imply in local weather science. So with out additional ado, right here’s my local weather dictionary. an anticipated results of glo…

California, Temperatures, and Acres Burned 2018-11-14

Impressed by the work finished by Robert Rohde trying to hyperlink Might to October temperatures and rainfall to fires, I believed I’d check out the acres burned through the years. Rohde in contrast the rainfall and temperature data and highlighted the biggest fires. Nevertheless…

The place the !@#$% is Svalbard? 2010-05-12

Anthony has instructed that I put up a paper of mine that was written in 2006 about uncommon temperatures in Svalbard. It was revealed as a peer-reviewed submission in Vitality and Setting, the journal that AGW supporters like to hate. First, the place the heck is Svalbard? It’s up on the prime of the world, at 78° North, the place…

Exonerated? Not. 2010-10-19

The official report of the Pennsylvania State College Inquiry Committee into the actions of Dr. Michael Mann is accessible right here. It’s the Report of the Inquiry that Mann says exonerated him fully of the three most necessary allegations. From Cartoons by Josh The Inquiry Report was written by professors. As…

Michael Mann and Donald Kennedy 2010-10-16

With Dr. Michael Mann out on the hustings promoting his innocence, as I mentioned a couple of days in the past, I used to be happy after I got here throughout this clear rationalization of some main points within the so-called inquiry by Penn State into the Mann’s actions. I urge everybody to learn it, and…

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